2025 WoV Picks Game Discussion Thread

WEEK 8 SELECTIONS:
Good luck to all (unless you picked opposite of me, which you should have!)

PlayYourCardsRight:
Patriots -7
Texans over 41.5
Broncos -3.5
Packers -3
Chiefs over 46.5 CONFIDENCE

FourFiveFace:
Dolphins +7.5
Bears +6
Panthers +7
Cowboys +3.5-Confidence
Commanders +12.5

miplet:
Dolphins 7.5
Bears 6-confidence
Ravens UNDER 49.5
Jets 6.5
Texans -1.5

Gordonm888
Bears 6
Falcons -7.5 Confidence
Giants 7.5
Colts -14
Steelers 3

Avianrandy:
Bengals -6.5
Bills -7
Buccaneers -4.5 confidence
Cowboys +3.5
Steelers +3

Genwyzgy:
Falcons -7.5
Bears 6
Patriots-7
49ers 1.5 Confidence
Buccaneers-4.5

Johnzimbo:
Texans -1.5 confidence
Ravens -6
Giants +7.5
Jets +6.5
Saints +4.5

IndyJeffrey:
Falcons UNDER 44.5
Patriots UNDER 40.5
Texans -1.5
Buccaneers -4.5- CONFIDENCE
Titans 14

Vegasbrent:
Falcons -7.5
Bears 6
Bills -7-confidence
Colts -14
Chiefs -12.5

SOOPOO:
Cowboys +3.5 confidence
Falcons -7.5
Bengals -6.5
Giants +7.5
Saints +4.5

Wizard:
Dolphins +7.5
Bears +6
Panthers +7 Confidence
Jets +6.5
Browns +7

Well, I see that six of us took Bears +6 vs Ravens

Why? Because it was subsequently confirmed that Lamar Jackson will not play for the Ravens and the line shifted to Bears +1.5. Since we are using the stale line of +6, by picking the Bears we are getting the key numbers of 3 and 4 plus a push on 6. All of that above and beyond what the books considered to be a fair spread of +1.5

So, we are brilliant, hey? And yet . . . I have a feeling that Murphy's Law will rule the day, and the Ravens will rally around their backup QB or something like that. And somehow the Ravens will cover and we'll all be ruing the variance in picking NFL games.

It will be fun to see what happens

I'd like to hear why JohnZimbo picked Ravens -6, and perhaps why others didn't pick this game at all.

I was picking the Bears regardless. Bears are hot and Ravens are worst in NFL ATS. Yes, in large part due to Jackson not playing, but I still thought the value was on the Bears.

I thought about changing. But I stood with my ‘only take 1/2 point spreads so no pushes’ philosophy. When the line was 6 it was ‘hammerable’. Everything I read all week was Jackson would be held out one more game. I’m hoping the game ends up between the 6 and present 1.5. Books will lose a bunch.

I wonder if there is money to be made on ‘under’ on QB yards for season long bets.

Fields
Wilson
Daniels
Burrow
Flacco
Jackson
Penix
Young
Purdy
McCarthy
Murray

Starting QBs first game of the year who either due to injury or poor play will not play in enough games to make it to their ‘overs’. That’s 11/32 easy ‘under’ wins. The other 21 may go either way, and it is highly likely a few more will fail due to not finishing the season. And some will just naturally fall under their number.

Partial Results of Week 8 Picks

These are results after the Sunday afternoon games were completed. This post will be updated until the Week 8 games are complete on Monday Night. Let me know if any errors were made.

PlayYourCardsRight: (2-1)
Patriots -7 Win
Texans over 41.5 Loss
Broncos -3.5 Win
Packers -3
Chiefs over 46.5 CONFIDENCE

FourFiveFace: (1-4)
Dolphins +7.5 Win
Bears +6 Loss
Panthers +7 Loss
Cowboys +3.5-Confidence Lossx2
Commanders +12.5

miplet: (4-2)
Dolphins 7.5 Win
Bears 6-confidence Lossx2
Ravens UNDER 49.5 Win
Jets 6.5 Win
Texans -1.5 Win

Gordonm888 (1-4)
Bears 6 Loss
Falcons -7.5 Confidence Lossx2
Giants 7.5 Loss
Colts -14 Win
Steelers 3

Avianrandy: (3-2)
Bengals -6.5 Loss
Bills -7 Win
Buccaneers -4.5 confidence Winx2
Cowboys +3.5 Loss
Steelers +3

Genwyzgy: (2-4)
Falcons -7.5 Loss
Bears 6 Loss
Patriots-7 Win
49ers 1.5 Confidence Lossx2
Buccaneers-4.5 Win

Johnzimbo: (4-2)
Texans -1.5 confidence Winx2
Ravens -6 Win
Giants +7.5 Loss
Jets +6.5 Win
Saints +4.5 Loss

IndyJeffrey: (4-2)
Falcons UNDER 44.5 Win
Patriots UNDER 40.5 Loss
Texans -1.5 Win
Buccaneers -4.5- CONFIDENCE Winx2
Titans 14 Loss

Vegasbrent: (3-2)
Falcons -7.5 Loss
Bears 6 Loss
Bills -7-confidence Winx2
Colts -14 Win
Chiefs -12.5

SOOPOO: (0-4)
Cowboys +3.5 confidence
Falcons -7.5 Loss
Bengals -6.5 Loss
Giants +7.5 Loss
Saints +4.5 Loss

Wizard: (2-4)
Dolphins +7.5 Win
Bears +6 Loss
Panthers +7 Confidence Lossx2
Jets +6.5 Win
Browns +7 Loss