NFL Prop Picks/Ratings for week 12

Here are my selections, ratings*** and bets for the props listed below:

ratings***: the rating chances will add up to a bit less than 100% (because that is the way I do ratings)

NB: games may or may not be in 'American' Order, because I am Australian and haven't checked ESPN yet.
Also Note: odds are in decimal format
Also note: bets are based on a bank-roll of $30,000 and are real bets that I had with a betting shop.

1. Mia vs NE - First Score A Touchdown ?

Yes @ 1.4815
No @3.38
My bet: $1330 @ 1.60 on Yes

2. Chi vs Phi - Field Goal in 2nd Quarter?

Yes @ 1.56
No @ 3.15
My bet: $380 @ 3.45 on No

3. Chi vs Phi - Field Goal in 1st Quarter?

Yes @ 2.35
No @ 1.835
My bet: $560 @ 1.93 on No

4. Ten vs Ind - 1st Quarter To:uchdown?

Yes @ 1.54
No @ 3.29,
My bet: $310 @ 3.55 on No

5. TB vs Atl - First Score a Touchdown?

Yes @ 1.524
No @ 3.21
My bet: $830 @ 1.60 on Yes

6. Tb vs Atl - Field Goal in First Quarter?

Yes @ 2.30
No @ 1.870
My bet: $450 @ 1.95 on No

7. Jax vs Arz - Field Goal in First Quarter?

Yes @ 2.20
No @ 1.952
My bet: $480 @ 2.05 on No

8. GB vs Pit - Field Goal in First Quarter?

Yes @ 2.35
No @ 1.835
My bet: $560 @ 1.93 on No

9. Hou vs Bal - Field Goal in First Quarter?

Yes @ 2.23
No @ 1.919,
My bet: $330 @ 1.98 on NO

total bet outlay: $5230
current balance if all bets result in a loss: $24,770

Quote: dmckrs100

Here are my selections, ratings*** and bets for the props listed below:

ratings***: the rating chances will add up to a bit less than 100% (because that is the way I do ratings)

NB: games may or may not be in 'American' Order, because I am Australian and haven't checked ESPN yet.
Also Note: odds are in decimal format
Also note: bets are based on a bank-roll of $30,000 and are real bets that I had with a betting shop.

1. Mia vs NE - First Score A Touchdown ?

Yes @ 1.4815
No @3.38
My bet: $1330 @ 1.60 on Yes

2. Chi vs Phi - Field Goal in 2nd Quarter?

Yes @ 1.56
No @ 3.15
My bet: $380 @ 3.45 on No

3. Chi vs Phi - Field Goal in 1st Quarter?

Yes @ 2.35
No @ 1.835
My bet: $560 @ 1.93 on No

4. Ten vs Ind - 1st Quarter To:uchdown?

Yes @ 1.54
No @ 3.29,
My bet: $310 @ 3.55 on No

5. TB vs Atl - First Score a Touchdown?

Yes @ 1.524
No @ 3.21
My bet: $830 @ 1.60 on Yes

6. Tb vs Atl - Field Goal in First Quarter?

Yes @ 2.30
No @ 1.870
My bet: $450 @ 1.95 on No

7. Jax vs Arz - Field Goal in First Quarter?

Yes @ 2.20
No @ 1.952
My bet: $480 @ 2.05 on No

8. GB vs Pit - Field Goal in First Quarter?

Yes @ 2.35
No @ 1.835
My bet: $560 @ 1.93 on No

9. Hou vs Bal - Field Goal in First Quarter?

Yes @ 2.23
No @ 1.919,
My bet: $330 @ 1.98 on NO

total bet outlay: $5230
current balance if all bets result in a loss: $24,770

Welcome aboard skippy, look forward to nrl selections if you do them. Don’t worry about origin as I’m a Queenslander as well so there is only one bet there. Ha ha. Thoughts on ashes?
You betting tab or 365? Also are you multi betting on one ticket? ie all bets straight up , parlay doubles? etc.
Also as a heads up check out other posts here re nfl, and college picks. Look at what to say or not say. Reason being they are anal here about what you write, be precise don’t claim any forgotten to list bets or I would have, should have bets . Otherwise you just get into a sh#t fight that takes you way off track and believe me you will get so far out of shape you’ll just want to lick that cane toad for relief.
Also don’t try and explain what you’re doing or why, as some bozo will hi jack your post with there selections or their options, if they do tell them to start there own post for there own selections. Don’t claim winning % from past or future season, as that’s just a red rag to a bull on this site and you will get more satisfaction if you just go out back now and roll around on that meat ant nest.
Do not claim you have a system , even if you do, and it’s going to be the next big pineapple, it’s really not worth the time and effort reading the responses, like I said check the sports betting forum threads as there are corpses littered far and wide, check thread by steeldco mlb picks and see the crap he had to put up with, just read his second last page onwards is enough.
I find many are too eager to shoot tipsters down for whatever reason they seem to justify to themselves rather than let the person post the selections.
But I do agree that this forum should Not be used to promote web sites or tipping agencies , that’s considered to be a low dog act.
I’m happy to see your tips posted here as I would like to see an Aussie perspective on an American game.
I’m really looking forward to your input re nfl as I just love that game and betting on it off season to nrl. Hopefully you make it though the rest of the season and don’t crash and burn like j de aze and his college picks
Good luck.
Are you looking at mlb nhl etc.
kind regards.

Why are you posting your prop picks ???

Quote: Wizardofnothing

Why are you posting your prop picks ???

SPAM. NOT THE MEAT

Figured

Hi beachmonkey,

mainly concentrating on the NFL and betting with UBet for props.
all bets are straight up, with some of the prop bets I tried to get a parlay but it wouldn't let me do it (for obvious reasons)
yeah I understand you want to try and be as concise as possible but sometimes you have got to explain things, for example someone would probably call me up on the picks not adding up to 100% if i didn't write something about it.
not going to promote any tipping sites or agencies, these are all mine.
if you are going to bet the NFL or any sport, one strategy to help you decide on what to select would be to look at the line movement (if any) to try and find something that is either 'shortening against the money' or 'not moving at all' (also works for total betting using the same 'strategy'), 15% to 30% of the money on the team you want to back could be considered a good one to follow (search 'espn chalk live odds, or search vegas insider matchups)
line 'shortening against the money' example: According to 'espn chalk', Sea vs SF opened at about -7 Seattle and they are now -6.5 even though most of the money seems to be on Seattle, which would imply the 'square money' is on Seattle, I am not going to touch that game personally because there are many other factors to consider
line 'not moving at all', couldn't find any this week for the NFL, but at the moment the Duke vs Florida game in the NCAAB may imply that the 'square money' is on Duke, since 29% of the spread money is on Florida, so going by the above 'strategy' you would bet Florida @ +2.5, again not going to bet on this game personally for the same reason
Not looking at MLB or NHL, at the moment

Results for Sunday


1. NE vs Mia +798
2. Phi vs Chi -380
3. Phi vs Chi +520.80
4. Ind vs Ten +790.50
5. Atl vs TB -830
6. Atl vs TB -450
7. Arz vs Jax -480
8. Pit vs GB +520.8
9. na (Monday Game)

Opening Bal: $30,000

Profit or(Loss): +$490.10 (Sunday games)

Closing Bal: $30,160.10***

*** assumes that bet 9 is a loss on Monday

You are new to the forum and posting all this? I’m not sure for what reason, you have no history for anyone to have credibility and follow you

Hi Wizardofnothing
not sure what is wrong with a new member posting his picks, but you have to start somewhere if you want to build your credibility

thanks

Are you saying you thing you are good at prop picks?

Quote: dmckrs100

Hi Wizardofnothing
not sure what is wrong with a new member posting his picks, but you have to start somewhere if you want to build your credibility

thanks

"build your credibility"

For what, may I ask?

Quote: AxelWolf

"build your credibility"

For what, may I ask?

So d100 can sell you snake oil in the future.

Quote: speedycrap

So d100 can sell you snake oil in the future.

Well it’s lunch time here in sweet Sydney, I’m just going to settle back with a beer and a bowl nuts, fresh macadamia nuts to be precise.
I think it’s going to be a great day. Let the fun begin. Enjoy.
Kind regards.

will only be posting picks and results from now on,
can take them or leave them

Quote: dmckrs100

will only be posting picks and results from now on,
can take them or leave them

Out west from Toowoomba the red ant aka meat ant nest are quite large and as kids not many of us managed the 60second dare to lay down and thrash about on the nest. Needless to say as the spectator it was fun to watch until it became you turn
Oh them were the days.
Looking forward to your picks, thanks.
Kind regards.

Quote: dmckrs100

Here are my selections, ratings*** and bets for the props listed below:

I'm not making any accusations but as a general rule we don't allow touts to use this forum to sell their picks. Again, not making any accusations, but we've seen touts before get their foot in the door with free picks. We are not above using spies here to see what you're up to via private messages. That said, it's your move.

So it was said so it was written- end of story

Mr. Dmckrs100:

Could you please explain this bet. I don't quite understand it.

"1. Mia vs NE - First Score A Touchdown ?

Yes @ 1.4815
No @3.38
My bet: $1330 @ 1.60 on Yes"

It looks like both sides are offering over even money but that couldn't be. So what does it mean?

And how can you bet 1.60 on Yes if it isn't being offered? Is that what you offered in something similar to Betfair?

Please explain, thanks.