JoelDeze
JoelDeze
  • Threads: 49
  • Posts: 467
Joined: Apr 20, 2016
March 18th, 2017 at 3:50:01 PM permalink
The table below represents ATS Wins and ATS Losses for every FBS College team in 2016. I did not account for any pushes as I only care about ATS wins and losses. The data contains overall wins, losses, percentages and ATS differentials. It also breaks down favorite vs underdog info, as well as power 5 and group of 5 / independents data.

The rankings are sorted on overall win % for ATS, followed by highest avg ATS differential.

KEYS:

O-W: Overall Wins
O-L: Overall Losses
O-W%: Overall Win %
O-D: Overall avg. ATS differential from all games (higher the better)
F-W: Wins as Oddsmaker Favorite
F-L: Losses as Oddsmaker Favorite
F-W%: Win % as Oddsmaker Favorite
U-W: Wins as Oddsmaker Underdog
U-L: Losses as Oddsmaker Underdog
U-W%: Win % as Oddsmaker Underdog
P5-W: Wins against Power-5 Conference Opponents
P5-L: Losses against Power-5 Conference Opponents
P5-W%: Win % against Power-5 Conference Opponents
G5-IA-W: Wins against Group of 5 and Independents Combined
G5-IA-L: Losses against Group of 5 and Independents Combined
G5-IA-W%: Win % against Group of 5 and Independents Combined

RnkYearTeamO-WO-LO-W%O-DF-WF-LF-W%U-WU-LU-W%P5-WP5-LP5-W%G5-IA-WG5-IA-LG5-IA-W%
12016Temple11284.62%5.426275.00%50100.00%1150.00%10190.91%
22016Oregon St.9281.82%5.8610100.00%8280.00%8280.00%10100.00%
32016Western Ky.9375.00%10.547370.00%20100.00%010.00%9281.82%
42016Idaho9375.00%8.6340100.00%5362.50%020.00%9190.00%
52016Alabama9375.00%7.049375.00%000.00%8372.73%10100.00%
62016Miami (OH)9375.00%6.461150.00%8280.00%20100.00%7370.00%
72016BYU9375.00%4.084357.14%50100.00%5183.33%4266.67%
82016Eastern Mich.9375.00%1.884180.00%5271.43%010.00%9281.82%
92016Penn St.10471.43%8.615362.50%5183.33%10283.33%020.00%
102016Western Mich.9469.23%7.857463.64%20100.00%30100.00%6460.00%
112016Wyoming9469.23%5.462340.00%7187.50%010.00%9375.00%
122016Colorado9469.23%2.965362.50%4180.00%8466.67%10100.00%
132016UTSA8466.67%9.292250.00%6275.00%20100.00%6460.00%
142016Northwestern8466.67%5.924266.67%4266.67%8372.73%010.00%
152016Old Dominion8466.67%5.58188.89%030.00%010.00%8372.73%
162016Colorado St.8466.67%5.292340.00%6185.71%1150.00%7370.00%
172016Miami (FL)8466.67%5.048372.73%010.00%6366.67%2166.67%
182016Wake Forest8466.67%3.832340.00%6185.71%7277.78%1233.33%
192016North Carolina St.8466.67%0.425271.43%3260.00%6366.67%2166.67%
202016Florida St.8466.67%0.135455.56%30100.00%7463.64%10100.00%
212016Wisconsin9564.29%4.185550.00%40100.00%8372.73%1233.33%
222016Tulsa7463.64%8.684357.14%3175.00%010.00%7370.00%
232016Navy7463.64%6.054266.67%3260.00%000.00%7463.64%
242016Iowa St.7463.64%6.051150.00%6366.67%6460.00%10100.00%
252016Auburn7463.64%4.865362.50%2166.67%5455.56%20100.00%
262016Georgia Tech7463.64%3.324180.00%3350.00%6460.00%10100.00%
272016Troy7463.64%2.235455.56%20100.00%10100.00%6460.00%
282016SMU7463.64%0.4510100.00%6460.00%1150.00%6366.67%
292016New Mexico St.7463.64%0.2710100.00%6460.00%20100.00%5455.56%
302016Fresno St.7463.64%-3000.00%7463.64%010.00%7370.00%
312016Texas Tech7463.64%-3.182166.67%5362.50%6460.00%10100.00%
322016Virginia Tech8561.54%5.356460.00%2166.67%6554.55%20100.00%
332016Southern California8561.54%4.047277.78%1325.00%6554.55%20100.00%
342016Northern Ill.6460.00%0.754180.00%2340.00%000.00%6460.00%
352016Kansas St.7558.33%5.381420.00%6185.71%6554.55%10100.00%
362016Oklahoma St.7558.33%4.963350.00%4266.67%7463.64%010.00%
372016Vanderbilt7558.33%4.831150.00%6460.00%5550.00%20100.00%
382016UCF7558.33%34357.14%3260.00%1150.00%6460.00%
392016Kentucky7558.33%2.332250.00%5362.50%7370.00%020.00%
402016Louisiana Tech7558.33%2.215362.50%2250.00%1150.00%6460.00%
412016Louisiana7558.33%1.673260.00%4357.14%10100.00%6554.55%
422016Utah7558.33%1.214544.44%30100.00%6460.00%1150.00%
432016South Fla.7558.33%0.547463.64%010.00%1233.33%6366.67%
442016Nebraska7558.33%-5.336275.00%1325.00%5550.00%20100.00%
452016Arkansas St.6554.55%4.363350.00%3260.00%010.00%6460.00%
462016North Texas6554.55%3.45010.00%6460.00%10100.00%5550.00%
472016LSU6554.55%2.956460.00%010.00%5550.00%10100.00%
482016North Carolina6554.55%0.273350.00%3260.00%6554.55%000.00%
492016Ball St.6554.55%-0.321325.00%5271.43%10100.00%5550.00%
502016Duke6554.55%-0.591233.33%5362.50%4544.44%20100.00%
512016Rice6554.55%-1.361233.33%5362.50%20100.00%4544.44%
522016Georgia St.6554.55%-1.681233.33%5362.50%10100.00%5550.00%
532016Boston College6554.55%-4.363175.00%3442.86%3537.50%30100.00%
542016Washington7653.85%8.127558.33%010.00%6650.00%10100.00%
552016Ohio7653.85%1.813537.50%4180.00%20100.00%5645.45%
562016Appalachian St.7653.85%1.196460.00%1233.33%1150.00%6554.55%
572016San Diego St.7653.85%1.156650.00%10100.00%010.00%7558.33%
582016Oklahoma7653.85%-0.197558.33%010.00%7463.64%020.00%
592016Washington St.6650.00%7.673442.86%3260.00%4640.00%20100.00%
602016Clemson7750.00%4.824736.36%30100.00%7653.85%010.00%
612016Minnesota6650.00%2.581516.67%5183.33%6554.55%010.00%
622016Iowa6650.00%1.924357.14%2340.00%6554.55%010.00%
632016Massachusetts5550.00%0.4510100.00%4544.44%3175.00%2433.33%
642016Kent St.5550.00%-0.51233.33%4357.14%1150.00%4450.00%
652016Air Force6650.00%-14640.00%20100.00%000.00%6650.00%
662016South Carolina6650.00%-1.292166.67%4544.44%4544.44%2166.67%
672016Georgia6650.00%-2.544450.00%2250.00%6554.55%010.00%
682016Texas6650.00%-4.963537.50%3175.00%4640.00%20100.00%
692016Ohio St.6746.15%4.386746.15%000.00%4736.36%20100.00%
702016Michigan6746.15%3.55741.67%10100.00%4736.36%20100.00%
712016Florida6746.15%0.815455.56%1325.00%6554.55%020.00%
722016Indiana6746.15%-1.082433.33%4357.14%5645.45%1150.00%
732016Stanford6746.15%-1.655645.45%1150.00%5645.45%1150.00%
742016Kansas5645.45%1.14010.00%5550.00%5455.56%020.00%
752016Army West Point5645.45%12433.33%3260.00%1150.00%4544.44%
762016Virginia5645.45%0.59000.00%5645.45%3633.33%20100.00%
772016Tulane5645.45%0.52250.00%3442.86%10100.00%4640.00%
782016Toledo5645.45%-0.233442.86%2250.00%000.00%5645.45%
792016La.-Monroe5645.45%-1.64020.00%5455.56%1150.00%4544.44%
802016Purdue5645.45%-3.2710100.00%4640.00%4544.44%1150.00%
812016UNLV5645.45%-4.551420.00%4266.67%10100.00%4640.00%
822016Arizona St.5645.45%-5.412250.00%3442.86%5550.00%010.00%
832016San Jose St.5645.45%-5.411233.33%4450.00%020.00%5455.56%
842016Memphis5741.67%5.584357.14%1420.00%1150.00%4640.00%
852016New Mexico5741.67%2.292433.33%3350.00%010.00%5645.45%
862016Pittsburgh5741.67%2.212528.57%3260.00%5645.45%010.00%
872016Hawaii5741.67%0.25040.00%5362.50%1150.00%4640.00%
882016West Virginia5741.67%04544.44%1233.33%5645.45%010.00%
892016Louisville5741.67%-2.334640.00%1150.00%4640.00%1150.00%
902016Mississippi St.5741.67%-3.251516.67%4266.67%4450.00%1325.00%
912016Arkansas5741.67%-3.831233.33%4544.44%4640.00%1150.00%
922016Tennessee5741.67%-5.134640.00%1150.00%5550.00%020.00%
932016California4640.00%-1.65010.00%4544.44%3633.33%10100.00%
942016UTEP4640.00%-6.11150.00%3537.50%010.00%4544.44%
952016Middle Tenn.4640.00%-9.553537.50%1150.00%1150.00%3537.50%
962016Nevada4736.36%2.641233.33%3537.50%010.00%4640.00%
972016Buffalo4736.36%-0.86000.00%4736.36%010.00%4640.00%
982016Charlotte4736.36%-1.91010.00%4640.00%010.00%4640.00%
992016Houston4736.36%-2.092722.22%20100.00%20100.00%2722.22%
1002016Syracuse4736.36%-2.64000.00%4736.36%3537.50%1233.33%
1012016Michigan St.4736.36%-3.551614.29%3175.00%3633.33%1150.00%
1022016Missouri4736.36%-4.362250.00%2528.57%3633.33%1150.00%
1032016Bowling Green4736.36%-5020.00%4544.44%010.00%4640.00%
1042016Akron4736.36%-5.361325.00%3442.86%010.00%4640.00%
1052016Illinois4736.36%-6.411150.00%3633.33%4640.00%010.00%
1062016Ole Miss4736.36%-7.452433.33%2340.00%3633.33%1150.00%
1072016Texas St.4736.36%-8.64000.00%4736.36%010.00%4640.00%
1082016Rutgers4736.36%-9.7710100.00%3730.00%3730.00%10100.00%
1092016Notre Dame4833.33%-3.213633.33%1233.33%2722.22%2166.67%
1102016FIU4833.33%-3.63020.00%4640.00%020.00%4640.00%
1112016UCLA4833.33%-5.172528.57%2340.00%4640.00%020.00%
1122016Maryland4833.33%-5.543442.86%1420.00%3730.00%1150.00%
1132016Baylor4833.33%-6.132722.22%2166.67%3633.33%1233.33%
1142016Southern Miss.4833.33%-6.882625.00%2250.00%1150.00%3730.00%
1152016Central Mich.4833.33%-82433.33%2433.33%1150.00%3730.00%
1162016Marshall3730.00%-11.35050.00%3260.00%10100.00%2722.22%
1172016South Ala.3827.27%1.82030.00%3537.50%10100.00%2820.00%
1182016Cincinnati3827.27%-5.952250.00%1614.29%10100.00%2820.00%
1192016Ga. Southern3827.27%-61516.67%2340.00%1150.00%2722.22%
1202016Texas A&M3925.00%-3.082722.22%1233.33%3730.00%020.00%
1212016TCU3925.00%-5.131614.29%2340.00%2918.18%10100.00%
1222016Boise St.31023.08%-7.8531023.08%000.00%030.00%3730.00%
1232016UConn2722.22%-9.22020.00%2528.57%030.00%2433.33%
1242016Oregon2722.22%-10.561420.00%1325.00%2722.22%000.00%
1252016Fla. Atlantic2820.00%-7.6020.00%2625.00%020.00%2625.00%
1262016Utah St.2918.18%-6.51325.00%1614.29%010.00%2820.00%
1272016East Carolina2918.18%-8.451233.33%1712.50%1233.33%1712.50%
1282016Arizona2918.18%-9.68010.00%2820.00%2722.22%020.00%
“It’s a dog eat dog world out there and I’m wearing milkbone underwear .” – Norm Peterson
bazooooka
bazooooka
  • Threads: 3
  • Posts: 185
Joined: Nov 21, 2016
May 9th, 2017 at 3:58:14 PM permalink
Joel,

This data (just tally up all the underdog wins) shows that the Favorites did not even win "MoneyLine" above 70%?

How does that reconcile with your early data that showed you system and Vegas when both on the same favorite can pick 70%-78% "AgainstTheSpread"?

Seems impossible unless you system has very low correlation to Vegas favorite but you have indicated that the overlap is high.
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