Mission146
Mission146
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January 5th, 2016 at 6:10:43 PM permalink
Greetings!

The time has once again arrived for another WoV Playoff Picks Game!

As I have done every single year, I am again changing the Rules. It is actually very difficult to create a set of Rules for this game because I wish for it to give enough of an advantage to players who pick well early going into the Super Bowl, but I also don't want people to have virtually no chance to win after one or two weeks.

Anyway, I think I have found a balance for this, so the Rules are as follows:

How to Play

1.) Anyone is welcome to play, but only participants in the 2015 WoV Picks Game will receive PM reminders on Thursday night to make their Picks. After the Wild Card weekend, all Members who participated in Wild Card weekend will receive reminders. To play, simply PM your Picks to me before the deadline.

2.) There will be one winner and that winner shall receive a prize of $25.

3.) I will be playing and defending the $25.

Making Picks

1.) The Lines for each week will be posted Wednesday Evening before the weekend of the games being played. For each game, there shall be a Point Spread and an Over/Under, every player MUST make picks for the Point Spreads and Over/Unders of every game, there are no Confidence Picks.

2.) The winner will be determined by whoever scores the most points, how points are scored is as follows:

Wild Card + Divisional Playoffs: 1 Point for Every Correct Pick (8 Points Per Week)

Conference Championships: 2 Points for Every Correct Pick (8 Possible Points)

Super Bowl: 4 Points for Every Correct Pick (8 Points Possible)

Furthermore, for the Super Bowl, there will be ten questions based on Props that will be worth one point each. Thus, a perfect score will be 42 Points.

3.) Tie-Breaker

-When making your first set of Picks, you must send me your prediction for the Super Bowl Match-Up and final score. In the event that either or both teams do not make it to the Super Bowl, if that is the case for both players, it will come down to how much those teams scored in the playoffs.

Making Picks

1.) Lines will be posted each Wednesday before the games, Picks must be made BEFORE 23:59 EST on the Friday night before the games. Reminders will be sent at or around 23:59 EST the day after the Lines are posted.

2.) Please Format your Picks the following way:

A.) No Line Breaks

B.) For Spread picks, simply put the team nickname and the spread. (Ex: Bengals +5)

C.) For Over/Unders, simply put the team nickname for EITHER team, and the Over or Under amount. (Ex: Bengals OVER 25)

So, a full set of picks might appear:

Patriots -15
Patriots OVER 52
Jaguars +12
Jaguars UNDER 42
Jets +4-Confidence

Except it wouldn't because the Jets/Jags aren't in the Playoffs.

Hopefully everyone has fun with this game, good luck to all!
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
MidwestAP
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January 6th, 2016 at 6:00:59 AM permalink
Quote: Mission146


So, a full set of picks might appear:

Patriots -15
Patriots OVER 52
Jaguars +12
Jaguars UNDER 42
Jets +4-Confidence

Except it wouldn't because the Jets/Jags aren't in the Playoffs.



It also wouldn't, because there aren't any Confidence picks.

Thanks for doing this, sounds like fun!
SOOPOO
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January 6th, 2016 at 8:54:46 AM permalink
I'm in. I expect to rack up 21 points exactly...
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
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January 6th, 2016 at 9:54:07 AM permalink
Thanks for sponsoring and running this contest again Mission. I hope to repeat my championship run from last year.

Due to the new format, and your defense of the prize, I am curious how you will "avert your eyes" when it is time to make the Super Bowl predictions? Will you send your predictions to a non-participant before publishing the questions? Perhaps a hermetically sealed pickle jar on the porch of Funk and Wagnall's?
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
Mission146
Mission146
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January 6th, 2016 at 12:48:38 PM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

Thanks for sponsoring and running this contest again Mission. I hope to repeat my championship run from last year.

Due to the new format, and your defense of the prize, I am curious how you will "avert your eyes" when it is time to make the Super Bowl predictions? Will you send your predictions to a non-participant before publishing the questions? Perhaps a hermetically sealed pickle jar on the porch of Funk and Wagnall's?



Basically the same as the regular Picks Game, I send all of my stuff to BBB prior to opening any PM's from anyone else.

Actually, here you are:

Pittsburgh: 27 Arizona: 17
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Ayecarumba
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January 6th, 2016 at 2:02:57 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

Basically the same as the regular Picks Game, I send all of my stuff to BBB prior to opening any PM's from anyone else.

Actually, here you are:

Pittsburgh: 27 Arizona: 17



Hehe, actually, I was thinking more about the "prop" questions that will make up half the scoring. Will one of the questions be, "Safety?"
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
Johnzimbo
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January 6th, 2016 at 3:22:06 PM permalink
My first pick is mayonnaise jar over pickle jar :)
Mission146
Mission146
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January 6th, 2016 at 4:56:03 PM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

Hehe, actually, I was thinking more about the "prop" questions that will make up half the scoring. Will one of the questions be, "Safety?"



No, if not all, most will be team or player stats Over/Unders.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
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January 6th, 2016 at 7:05:56 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Wild Card Weekend Lines are as follows:

Chiefs (-3) @ Texans (+3) O/U 40
Steelers (-3) @ Bengals (+3) O/U 45.5
Seahawks (-5) @ Vikings (+5) O/U 40
Packers (-1) @ Redskins (+1) O/U 45

Please remember to include your Super Bowl match up and Super Bowl score along with your Picks! Also remember that you must select a spread AND Over/Under for every game.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
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January 8th, 2016 at 9:45:41 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Wild Card Picks are as follows:

Mission146:

Chiefs -3
Chiefs UNDER 40
Steelers -3
Steelers OVER 45.5
Vikings +5
Vikings OVER 40
Packers -1
Packers UNDER 45

Pittsburgh 27 Arizona 17

JohnZimbo:

Chiefs -3
Chiefs under
Bengals +3
Bengals under
Vikings +5
Vikings under
Packers -1
Packers over

Super Bowl
Cardinals 27 Chiefs 21

Wizard:

Chiefs (-3) U 40
Bengals (+3) U 45.5
Vikings (+5) U 40
Redskins (+1) U 45

SuperBowl: Carolina 27 over Cincinnati 24

MidwestAP:

Chiefs -3
Chiefs OVER
Bengals +3
Bengals UNDER
Vikings +5
Vikings UNDER
Packers -1
Packers UNDER

Super Bowl tie-breaker:
Cardinals 31 Bengals 17

JW17:

Chiefs (-3) Over
Bengals (+3) Under
Vikings (+5) Under
Packers (-1) Over

Super Bowl Will be Denver 35 Arizona 24

AyeCarumba:

Texans +3
Texans Over 40
Bengals +3
Bengals Over 45.5
Seahawks -5
Vikings Under 40
Packers -1
Redskins Over 45

Super Bowl: Panthers 34 Patriots 23

JML24:

Texans +3
Texans UNDER 40
Steelers -3
Steelers UNDER 45.5
Seahawks -5
Seahawks OVER 40
Packers -1
Packers UNDER 45

Super Bowl Prediction:
Panthers 24
Broncos 17

BeachBumBabs:

Chiefs (-3)
Chiefs Over 40
Steelers (-3)
Steelers Under 45.5
Vikings (+5)
Vikings (+5)Over 40
Packers (-1)
Packers (-1) OVER 45

Aluisio:

Chiefs -3
Chiefs UNDER
Steelers -3
Steelers OVER
Seahawks -5
Seahawks UNDER
Packers -1
Packers UNDER

SB Pick: Patriots 27 x Cardinals 24

Gwnwyzgy:

Texans +3
Texans UNDER 40
Bengals +3
Bengals OVER 45.5
Seahawks -5
Seahawks OVER 40
Redskins +1
Redskins OVER 45

Super Bowl

Cardinals 31 Patriots 27

Steeldco:

Texans (+3)
Texans Over 40
Bengals (+3)
Bengals Under 45.5
Seahawks (-5)
Seahawks Over 40
Redskins (+1)
Redskins (+1) Over 45

FourFiveFace:

Texans +3
Texans UNDER 40
Bengals +3
Bengals UNDER 45.5
Vikings +5
Vikings UNDER 40
Packers -1
Packers UNDER 45

Super Bowl: Cardinals 24 Patriots 21

SOOPOO:

Texans +3
Texans over 40
Vikings +5
Vikings over 40
Steelers -3
Steelers under 45.5
Packers -1
Packers over 45

Panthers 23 Patriots 24 for Super Bowl

EdCollins:

Chiefs -3
Chiefs over
Steelers -3
Steelers over
Vikings +5
Vikings over
Packers -1
Packers over

Super Bowl: Panthers (27) vs Broncos (24) total points scored = 51
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Johnzimbo
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January 9th, 2016 at 7:42:54 AM permalink
Did BBB and Steel make the Super Bowl predictions?
GWAE
GWAE
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January 9th, 2016 at 8:50:09 AM permalink
I am surprised to see so many NE super bowl picks. I think they have a great chance of getting upset by either pgh, den, or chiefs.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
GWAE
GWAE
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January 9th, 2016 at 8:59:33 PM permalink
Wholly F, what a game that was.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
MidwestAP
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January 9th, 2016 at 10:16:26 PM permalink
Quote: GWAE

Wholly F, what a game that was.



Couldn't have said it any better. Even after the Bengals took the lead, I still thought there was a good chance the might self-destruct, and sure enough.
EdCollins
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January 9th, 2016 at 10:55:28 PM permalink


Please let me know if you see any errors.
EdCollins
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January 10th, 2016 at 4:45:27 PM permalink
GWAE
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January 10th, 2016 at 5:04:24 PM permalink
How about that, all road winners. Has this happened before? I assume it has.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
DRich
DRich
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January 10th, 2016 at 6:31:55 PM permalink
Quote: GWAE

How about that, all road winners. Has this happened before? I assume it has.



It probably has but I doubt there was ever four home underdogs in the first week of playoffs.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
Johnzimbo
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January 10th, 2016 at 6:40:35 PM permalink
Towards the end of the last game they said it had never happened before.

And this is one week I wish I had a bookie!
MidwestAP
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January 10th, 2016 at 7:18:20 PM permalink
Quote: Johnzimbo

Towards the end of the last game they said it had never happened before.

And this is one week I wish I had a bookie!



Nice week!
Mission146
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January 11th, 2016 at 8:32:46 PM permalink
Great week, JohnZimbo, and thanks for compiling the results and the excellent spreadsheet, EdCollins, I didn't even know you were doing that!
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
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January 11th, 2016 at 8:37:14 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

Great week, JohnZimbo, and thanks for compiling the results and the excellent spreadsheet, EdCollins, I didn't even know you were doing that!



I was bored. I wanted to see the results.

(It's what I do. I'm an internal auditor. I work with spreadsheets and numbers all day long.)

I figured you wouldn't mind.
GWAE
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January 12th, 2016 at 2:38:37 AM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

I was bored. I wanted to see the results.

(It's what I do. I'm an internal auditor. I work with spreadsheets and numbers all day long.)

I figured you wouldn't mind.



ewww you are one of those people that we would all cringe at as we see you walking to the front door. <flashback>
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
SOOPOO
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January 12th, 2016 at 7:18:39 AM permalink
Notice who went exactly 4-4, keeping his aura of Mr. Average intact.
runspotwalk
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January 12th, 2016 at 10:40:45 AM permalink
Quote: GWAE

I am surprised to see so many NE super bowl picks. I think they have a great chance of getting upset by either pgh, den, or chiefs.



I don't follow NFL, except Super Bowl. Last time I read about NE they were 10 and 0. Don't remember seeing anything about undefeated team, so I can safely assume NE lost 1 of those last 6 games ? ? ?
EdCollins
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January 12th, 2016 at 5:34:56 PM permalink
Quote: runspotwalk

I don't follow NFL, except Super Bowl. Last time I read about NE they were 10 and 0. Don't remember seeing anything about undefeated team, so I can safely assume NE lost 1 of those last 6 games ? ? ?

Yes. They started 10-0 and then they lost 4 out of their next 6 games, to finish the season at 12-4. They are the #2 Seed in the AFC

After starting the season 14-0, the Carolina Panthers lost their next game and finished 15-1.
Mission146
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January 13th, 2016 at 8:59:13 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Quarterfinals (eh, Divisional, but not really) Lines are as follows:

Note that no two of the teams playing one another share a Division.

Chiefs (+5) @ Patriots (-5) O/U 42
Packers (+7) @ Cardinals (-7) O/U 50
Seahawks (+2.5) @ Panthers (-2.5) O/U 44
Steelers (+6.5) @ Broncos (-6.5) O/U 39
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
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January 16th, 2016 at 12:55:47 AM permalink
Greetings!

The Divisional Round (in which no two competing teams share a Division) Picks are as follows:

Mission146:

Chiefs +5
Chiefs OVER 42
Packers +7
Packers UNDER 50
Panthers -2.5
Panthers UNDER 44
Steelers +6.5
Steelers OVER 39

MidwestAP:

Chiefs +5
Chiefs Over 42
Cardinals -7
Cardinals Under 50
Seahawks +2.5
Seahawks Under 44
Broncos -6.5
Broncos Over 39

JohnZimbo:

Chiefs and over
Cardinals and over
Panthers and under
Steelers and over

JML24:

Chiefs +5
Chiefs UNDER 42
Packers +7
Packers UNDER 50
Seahawks +2.5
Seahawks OVER 44
Broncos -6.5
Broncos OVER 39

Aluisio:

Steelers +6.5 / over
Seahawks +2.5 / under
Patriots -5 / under
Packers +7 / under

Steeldco:

Chiefs (+5) Over 42
Cardinals (-7) Over 50
Panthers (-2.5) Over 44
Broncos (-6.5) Under 39

Wizard:

Chiefs (+5) U 42
Packers (+7) U 50
Seahawks (+2.5) U 44
Broncos (-6.5) U 39

GenWyzgy:

Chiefs +5 OVER 42
Cardinals -7 UNDER 50
Panthers -2.5 OVER 44
Broncos -6.5 OVER 39

SOOPOO:

Chiefs +5
Chiefs over 42
Packers +7
Packers under 50
Panthers -2.5
Panthers over 44
Steelers +6.5
Steelers under 39

EdCollins:

Chiefs +5 / Under
Cardinals -7 / Under
Panthers -2.5 / Under
Broncos -6.5 / Under

AyeCarumba:

Chiefs +5
Chiefs Over 42
Packers +7
Packers Under 50
Panthers -2.5
Panthers Over 44
Broncos -6.5
Broncos Over 39

JW17:

Chiefs (+5) Over
Cardinals (-7) Under
Panthers (-2.5) Under
Broncos (-6.5 Over

BeachBumBabs:

Chiefs +5
Chiefs Under 42
Cards -7
Cards Under 50
Panthers -2.5
Panthers Over 44
Broncos -6.5
Broncos Over 39
Last edited by: beachbumbabs on Jan 16, 2016
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Johnzimbo
Johnzimbo
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January 16th, 2016 at 4:52:51 AM permalink
Wow, only one person took the Patriots. Would love to see KC win that game straight up. Who's with me?
beachbumbabs
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January 16th, 2016 at 4:56:24 AM permalink
Quote: Johnzimbo

Wow, only one person took the Patriots. Would love to see KC win that game straight up. Who's with me?



I'm totally with you. Go Chiefs!!!!!!!!
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
Mission146
Mission146
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January 16th, 2016 at 9:26:29 AM permalink
FourFiveFace submitted Picks a few hours after post:

FourFiveFace:

Chiefs +5
Chiefs OVER 42
Packers +7
Packers UNDER 50
Panthers -2.5
Panthers OVER 44
Steelers +6.5
Steelers OVER 39

I'll let the first best of three votes among active players decide whether or not we accept these Picks.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
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January 16th, 2016 at 9:35:22 AM permalink
Quote: Mission146


I'll let the first best of three votes among active players decide whether or not we accept these Picks.

I vote yes. (I think it's too early to start looking at the picks of others, and then attempting to pick your games based upon those picks.)
Ayecarumba
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January 16th, 2016 at 10:27:44 AM permalink
I vote same as BBB's and Steeldco's SB predictions. Was that decided somewhere?
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
steeldco
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January 16th, 2016 at 10:51:22 AM permalink
I vote yes. Put them in.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
beachbumbabs
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January 16th, 2016 at 11:53:34 AM permalink
I vote yes; it's before kickoff. Thanks for asking.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
EdCollins
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January 17th, 2016 at 5:05:41 PM permalink
SOOPOO
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January 18th, 2016 at 1:00:45 PM permalink
Quote: EdCollins



Even last place still has a decent shot with all the superbowl prop bets. For those who want to bet against me.... I'll be taking the Patriots and Panthers....
EdCollins
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January 18th, 2016 at 1:36:59 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Even last place still has a decent shot with all the superbowl prop bets.

Yep, that was Mission's goal. He wanted players to still have a chance after one or two weeks.
Mission146
Mission146
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January 18th, 2016 at 10:20:32 PM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

Yep, that was Mission's goal. He wanted players to still have a chance after one or two weeks.



Absolutely, I think I'm happy with this format. It's possible that 10-50% of the field will be all but done after this week, but I can live with that.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Ayecarumba
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January 20th, 2016 at 9:22:13 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: EdCollins



Even last place still has a decent shot with all the superbowl prop bets. For those who want to bet against me.... I'll be taking the Patriots and Panthers....


You are amazing SOOPOO. The mean total after two weeks is 9, which you nailed. I am worried because I also have the Pats and the Cats in the Big Game...hehe
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
Mission146
Mission146
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January 20th, 2016 at 10:20:23 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Conference Championship Lines are as follows:

Patriots -3 @ Denver +3 O/U 44.5

Arizona +3 @ Carolina -3 O/U 48
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Ayecarumba
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January 20th, 2016 at 10:46:22 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

Greetings!

The Conference Championship Lines are as follows:

Patriots -3 @ Denver +3 O/U 44.5

Arizona +3 @ Carolina -3 O/U 48


A home dog in the conference championship! What a season this has been.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
beachbumbabs
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January 20th, 2016 at 10:52:11 PM permalink
If it were up to me, AZ vs CAR would be the Superbowl. But I'll enjoy it as if it were.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
SOOPOO
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January 22nd, 2016 at 12:41:02 PM permalink
In case my message fails, I took Pats under, Panthers over.
beachbumbabs
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January 24th, 2016 at 11:07:11 AM permalink
Mission is out and about after being snowed in the last couple of days. He will post picks some time tonight, probably after the games. His pics are Pats Under, AZ Over.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
EdCollins
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January 24th, 2016 at 11:24:06 AM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

Mission is out and about after being snowed in the last couple of days. He will post picks some time tonight, probably after the games. His pics are Pats Under, AZ Over.


Thanks Babs.

My picks are almost the exact opposite. I took Pats Over and Panthers Under.
MidwestAP
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January 24th, 2016 at 12:13:24 PM permalink
I have Pats over Cards under
steeldco
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January 24th, 2016 at 12:15:53 PM permalink
I took:
Denver +3 Over 44.5

Carolina -3 Over 48
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
beachbumbabs
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January 24th, 2016 at 1:06:54 PM permalink
I suppose it's inevitable that some of us will match up, but my picks are identical to Mission: Pats Under, Birds Over.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
SOOPOO
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January 24th, 2016 at 4:20:32 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

I suppose it's inevitable that some of us will match up, but my picks are identical to Mission: Pats Under, Birds Over.



Can I make my picks now. I'd do better....
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