http://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/basketball-us/nba-matches/Golden-State-Warriors-At-Cleveland-Cavaliers-2041627.html
Personal Opinion: I actually think the Cavs are the better value team, but I still had $300 @ $1.92 and $150 @ $1.67 with the above sportsbook on the Warriors
most other books have GS @ - 4 atm
Quote: ksdjdjStill the same prices and spreads as of 1630 EST,
most other place have GS @ - 4 atm
I saw -3 several places in Vegas this morning (Westgate superbook and sonny hill).
I wagered 440 on the warriors for the series this morning @ -110. ($440 to win $400). This was actually a hedge on my previous bet before the series started of $400 on cavs @ +200. ($400 to win $800)
I know hedging is for wimps. I just don't think the cavs have 2 more miracles in them. Lebron is killing himself. I think his little injury at the end of last game was bigger than we know. Dellavanova is so spent that he spent 24 hours in the hospital after game 3.
I never liked Lebron, but I am pulling for the cavs. I think it would be the greatest performance ever if he was to carry this team to a championship with the next 2 best player out. So now after my hedge I am set up if golden state wins I am even, if The cavs go on and win I win $360.
BTW, the team that wins game 3 of a series tied 1-1, in the finals has gone on to win 84% of the time. That's a strong trend, but the cavs are so depleted, this may be that minority.
Quote: kewljI saw -3 several places in Vegas this morning (Westgate superbook and sonny hill).
I wagered 440 on the warriors for the series this morning @ -110. ($440 to win $400). This was actually a hedge on my previous bet before the series started of $400 on cavs @ +200. ($400 to win $800)
I know hedging is for wimps. I just don't think the cavs have 2 more miracles in them. Lebron is killing himself. I think his little injury at the end of last game was bigger than we know. Dellavanova is so spent that he spent 24 hours in the hospital after game 3.
I never liked Lebron, but I am pulling for the cavs. I think it would be the greatest performance ever if he was to carry this team to a championship with the next 2 best player out. So now after my hedge I am set up if golden state wins I am even, if The cavs go on and win I win $360.
BTW, the team that wins game 3 of a series tied 1-1, in the finals has gone on to win 84% of the time. That's a strong trend, but the cavs are so depleted, this may be that minority.
"Hedging is for wimps": I personally like hedging (when I can do it),
But I think most 'smart punters' say it is generally better to let the bet stand over the long-term, but I could be wrong
Quote: ksdjdjprice changed to $1.55 and the spread is now -4.0, @ Sportsbet now,
Geez, -4 is getting up near the alternative point spread which was 7 at westgate this morning.
GS -7 +200
Quote: ksdjdj"Hedging is for wimps": I personally like hedging (when I can do it),
But I think most 'smart punters' say it is generally better to let the bet stand over the long-term, but I could be wrong
I agree hedging is usually a bad play. I think this is a special circumstance. This is no longer the same team that it was when I placed my initial wager. They are depleted to the point I don't think they can win any longer. So I want to take advantage of the fact that they did miraculously win 2 games and put me in the position to hedge. And if they some how have two more miracles in them, I will be ok with having given up half of my potential profit.
Quote: kewljI saw -3 several places in Vegas this morning (Westgate superbook and sonny hill).
I wagered 440 on the warriors for the series this morning @ -110. ($440 to win $400). This was actually a hedge on my previous bet before the series started of $400 on cavs @ +200. ($400 to win $800)
I know hedging is for wimps. I just don't think the cavs have 2 more miracles in them. Lebron is killing himself. I think his little injury at the end of last game was bigger than we know. Dellavanova is so spent that he spent 24 hours in the hospital after game 3.
I never liked Lebron, but I am pulling for the cavs. I think it would be the greatest performance ever if he was to carry this team to a championship with the next 2 best player out. So now after my hedge I am set up if golden state wins I am even, if The cavs go on and win I win $360.
BTW, the team that wins game 3 of a series tied 1-1, in the finals has gone on to win 84% of the time. That's a strong trend, but the cavs are so depleted, this may be that minority.
Yeah, when I do hedge, I usually lean towards making a 'profit' on the first bet (if that team wins), and make the second(hedge) bet a 'push' (if that teams win), like you did below:
"I wagered 440 on the warriors for the series this morning @ -110. ($440 to win $400). This was actually a hedge on my previous bet before the series started of $400 on cavs @ +200. ($400 to win $800)"