steeldco
steeldco
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September 14th, 2014 at 9:10:19 AM permalink
Week 2 Picks:
Washington Redskins -4.5
Kansas City Chiefs 12.5
Dallas Cowboys 3.5
Buffalo Bills -1
Chicago Bears 7
San Diego Chargers 5
Detroit Lions 1
Atlanta Falcons 5
Arizona Cardinals 2
New England Patriots -3.5
St. Louis Rams 4
Houston Texans -3
New Orleans Saints -5.5
Green Bay Packers -7.5
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steeldco
steeldco
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September 15th, 2014 at 5:55:37 AM permalink
Week 2 Results:
W/L
Washington Redskins -4.5 W
Kansas City Chiefs 12.5 W
Dallas Cowboys 3.5 W
Buffalo Bills -1 W
Chicago Bears 7 W
San Diego Chargers 5 W
Detroit Lions 1 L
Atlanta Falcons 5 L
Arizona Cardinals 2 W
New England Patriots -3.5 W
St. Louis Rams 4 W
Houston Texans -3 W
New Orleans Saints -5.5 L
Green Bay Packers -7.5 L

I think I can handle a 10 and 4 week.
Total 10-4
Favorites 4-2
Home 3-1
Visitor 7-3
Visiting Favorite 1-1
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steeldco
steeldco
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September 18th, 2014 at 4:58:17 AM permalink
Tonight's Pick:

Atlanta Falcons -6.5
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steeldco
steeldco
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September 21st, 2014 at 11:02:07 AM permalink
I believe that I had said last year that Kirk Cousins was a better QB than RG3. It looks like I will be proven right, this year.
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steeldco
steeldco
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September 22nd, 2014 at 4:31:34 AM permalink
It looks like I had a brain cramp yesterday and did not post the picks. And not that you should believe me, but I am 10 and 5 so far this week.
Tonight's Pick is New York Jets -3
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steeldco
steeldco
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September 23rd, 2014 at 3:55:21 AM permalink
Week 3 Results:
Oakland Raiders W
Indianapolis Colts W
Pittsburgh Steelers W
New Orleans Saints W
Cincinnati Bengals W
St. Louis Rams L
Philadelphia Eagles L
New York Jets L
San Francisco 49ers L
Green Bay Packers L
Atlanta Falcons W
Kansas City Chiefs W
Seattle Seahawks W
New York Giants W
Baltimore Ravens W
Buffalo Bills L


Total 10-6
Favorites 6-4
Home 5-4
Visitor 5-2
Visiting Favorite 2-1

YTD Total 20-10
Favorites 10-6
Home 8-5
Visitor 12-5
Visiting Favorite 3-2

YTD Total % 66.67%
Favorites 62.50%
Home 61.54%
Visitor 70.59%
Visiting Favorite 60.00%
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beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
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September 23rd, 2014 at 7:25:06 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

Week 3 Results:
Oakland Raiders W
Indianapolis Colts W
Pittsburgh Steelers W
New Orleans Saints W
Cincinnati Bengals W
St. Louis Rams L
Philadelphia Eagles L
New York Jets L
San Francisco 49ers L
Green Bay Packers L
Atlanta Falcons W
Kansas City Chiefs W
Seattle Seahawks W
New York Giants W
Baltimore Ravens W
Buffalo Bills L


Total 10-6
Favorites 6-4
Home 5-4
Visitor 5-2
Visiting Favorite 2-1

YTD Total 20-10
Favorites 10-6
Home 8-5
Visitor 12-5
Visiting Favorite 3-2

YTD Total % 66.67%
Favorites 62.50%
Home 61.54%
Visitor 70.59%
Visiting Favorite 60.00%



These are great results, steel; I hope you're playing these, and not just exhibiting a great display of fantasy skills!
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
steeldco
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September 23rd, 2014 at 8:35:00 AM permalink
Thanks so much beachbumbabs!
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steeldco
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September 24th, 2014 at 6:03:17 AM permalink
Week 4, Thursday's Pick:

New York Giants +3.5
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Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
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September 24th, 2014 at 11:09:09 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

Week 4, Thursday's Pick:

New York Giants +3.5



After the Skins strong performance Sunday, I am curious why you are going with the G-men Thursday? They did have a nice win, but c'mon, it's the Giants.

Is the half-point over a field goal the key?
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
MidwestAP
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September 24th, 2014 at 11:11:50 AM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

After the Skins strong performance Sunday, I am curious why you are going with the G-men Thursday? They did have a nice win, but c'mon, it's the Giants.

Is the half-point over a field goal the key?



I was thinking the same thing as Aye, I like the 'skins. I think they are a better team and they are home. But that extra half points scares me. Therefore, I'm laying off this game.
steeldco
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September 24th, 2014 at 11:25:33 AM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

After the Skins strong performance Sunday, I am curious why you are going with the G-men Thursday? They did have a nice win, but c'mon, it's the Giants.

Is the half-point over a field goal the key?


Aye, I just saw your post and I just don't remember off the top of my head the stats well enough to give you an answer. I'm not home where I have my database. I will try to look it up and post tomorrow morning.
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chickenman
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September 24th, 2014 at 11:51:11 AM permalink
I have the Redskins straight up in an office pool but also have interest in the answer to this so patiently await your update.
MidwestAP
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September 24th, 2014 at 12:36:15 PM permalink
Quote: chickenman

I have the Redskins straight up in an office pool but also have interest in the answer to this so patiently await your update.



Straight up, I think the Redskins are the pick for sure. I'm just not confident giving up 3.5 points ATS.
chickenman
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September 24th, 2014 at 12:39:13 PM permalink
Yes, I think that half point is big.
chickenman
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September 24th, 2014 at 1:04:38 PM permalink
The Redskins have 9 questionable for Thursday so whoever can put eleven on both sides of the ball may win :-(
steeldco
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September 24th, 2014 at 5:37:33 PM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

After the Skins strong performance Sunday, I am curious why you are going with the G-men Thursday? They did have a nice win, but c'mon, it's the Giants.

Is the half-point over a field goal the key?



Ayecarumba, I show the Redskins to be the better team by 1 point. Therefore, I am taking the Giants plus 3.5.
I use between 15-20 variables and these two are awfully close in total. Again, 1 point.
Keep in mind that they have had a common opponent this year. The Giants just beat the Texans 30-17 in New York, taking a little air out of the Texans' balloon after they started 2-0. Conversely, Washington lost to the Texans, in Texas, 6-17 which gave the Texans a bit of momentum.
Lastly, the Giants losing to both Detroit and Arizona was less surprising than the Redskins losing to Philly and Houston.
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Ayecarumba
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September 24th, 2014 at 9:46:37 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

Ayecarumba, I show the Redskins to be the better team by 1 point. Therefore, I am taking the Giants plus 3.5.
I use between 15-20 variables and these two are awfully close in total. Again, 1 point.
Keep in mind that they have had a common opponent this year. The Giants just beat the Texans 30-17 in New York, taking a little air out of the Texans' balloon after they started 2-0. Conversely, Washington lost to the Texans, in Texas, 6-17 which gave the Texans a bit of momentum.
Lastly, the Giants losing to both Detroit and Arizona was less surprising than the Redskins losing to Philly and Houston.

Very interesting. I think the Redskins could dominate the game but the Giants upset win was impressive enough to scare me off.
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MidwestAP
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September 25th, 2014 at 2:21:43 PM permalink
Well contrary to what I said earlier, I played the Redskins ML tonight at -160. Not for a lot, but I just think the Skins are a better team even on a neutral site, and they get the game at home.
steeldco
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September 25th, 2014 at 2:40:39 PM permalink
Quote: MidwestAP

Well contrary to what I said earlier, I played the Redskins ML tonight at -160. Not for a lot, but I just think the Skins are a better team even on a neutral site, and they get the game at home.



Well, the spread is down to -3. Happy with the +3.5 here.
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steeldco
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September 28th, 2014 at 5:00:56 AM permalink
The balance of week 4's picks are:
Oakland Raiders 4
Baltimore Ravens -3
San Diego Chargers -13
Philadelphia Eagles 5.5
Green Bay Packers -1.5
New Orleans Saints -3
Pittsburgh Steelers -7.5
Kansas City Chiefs 3.5
Buffalo Bills 3
Minnesota Vikings 3
Indianapolis Colts -7.5
New York Jets 1.5
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steeldco
steeldco
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September 30th, 2014 at 7:47:56 AM permalink
Week 4 Results:
Oakland Raiders L
Baltimore Ravens W
San Diego Chargers W
Philadelphia Eagles W
Green Bay Packers W
New Orleans Saints L
Pittsburgh Steelers L
Kansas City Chiefs W
Buffalo Bills L
Minnesota Vikings W
New York Giants W
Indianapolis Colts W
New York Jets L


Week 4 Summary:
Total 8-5
Favorites 4-3
Home 5-3
Visitor 3-2
Visiting Favorite 1-1


YTD Summary:
YTD Total 28-15
Favorites 14-9
Home 13-8
Visitor 15-7
Visiting Favorite 4-3

YTD Total % 65.12%
Favorites 60.87%
Home 61.90%
Visitor 68.18%
Visiting Favorite 57.14%
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steeldco
steeldco
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October 5th, 2014 at 5:32:46 AM permalink
Balance of Week 5's Picks:
Denver Broncos -7
Cleveland Browns 2
Baltimore Ravens 3.5
Atlanta Falcons 4
Minnesota Vikings 8.5
Houston Texans 6
New Orleans Saints -10.5
St. Louis Rams 7
Carolina Panthers -2.5
Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5
Buffalo Bills 7
San Francisco 49ers -6
Cincinnati Bengals -1
San Diego Chargers -6.5
Seattle Seahawks -7
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steeldco
steeldco
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October 7th, 2014 at 3:59:33 AM permalink
Week 5 Results:
W/L
Denver Broncos W
Cleveland Browns W
Baltimore Ravens L
Atlanta Falcons L
Minnesota Vikings L
Houston Texans W
New Orleans Saints L
St. Louis Rams W
Carolina Panthers W
Pittsburgh Steelers W
Buffalo Bills W
San Francisco 49ers L
Cincinnati Bengals L
San Diego Chargers W
Seattle Seahawks W


Total 9-6
Favorites 5-3
Home 3-2
Dogs 4-3
Visitor 6-4
Visiting Favorite 2-1

YTD Total 37-21
Favorites 19-12
Dogs 17-8
Home 17-11
Visitor 21-11
Visiting Favorite 6-4


YTD Total % 63.79%
Favorites 61.29%
Dogs 68.00%
Home 60.71%
Visitor 65.63%
Visiting Favorite 60.00%
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steeldco
steeldco
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October 8th, 2014 at 6:11:51 AM permalink
Week 6 Thursday night pick is:
Houston +2.5
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steeldco
steeldco
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October 12th, 2014 at 6:34:42 AM permalink
The balance of week 6 picks are:
New York Jets 8
Cleveland Browns -2
Tennessee Titans -6
Atlanta Falcons -3
Miami Dolphins 3.5
Minnesota Vikings 2
Cincinnati Bengals -7
New England Patriots -3
Baltimore Ravens -3
Oakland Raiders 7
Dallas Cowboys 8.5
Arizona Cardinals -3.5
Philadelphia Eagles -2.5
St. Louis Rams 3.5
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steeldco
steeldco
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October 14th, 2014 at 5:13:10 AM permalink
Week 6 Results are:

Atlanta Falcons L
Oakland Raiders W
Dallas Cowboys W
Arizona Cardinals W
New York Jets L
St. Louis Rams L
Minnesota Vikings L
Cleveland Browns W
Houston Texans L
Tennessee Titans L
Cincinnati Bengals L
Baltimore Ravens W
Miami Dolphins W
New England Patriots W
Philadelphia Eagles W


Total 8-7
Favorites 5-3
Home 5-7
Dogs 3-4
Visitor 3-0
Visiting Favorite 2-0


YTD Total 45-28
Favorites 24-15
Dogs 22-15
Home 20-15
Visitor 24-11
Visiting Favorite 8-4


YTD Total % 61.64%
Favorites 61.54%
Dogs 81.48%
Home 57.14%
Visitor 68.57%
Visiting Favorite 66.67%
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Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
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October 14th, 2014 at 3:40:32 PM permalink
Home dogs are supposed to average 51%. Do you think your picks will continue to fight the pull to come back to this average?
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steeldco
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October 15th, 2014 at 5:29:21 AM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

Home dogs are supposed to average 51%. Do you think your picks will continue to fight the pull to come back to this average?



I fully expect that all of the picks hit better than average, whether they are home dogs, or home favorites.
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steeldco
steeldco
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October 16th, 2014 at 10:51:43 AM permalink
Week 7's Thursday night pick is:

New York Jets +9.5
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Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
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October 16th, 2014 at 11:37:58 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

Week 7's Thursday night pick is:

New York Jets +9.5



Are you putting real money on this line? I think it will be either very close to this line, or a complete blowout. Given the track record for the Thursday night games, I am leaning toward blowout. The short week is a killer, even if you are only trying to recover from small aches and pains.
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steeldco
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October 16th, 2014 at 11:40:34 AM permalink
Frankly, I LOVE this pick. Jet straight up maybe........
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Ayecarumba
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October 16th, 2014 at 12:40:57 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

Jet straight up maybe........



Wow... why? Brady seems to have settled into a nice 40 points per game groove, and the Jets are still a mess. I think they'll get 12 - 18 points on the board.
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steeldco
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October 16th, 2014 at 1:06:50 PM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

Wow... why? Brady seems to have settled into a nice 40 points per game groove, and the Jets are still a mess. I think they'll get 12 - 18 points on the board.



My algorithm has the Patriots by 5 1/2.
To me, that's a turnover away from a Jets straight up win. At +400 on the M/L, it's worth a shot.
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artvandelay
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October 16th, 2014 at 1:55:17 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

My algorithm has the Patriots by 5 .



My Al Gore Rhythm is still crunching the numbers
steeldco
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October 16th, 2014 at 2:17:44 PM permalink
BTW, New England has been the most wagered on team this season, per covers.com.
It seems the general public likes them very much. Brady has become just average.

So, since I'm playing with my crystal balls......my call is that either New England wins 27 to 20, or the Jets win 21 to 20.
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Ayecarumba
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October 16th, 2014 at 3:08:11 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

BTW, New England has been the most wagered on team this season, per covers.com.
It seems the general public likes them very much. Brady has become just average.

So, since I'm playing with my crystal balls......my call is that either New England wins 27 to 20, or the Jets win 21 to 20.



Hehe... Let me ask Karnak, my NFL Wonder Dog...

...woof....

He says Pats 37, Jets 13.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
steeldco
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October 16th, 2014 at 3:20:30 PM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

Hehe... Let me ask Karnak, my NFL Wonder Dog...

...woof....

He says Pats 37, Jets 13.



So he's taking the over?
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Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
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October 16th, 2014 at 4:19:06 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

So he's taking the over?



Yes. He says bad weather is tougher on the defense.
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steeldco
steeldco
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October 17th, 2014 at 5:14:06 AM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

Hehe... Let me ask Karnak, my NFL Wonder Dog...

...woof....

He says Pats 37, Jets 13.



Ayecarumba, maybe you should rename him Fade?
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Ayecarumba
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October 17th, 2014 at 10:10:12 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

Ayecarumba, maybe you should rename him Fade?



Hehe... "Fade-O"

He was right on the moneyline and the over though, so I still gave him a treat. He promised to do better on Sunday.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
steeldco
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October 17th, 2014 at 10:23:48 AM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

Hehe... "Fade-O"

He was right on the moneyline and the over though, so I still gave him a treat. He promised to do better on Sunday.



I'll give him the over. The Moneyline, however, that was dicey. He won but there was no value there. Give him half a treat.......
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Ayecarumba
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October 17th, 2014 at 11:04:09 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

I'll give him the over. The Moneyline, however, that was dicey. He won but there was no value there. Give him half a treat.......



Hehe, I suspect his grudge against Michael Vick was influencing his prediction. I'll have to take a second look at his Cleveland/Jacksonville pick this weekend. For some reason he always chooses the Browns over teams with cat mascots.
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steeldco
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October 17th, 2014 at 11:56:20 AM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

Hehe, I suspect his grudge against Michael Vick was influencing his prediction. I'll have to take a second look at his Cleveland/Jacksonville pick this weekend. For some reason he always chooses the Browns over teams with cat mascots.



LOLOL
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steeldco
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October 19th, 2014 at 5:55:24 AM permalink
The balance of week 7's picks are:
New Orleans Saints 2.5
Cleveland Browns -5
Cincinnati Bengals 3
Atlanta Falcons 7
Carolina Panthers 7
San Francisco 49ers 6.5
San Diego Chargers -4
Oakland Raiders 3.5
Minnesota Vikings 5.5
St. Louis Rams 7
Dallas Cowboys -6.5
Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5
Miami Dolphins 3.5
Washington Redskins -5.5
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steeldco
steeldco
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October 21st, 2014 at 4:35:31 AM permalink
Week 7 Results:
New Orleans Saints W
New York Jets W
Cleveland Browns L
Cincinnati Bengals L
Atlanta Falcons L
Carolina Panthers L
San Francisco 49ers L
San Diego Chargers L
Oakland Raiders L
Minnesota Vikings W
St. Louis Rams W
Dallas Cowboys W
Pittsburgh Steelers W
Miami Dolphins W
Washington Redskins L


Total 7-8
Favorites 2-3
Home 3-3
Dogs 5-5
Visitor 4-5
Visiting Favorite 0-1


YTD Total 52-36
Favorites 26-18
Dogs 25-18
Home 25-20
Visitor 28-16
Visiting Favorite 8-5


YTD Total % 59.09%
Favorites 59.09%
Dogs 75.76%
Home 55.56%
Visitor 63.64%
Visiting Favorite 61.54%
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steeldco
steeldco
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October 26th, 2014 at 5:13:29 AM permalink
Week 8 Picks:
Atlanta Falcons 4
Washington Redskins 9.5
Arizona Cardinals -2.5
Pittsburgh Steelers 3
St. Louis Rams 6.5
New Orleans Saints -1.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3
San Diego Chargers 7.5
New York Jets -3
Oakland Raiders 7
Jacksonville Jaguars 5.5
New England Patriots -6.5
Cincinnati Bengals -1.5
Seattle Seahawks -4.5
Tennessee Titans 1
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
October 28th, 2014 at 5:54:23 AM permalink
Week 8 Results:
W/L
Atlanta Falcons W
Washington Redskins W
Arizona Cardinals W
Pittsburgh Steelers W
St. Louis Rams L
New Orleans Saints W
Tampa Bay Buccaneers L
San Diego Chargers L
New York Jets L
Oakland Raiders L
Jacksonville Jaguars L
New England Patriots W
Cincinnati Bengals W
Seattle Seahawks L
Tennessee Titans L


Total 7-8
Favorites 4-3
Home 5-4
Dogs 3-5
Visitor 2-4
Visiting Favorite 0-1


YTD Total 59-44
Favorites 30-21
Dogs 30-22
Home 28-25
Visitor 30-20
Visiting Favorite 8-6


YTD Total % 57.28%
Favorites 58.82%
Dogs 57.69%
Home 52.83%
Visitor 60.00%
Visiting Favorite 57.14%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
November 9th, 2014 at 5:37:33 AM permalink
Week 10 Picks:
Oakland Raiders 11.5
Tennessee Titans 9.5
Cleveland Browns 6
Dallas Cowboys -6.5
New York Jets 5
Carolina Panthers 6
Miami Dolphins 3
Arizona Cardinals -7
Kansas City Chiefs -2
Atlanta Falcons -1
New Orleans Saints -4.5
Seattle Seahawks -9.5
Green Bay Packers -7.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
November 13th, 2014 at 11:58:29 AM permalink
Week 10 Results:
Oakland Raiders L
Tennessee Titans L
Cleveland Browns W
Dallas Cowboys W
New York Jets W
Carolina Panthers L
Miami Dolphins L
Arizona Cardinals W
Kansas City Chiefs W
Atlanta Falcons W
New Orleans Saints L
Seattle Seahawks W
Green Bay Packers W


YTD Total 71-58
Favorites 36-24
Dogs 36-29
Home 34-36
Visitor 36-27
Visiting Favorite 11-6


YTD Total % 55.04%
Favorites 60.00%
Dogs 55.38%
Home 48.57%
Visitor 57.14%
Visiting Favorite 64.71%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
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