Army/navy game

I was looking at the total.

Weather is bad, 2-3 inches snow, rain.sleet, freezing temps.

Total went from 55 to 51.5

But these are 2 teams that almost exclusively run. Less then 100 yards via air for each team. Run defense is not great.

I think the weather will allow runners to run, make a cut, and leave the defender slipping and falling

slippery uniforms ...less clean tackles.

I looked at the phil eagles game in the snow.....they are still scoring on the run as i type this

I will go for an over. 51.5

Quote: LarryS

I was looking at the total.

Weather is bad, 2-3 inches snow, rain.sleet, freezing temps.

Total went from 55 to 51.5

But these are 2 teams that almost exclusively run. Less then 100 yards via air for each team. Run defense is not great.

I think the weather will allow runners to run, make a cut, and leave the defender slipping and falling

slippery uniforms ...less clean tackles.

I looked at the phil eagles game in the snow.....they are still scoring on the run as i type this

I will go for an over. 51.5

Very logical breakdown on the totals play. If I play the over you can tear your ticket up right now. If your not down on the game yet.....wait until I weigh in and simply play the opposite.

Hopefully you didn't get down on game.....

yes I did....bad analysis...no excuses

I had a friend that was saying the same kind of stuff you were about this game and wanted the over. It was like he read this thread or something, but highly doubtful. He has a great job, but never wins at sports. It seems the more confident he is about something , the less likely it is valid. So I took his action. I simply told him, it was bad luck.

That's a shame Larry because the analysis made a LOT of sense. Maybe that Eagles runner McCoy just has four wheel drive going. My next big bet is going on NO over Carolina next week again. Brees was one angry man after the Seattle whooping, and Carolina can't cover several elite receivers.

Quote: tournamentking

That's a shame Larry because the analysis made a LOT of sense. Maybe that Eagles runner McCoy just has four wheel drive going. My next big bet is going on NO over Carolina next week again. Brees was one angry man after the Seattle whooping, and Carolina can't cover several elite receivers.

be careful with the NO/carolina game.

my opinion of NO on the road is documented on "nfl week 15" thread./////where I called for STL to cover today and they won outright.

NO has lost to the jets on the road, and STL on the road.

NO is just bad on the road. Even indoors on the road.

I have fallen victim the the brees reputation and havent bet against him on the road. But there comes a time when I have to accept that the numbers dont lie.

so today I did something that I proably never did....I bet against drees and brady on the same day.

I wasnt confident, but the numbers told me to do it...