steeldco
steeldco
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September 11th, 2013 at 8:04:11 AM permalink
Although I am part of the WOV NFL picks contest, I'm going to post on this thread the picks each week since I will be able to post the entire board, as opposed to being limited to 5 games. The lines are out of www.footballlocks.com since it was the easiest to copy and paste. In the future, I'm going to look at using what www.edcollins.com might have to offer.

Week 2:
Indianapolis Colts -3
San Diego Chargers 7.5
Green Bay Packers -7.5
Arizona Cardinals 1.5
New Orleans Saints -3
New England Patriots -12
Baltimore Ravens -6.5
Atlanta Falcons -7
Kansas City Chiefs -3
New York Giants 4.5
Chicago Bears -6
Cincinnati Bengals -7
Houston Texans -9
Seattle Seahawks -3
Buffalo Bills 3
Oakland Raiders -5.5


I know.....a lot of favorites. It sucks, but it is what it is.
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steeldco
steeldco
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September 18th, 2013 at 8:58:33 AM permalink
Despite the high number of favorites last week, we are off to a respectable start. Last week's picks went 8-7-1. Not great, but considering it picked the entire board and it was only week 2, I think it was OK.

This week's picks are a bit more of what I like to see with only 2 favorites being selected.

Week 3's Picks:
Atlanta Falcons 2
Jacksonville Jaguars 19
Oakland Raiders 15
Indianapolis Colts 10.5
San Diego Chargers 3
St. Louis Rams 3.5
Pittsburgh Steelers 2.5
Cincinnati Bengals 2
Philadelphia Eagles -3
Detroit Lions 1.5
Minnesota Vikings -5.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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September 25th, 2013 at 11:39:12 AM permalink
Obviously it didn't work out very well last week despite mostly dawgs being picked. The record last week was 3-7 and that left the YTD at 11-14.

Week 4's Picks:
San Diego Chargers 2
Houston Texans 3
Tennessee Titans -4
Pittsburgh Steelers -2
Oakland Raiders 3
Jacksonville Jaguars 8.5
New York Giants 4
Cincinnati Bengals -4.5
Atlanta Falcons -2
Detroit Lions -3
St. Louis Rams 3
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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October 3rd, 2013 at 3:21:51 AM permalink
Another 3-7 week last week left me with a YTD of 14-21. Things improve considerably this week.


Week 5 Picks:
Tennessee Titans 3
Atlanta Falcons -9
Indianapolis Colts 2.5
Houston Texans 7
Dallas Cowboys 7
Detroit Lions 7
Chicago Bears -1
Philadelphia Eagles 2.5
Cincinnati Bengals -2
Cleveland Browns -4.5
San Diego Chargers -4.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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October 8th, 2013 at 10:42:21 AM permalink
We got a slight improvement by going 5 and 6. YTD is now 19-27.

Week 6 Picks are:
Baltimore Ravens 3
Buffalo Bills 7.5
Dallas Cowboys -5.5
Detroit Lions -2.5
Jacksonville Jaguars 27.5
Minnesota Vikings -2.5
New England Patriots -2.5
New York Giants 8
Oakland Raiders 9
Philadelphia Eagles -1
Pittsburgh Steelers 2.5
San Diego Chargers 1.5
San Francisco 49ers -11
St. Louis Rams 7.5
Tennessee Titans 13.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
LarryS
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October 9th, 2013 at 12:43:54 PM permalink
being new to this board, I ask this question sincerely.

why would anyone be interested in your picks? Do you have a track record of above average in the past.? I mean anyone can have a bad few weeks so I am not crtisizing your picks that are listed here on the thread.

Do you have some proven ananlysis method that seems to work where there is greater weight on these picks? Better results?

Since there is no reason given for the picks to back them up.....are they as valid as a monkey throwing darts at the chioces?
steeldco
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October 9th, 2013 at 12:56:19 PM permalink
LOL....first, keep in mind that it is your choice to visit this thread. Likewise, your choice to not visit.
So you have an issue with someone posting their picks? Why? You pay nothing. You can look, or not. What is your issue? Is that monkey twisting your arm?
Posting does a couple of things for me. It at times elicits suggestions that may, or may not, be useful, but nonetheless always welcome.
You ask for "proven" analysis? Is there another way to "prove" concept than by posting?
Grow Up.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
thecesspit
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October 9th, 2013 at 1:28:16 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

LOL....first, keep in mind that it is your choice to visit this thread. Likewise, your choice to not visit.
So you have an issue with someone posting their picks? Why? You pay nothing. You can look, or not. What is your issue? Is that monkey twisting your arm?
Posting does a couple of things for me. It at times elicits suggestions that may, or may not, be useful, but nonetheless always welcome.
You ask for "proven" analysis? Is there another way to "prove" concept than by posting?
Grow Up.



No, he wants to know how valid your picks are... if there's a method, he might get some insights.

That's all. It can be taken as is... he just wanted to know (and I was interested as well) if there is anything behind it you wanted to share. You don't have to, of course.
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
steeldco
steeldco
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October 9th, 2013 at 1:34:53 PM permalink
thecesspit, if I misunderstood then I apologize.

As always, I search for a methodology in picking that may consistently provide winners. I won't be publishing those algorithms.
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Buzzard
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October 9th, 2013 at 1:49:56 PM permalink
I have agreed to a request of a forum member to post my NFL selection criteria, but only if I win the Wiz pool this year.
Shed not for her the bitter tear Nor give the heart to vain regret Tis but the casket that lies here, The gem that filled it Sparkles yet
LarryS
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October 9th, 2013 at 2:07:37 PM permalink
Quote: thecesspit

No, he wants to know how valid your picks are... if there's a method, he might get some insights.

That's all. It can be taken as is... he just wanted to know (and I was interested as well) if there is anything behind it you wanted to share. You don't have to, of course.




exactly..I wasnt saying he has no right to post picks. I was just wondering why it would be of significance/ interest to me or anyone else. being new here i didnt know if he has a past history of great success that everyone waits with baited breath for his picks., or is he a guy just picking based on his "feelings"

are there any credentials that I need to know about...or is he just some guy who thinks the world is interested in his picks.

If there are no credentials or past success history....I will take his advice and avoid this thread.
steeldco
steeldco
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October 9th, 2013 at 2:39:40 PM permalink
You should avoid this thread. :-)
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thecesspit
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October 9th, 2013 at 2:46:41 PM permalink
Quote: Buzzard

I have agreed to a request of a forum member to post my NFL selection criteria, but only if I win the Wiz pool this year.



Well, I guess it's staying secret then (get my licks in this week.... next week is a different country).
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
steeldco
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October 15th, 2013 at 2:48:50 AM permalink
Nothing like a great week to make everything in the world right.....
Last week I went 13 and 2, which brought my YTD to 32-29 for a win rate of 52%. I would expect it to continue to improve.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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October 15th, 2013 at 3:50:18 AM permalink
Week 7 Picks:
Arizona Cardinals 6
Atlanta Falcons -7.5
Chicago Bears 1
Cleveland Browns 10.5
Detroit Lions -3
Houston Texans 6.5
Indianapolis Colts 6
Jacksonville Jaguars 7.5
Miami Dolphins -8.5
New York Giants -3
New York Jets 4
Philadelphia Eagles -2.5
Pittsburgh Steelers -2
San Francisco 49ers -4.5
St. Louis Rams 6
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
wroberson
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October 15th, 2013 at 3:58:25 AM permalink
I came up with a net loss of 10 bucks.
Line of -110 where 110 is wagered to win 100.

-110*29=3190
100*32=3200

Net loss 10 bucks.

It's all profit from here!
Buffering...
steeldco
steeldco
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October 22nd, 2013 at 12:09:59 PM permalink
OK. A lousy 7 and 8 last week. YTD is now 39-26 for 52%. I would expect a big win rate for week 8.

Week 8 Picks:
Atlanta Falcons 2.5
Cincinnati Bengals -6.5
Cleveland Browns 7.5
Detroit Lions -3
Jacksonville Jaguars 16.5
Minnesota Vikings 10
New England Patriots -6.5
New Orleans Saints -12
New York Giants 6
Pittsburgh Steelers -3
St. Louis Rams 10.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6
Washington Redskins 13
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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October 30th, 2013 at 6:53:25 AM permalink
Yet another mediocre week, going 6 and 7. YTD now stands at 45-43 for 51.14%. I still would expect a huge week. Hopefully it is this one. Luv the fact that it is picking a lot of dogs this week.

Week 9 Picks:
Atlanta Falcons 7.5
Buffalo Bills 3
Chicago Bears 10.5
Cincinnati Bengals -2.5
Cleveland Browns 2.5
Houston Texans 2.5
Minnesota Vikings 10.5
New York Jets 6
Philadelphia Eagles 2
Pittsburgh Steelers 6.5
San Diego Chargers -1
St. Louis Rams 3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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November 6th, 2013 at 9:53:13 AM permalink
Starting to feel like the king of mediocrity....but that's OK. I went, once again, 6 and 7 and YTD is at 51-50 for 50.5%.
I feel a 9 and 5 week in the bones for this week..........

Week 10 Picks:
Atlanta Falcons 6.5
Baltimore Ravens 1.5
Dallas Cowboys 7
Detroit Lions -2.5
Houston Texans 2.5
Indianapolis Colts -9.5
Jacksonville Jaguars 12
Minnesota Vikings 2
Oakland Raiders 7
Philadelphia Eagles 1.5
Pittsburgh Steelers -3
San Diego Chargers 7
San Francisco 49ers -6
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
speedycrap
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November 6th, 2013 at 10:12:04 AM permalink
I gave up picking 14 games long ago cause I knew/figured I was not good at that.
The last 3 years I was in suicide pools and collected in the first 2. This year I am in the late pool starting week8. This week I am picking TENNESSE.
steeldco
steeldco
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November 14th, 2013 at 4:57:55 AM permalink
7 and 7 last week. YTD is now 58 and 57 for 50.43%. I know a couple of good weeks are coming that will drive the numbers up to a more respectable 55%-56%. I believe.....I believe......I believe....

Week 11 Picks:
Buffalo Bills -1
Carolina Panthers -2.5
Chicago Bears -3
Cleveland Browns 6
Denver Broncos -8
Detroit Lions -2
Green Bay Packers 5
Houston Texans -7
Jacksonville Jaguars 7
Minnesota Vikings 12.5
Philadelphia Eagles -3.5
San Diego Chargers -1.5
San Francisco 49ers 3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1.5
Indianapolis Colts -3
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
LarryS
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November 14th, 2013 at 12:07:11 PM permalink
Is this thread documentation that your method of picking winners is not much better than having a monkey throw darts

each week I see ....next week will be better

here is another method

get a parrot

at the bottom of the cage, put a sheet with 2 teams playing each other this weekend on it.

check back in an hour or 2.

whichever team has the most birdcrap on or near it.....gets the nod

then put a sheetof paper with the next 2 teams

and so it goes

you may get better results
steeldco
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November 14th, 2013 at 1:15:43 PM permalink
LOLOL....maybe you're right. Now, weren't you going to stay away from this thread?
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steeldco
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November 21st, 2013 at 3:58:26 AM permalink
5 and 7 last week. YTD is now 63 and 64 for 49.61%.

Week 12 Picks:
Atlanta Falcons 9.5
Chicago Bears 1.5
Detroit Lions -9
Indianapolis Colts 2
Jacksonville Jaguars 10
Miami Dolphins 4.5
Minnesota Vikings 5
New England Patriots 2.5
New York Giants -2.5
New York Jets 3.5
Pittsburgh Steelers 2
San Diego Chargers 5
Tennessee Titans 0
Washington Redskins 5.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
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November 28th, 2013 at 6:09:56 AM permalink
8 and 6 last week with the YTD at 71-70, for a % of 50.35%.

Week 13 picks:
Atlanta Falcons 3
Detroit Lions -6
Houston Texans 7.5
Indianapolis Colts -4.5
Jacksonville Jaguars 7
Kansas City Chiefs 5
Minnesota Vikings -1
New Orleans Saints 5
New York Jets 0
Oakland Raiders 9.5
Philadelphia Eagles -3
Pittsburgh Steelers 3
San Diego Chargers -1
St. Louis Rams 8.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8
Washington Redskins 1
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
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December 7th, 2013 at 11:30:19 AM permalink
8 and 7 last week. YTD is now 50.64%.
I think you've got to give me credit for being consistently mediocre.............

Week 14 Picks:
Atlanta Falcons 3.5
Chicago Bears -1
Cleveland Browns 10
Detroit Lions 3
Indianapolis Colts 6.5
Minnesota Vikings 6.5
New Orleans Saints -3
Oakland Raiders 3
Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5
San Diego Chargers -3.5
San Francisco 49ers -2.5
St. Louis Rams 6.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5
Tennessee Titans 12
Washington Redskins 3
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
wroberson
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December 7th, 2013 at 12:14:22 PM permalink
This is tough to do. Even more credit for sticking with it when you're not doing as well as you wanted to.
Buffering...
steeldco
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December 7th, 2013 at 12:16:37 PM permalink
Thanks!
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steeldco
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December 14th, 2013 at 7:02:53 AM permalink
7 & 8 last week. YTD is now 86 wins and 85 losses for 50.29%. I am fully convinced that nobody does .500 better than I do......

Week 15 Picks:
Atlanta Falcons -6.5
Chicago Bears -1
Dallas Cowboys -7
Detroit Lions -5.5
Houston Texans 5.5
Jacksonville Jaguars 2
Miami Dolphins 1
Minnesota Vikings 5.5
New York Giants 7
New York Jets 11
Oakland Raiders 5
Pittsburgh Steelers 2
St. Louis Rams 6
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5.5
Tennessee Titans 2.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
NokTang
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December 14th, 2013 at 5:49:12 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

I am fully convinced that nobody does .500 better than I do......



The sports books may disagree. They make a living doing .500 as they make five percent on the handle.
steeldco
steeldco
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December 21st, 2013 at 8:04:00 AM permalink
6 and 9 last week. YTD is now 92 and 94 for 49.46%.

Week 16 Picks:
Arizona Cardinals 10.5
Atlanta Falcons 13
Buffalo Bills 3
Chicago Bears 3
Cleveland Browns 2
Detroit Lions -9
Houston Texans 10
Indianapolis Colts 6.5
Jacksonville Jaguars 5
Minnesota Vikings 8
New England Patriots 2.5
New Orleans Saints 3
Pittsburgh Steelers 2.5
San Diego Chargers -10
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4.5
Washington Redskins 3
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
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December 28th, 2013 at 6:58:48 AM permalink
9 and 7 last week. YTD is now 101-101 for, what else, 50%.

Atlanta Falcons 6.5
Baltimore Ravens 6
Chicago Bears 3
Cleveland Browns 7
Dallas Cowboys 6.5
Detroit Lions 3
Houston Texans 7
Jacksonville Jaguars 11.5
New England Patriots -9
New York Jets 5.5
Oakland Raiders 12
San Diego Chargers -9.5
San Francisco 49ers -1
St. Louis Rams 11.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12.5
Washington Redskins 3.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
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