100xOdds
100xOdds
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November 16th, 2014 at 3:59:33 PM permalink
98% $1 Blazing 7's progressive.
Starts at $1000. every $6 coin-in increases the jackpot by $0.03

every $1 coin-in = 1 point.
according to the little screen next to her players card, she has 11k points just for that session.

I know she didn't put in $11k cash into the machine but only played thru $11k on the machine.

she was sitting there when I walked in. I only noticed because that machine had the highest progressive of the bank of Blazing 7's.
and she was still there 2hrs later when I walked out.

there's a huge chance she may never hit it.
I've seen it go over $1200 many times.

but wow! $11k thru the machine just to win $1175.
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
rdw4potus
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November 16th, 2014 at 4:28:18 PM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds

98% $1 Blazing 7's progressive.


but wow! $11k thru the machine just to win $1175.



$3/spin* 6 spins/minute*60 minutes/hour=$1080 handle/hour. So she may have been there for 10 hours. Wow. That's dedication. But also, 11,000 * .02=$220 expected loss. Losing $220 to chase $1175 isn't necessarily awful.
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
DRich
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November 16th, 2014 at 4:29:16 PM permalink
That really doesn't sound like that much to me. With a 98% game her expected loss is only $220. There is a good chance that game may even be over 100% at that jackpot level.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
tringlomane
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November 16th, 2014 at 4:29:21 PM permalink
Think about the players that play that much on dollar slots that are less than 98%...
itsmejeff
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November 16th, 2014 at 4:42:48 PM permalink
It would be interesting to know if she finished in the black. Some people make dumb choices to win progressives. I watched a fellow blow through ~$400 on a slot machine before going to the ATM twice and spending another $1000 because he wanted to hit a progressive that was less than $1500. I wonder if he managed to win it.

I played over $2500 on a slot machine once ($2.50/spin) because I wanted to see the bonus. I did not do terribly over that 1000+ games though. I was only down about $70 when I finally got my pitiful $8 bonus win.
bobsims
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November 16th, 2014 at 5:00:25 PM permalink
Those machines are good payers so even with 11K coin in she may have been even or close enough to it. They are also fun and addictive. I just dropped $900 and was down to my last 60 before I brought down a $1400 Blazing 7 at the Fremont.
What place has a 98% payout by the way? Fremont is only 96% and the Silver Legacy has 97.7% in Reno.
onenickelmiracle
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November 16th, 2014 at 5:36:41 PM permalink
I'm always amazed by the persistence of older people chasing these types of slots. If she spent 10 hours, she'll spend another 10 to get it and probably did.
I am a robot.
RS
RS
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November 16th, 2014 at 6:46:26 PM permalink
Correct me if I'm wrong, but, wouldn't 98% return include the progressive payout? Without the progressive, machine is probably 88-94% return.
100xOdds
100xOdds
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November 16th, 2014 at 7:14:20 PM permalink
Quote: RS

Correct me if I'm wrong, but, wouldn't 98% return include the progressive payout? Without the progressive, machine is probably 88-94% return.


I think in one of the other threads, it was calc that the base return was 97%.
and that for every $6 coin-in, the progressive was increased by $0.03 which equaled .5%.

so instead of the casino keeping that .03, it went back to the player in the form of the progressive.

97.5% = 98% rounded up
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
Mission146
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November 16th, 2014 at 9:10:58 PM permalink
Quote: bobsims

Those machines are good payers so even with 11K coin in she may have been even or close enough to it. They are also fun and addictive. I just dropped $900 and was down to my last 60 before I brought down a $1400 Blazing 7 at the Fremont.
What place has a 98% payout by the way? Fremont is only 96% and the Silver Legacy has 97.7% in Reno.



I doubt she had the best of it, at least not the whole time. She'd have added $55 to the Progressive herself.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
AxelWolf
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November 16th, 2014 at 10:00:33 PM permalink
Quote: itsmejeff

Some people make dumb choices to win progressives. I watched a fellow blow through ~$400 on a slot machine before going to the ATM twice and spending another $1000 because he wanted to hit a progressive that was less than $1500. I wonder if he managed to win it.
.

The amount you put in or lose has nothing to do with the amount of the jackpot. Advantage players oftentimes lose more than the progressive amount. You don't stop until the progressive is won, if you want full value.

I'm not indicating this person you mention was an AP, however it probably makes no difference if the Jackpot they are chasing is 10k or they play a totally different type of machine thats 2k(playing the lessor progressive of two like machines wouldn't be smart ) . Most likely the machine thats at 10k is going to be 5x less likely to hit and could even have a higher hold.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
FleaStiff
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November 17th, 2014 at 12:05:49 AM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds


I know she didn't put in $11k cash into the machine but only played thru $11k on the machine.

So how much cash into the machine would this have been?
onenickelmiracle
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November 17th, 2014 at 12:24:59 AM permalink
I always laugh thinking these old ladies turn to prostitution just to play Blazing Sevens all day and the old guys from assisted living love taking them to the casino.
I am a robot.
Boz
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November 17th, 2014 at 4:21:57 AM permalink
Quote: onenickelmiracle

I always laugh thinking these old ladies turn to prostitution just to play Blazing Sevens all day and the old guys from assisted living love taking them to the casino.



Good money to be made with those gums!
pelotari
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November 27th, 2014 at 1:19:16 AM permalink
The points and coin-in deal really doesn't tell you how much actual cash she put in. Last time I was at a CET casino I changed machines and moved to a multi-line $1 video slot with a max bet of $30. I stuck an $800 voucher in and started to play. At $30 bets, the only way you will get a handpay jackpot over $1200 on this machine (Mighty Atlas) is if you get a bunch of wild symbols, or a full screen of the most valuable "character" symbol, or possibly getting a good "free spins" bonus round feature. I did not get any of those, but got a lot of play at $30 a spin. It climbed up to around $1800, then down to around $300, then up again. Most of the time my "balance" in the machine was between $600 and $1100. I played for over an hour, and cashed out for $1020. My tier points earned on that machine were over 2000. It takes $5 of coin in to get a tier point at CET. So I had over $10,000 of coin in....but I never put anything else in besides that $800 voucher. So someone passing by may have thought I fed the machine thousands to get that many points. Nope...just that $800 voucher, and cashed out with a $220 profit.
darkoz
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November 27th, 2014 at 7:07:45 AM permalink
Quote: Boz

Good money to be made with those gums!



Eeeewww!

I'd rather young lips than old gums
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
beachbumbabs
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November 29th, 2014 at 4:32:54 AM permalink
Quote: Boz

Good money to be made with those gums!



Hahahah! Yeah, sidetrack, but reminds me of the first porno film I ever dared to watch. It was called "Gums" and was a ripoff of "Jaws", but instead of a shark it was a toothless mermaid. It was soooooooooo awful it was great.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
DRich
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November 29th, 2014 at 8:38:31 AM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

Hahahah! Yeah, sidetrack, but reminds me of the first porno film I ever dared to watch. It was called "Gums" and was a ripoff of "Jaws", but instead of a shark it was a toothless mermaid. It was soooooooooo awful it was great.



I might have to look that one up.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
RS
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November 29th, 2014 at 3:33:59 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

Hahahah! Yeah, sidetrack, but reminds me of the first porno film I ever dared to watch. It was called "Gums" and was a ripoff of "Jaws", but instead of a shark it was a toothless mermaid. It was soooooooooo awful it was great.



Good thing it wasn't called Jaws. I'd be scared to watch that!
Venthus
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November 29th, 2014 at 7:36:45 PM permalink
So those things are actually pretty good payers? I always see banks of them near entrances and bathrooms, so I always assumed they were traps.

Quote: RS

Good thing it wasn't called Jaws. I'd be scared to watch that!



I believe there's a movie called Teeth that'll do it for you...
100xOdds
100xOdds
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November 30th, 2014 at 6:34:00 AM permalink
Quote: Venthus

So those things are actually pretty good payers? I always see banks of them near entrances and bathrooms, so I always assumed they were traps.



this bank of slots had a sign above saying up to 98% payback.
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
Mission146
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December 1st, 2014 at 3:16:33 PM permalink
Chances are that one machine in that bank paid 98% and the other ones paid lower, don't know how significantly, than that.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
mickeycrimm
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December 1st, 2014 at 4:47:02 PM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds

98% $1 Blazing 7's progressive.
Starts at $1000. every $6 coin-in increases the jackpot by $0.03

every $1 coin-in = 1 point.
according to the little screen next to her players card, she has 11k points just for that session.

I know she didn't put in $11k cash into the machine but only played thru $11k on the machine.

she was sitting there when I walked in. I only noticed because that machine had the highest progressive of the bank of Blazing 7's.
and she was still there 2hrs later when I walked out.

there's a huge chance she may never hit it.
I've seen it go over $1200 many times.

but wow! $11k thru the machine just to win $1175.



I never did any empirical work on Blazing 7's. I pretty much didn't care for the play. But I was told by Doug Reul, a former writer for Video Poker Times, that the frequency of the top line hit is 16 X 16 X 16 = 4096. It's my guess that all Blazing 7's machines are not equal in payback, 98% is probably the best chip. So the question would be where do they make the adjustment in payback? I don't think they would adjust the frequency of the top line hit. My guess is it's in the lower paying line hits.

If the lady ran $11,000 in action then its a no brainer how many spins she made. $11,000/$3 means she made 3,667 spins. If the meter was on $1175 then its easy to calculate where the meter was when she started playing, $11,000 X .005 = $55. So the meter was on $1120 when she started playing.

How much of the payback is in the top line hit? $1000/$3 means the top line hit pays 333.3333 for 1.

333.3333/4096 = .0813802.

If the game is 98% which includes a .5% meter then 97.5% minus 8.13802% = 89.36198%
100% minus 89.36198% means you are taking a drop of 10.63802% between top line hits.

4096 games times a $3 bet is a total wager of $12,288.
$12,288 * 10.63802% puts the cost to spin off a play at $1307. So finding a machine with $1307 in the meter means you would have a .5% meter win at that point.

The true breakeven number would be $1246 with the meter thrown in .
"Quit trying your luck and start trying your skill." Mickey Crimm
7DOWN11
7DOWN11
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February 17th, 2015 at 3:00:07 PM permalink
I see this often.. Many people I've seen will put in out of pocket equal to or even more than the progressive amount to win it. That makes NO sense to me at all. On one machine at my local the progressive will be sitting at $1,083 and one guy will pump out of pocket $3,000 to win it and probably play $10,000 through it considering what he wins along the way. I asked him once as I got to know him, what his stop point was to get up and walk... his replay was quite direct. He said: "I'll be damned if I'm going to let someone else win my progressive". I said Oh that makes sense. In fact one time he ran out of money to play that machine, had an attended watch the machine for 35 minutes until we went home, got more money and came back.. I just said to myself :

1-800-STOP-Gambling
rudeboyoi
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February 17th, 2015 at 3:13:08 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

Hahahah! Yeah, sidetrack, but reminds me of the first porno film I ever dared to watch. It was called "Gums" and was a ripoff of "Jaws", but instead of a shark it was a toothless mermaid. It was soooooooooo awful it was great.



Lol reminds me of the first porno film I ever saw. It was called "silence of the gams". I think I was about 12 or 13 at the time. I don't remember what it was about but the name stuck in my head.
tringlomane
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February 17th, 2015 at 4:57:54 PM permalink
Quote: rudeboyoi

Lol reminds me of the first porno film I ever saw. It was called "silence of the gams". I think I was about 12 or 13 at the time. I don't remember what it was about but the name stuck in my head.



Rhymes with "Silence of the Lambs"?

And I totally missed the "Gums" comment from Babs...

Really enjoyed this bump...haha
Mission146
Mission146
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February 17th, 2015 at 5:50:44 PM permalink
Quote: 7DOWN11

I see this often.. Many people I've seen will put in out of pocket equal to or even more than the progressive amount to win it. That makes NO sense to me at all.



Sometimes it makes sense, but in your example, it probably didn't.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
ontariodealer
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February 17th, 2015 at 6:02:55 PM permalink
she should have just done what this lady did. I heard she was a coin influencer, you know, a C.I.

http://www.citynews.ca/2013/09/17/caledon-woman-wins-1-8-million-at-fallsview-casino-slot-machine/
get second you pig
mickeycrimm
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February 28th, 2015 at 2:20:16 PM permalink
Quote: 7DOWN11

I see this often.. Many people I've seen will put in out of pocket equal to or even more than the progressive amount to win it. That makes NO sense to me at all. On one machine at my local the progressive will be sitting at $1,083 and one guy will pump out of pocket $3,000 to win it and probably play $10,000 through it considering what he wins along the way. I asked him once as I got to know him, what his stop point was to get up and walk... his replay was quite direct. He said: "I'll be damned if I'm going to let someone else win my progressive". I said Oh that makes sense. In fact one time he ran out of money to play that machine, had an attended watch the machine for 35 minutes until we went home, got more money and came back.. I just said to myself :

1-800-STOP-Gambling



This is not quite true in AP play when working short term advantages. The only way to extract maximum value is to continue until you hit your objective even if the play goes bad on you and you get in for more than the meter pays.

Let's take a five spot keno play for example. The bet is 50 cents. The meter is at $180 and runs at 4%.

The 3/5 pays 5 for 1.
The 4/5 pays 32 for 1.

Doing the math, which I won't do here, the cost to run one cycle is $150. You will average putting $31 in the meter per play. So you are looking at an average $61 win when coming in at $180.

It only takes a half hour to run one cycle. So you run one cycle and don't hit the solid five. You are stuck about $150. The meter is at $210. You run one more cycle and don't hit the solid five. You are now stuck about $300 and the meter is only at $242.

Should you get up, say the hell with it and take a walk? Not me. I'm going to play until I hit the solid five. What has happened in the past doesn't matter. At this point I have a play sitting right in front of me that is worth $123.

Through dozens of plays like this you will average about a $61 win per play. Most plays will be winners, some will be losers. But if you get up and leave when you run badly your average win per play will be a lot lower than this. You can even wipe out your average win entirely by leaving every time you run badly.

My rule of thumb is "if it was a play when I sat down on it, it's a play until I finish it."
"Quit trying your luck and start trying your skill." Mickey Crimm
djatc
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February 28th, 2015 at 4:27:18 PM permalink
Quote: mickeycrimm

This is not quite true in AP play when working short term advantages. The only way to extract maximum value is to continue until you hit your objective even if the play goes bad on you and you get in for more than the meter pays.

Let's take a five spot keno play for example. The bet is 50 cents. The meter is at $180 and runs at 4%.

The 3/5 pays 5 for 1.
The 4/5 pays 32 for 1.

Doing the math, which I won't do here, the cost to run one cycle is $150. You will average putting $31 in the meter per play. So you are looking at an average $61 win when coming in at $180.

It only takes a half hour to run one cycle. So you run one cycle and don't hit the solid five. You are stuck about $150. The meter is at $210. You run one more cycle and don't hit the solid five. You are now stuck about $300 and the meter is only at $242.

Should you get up, say the hell with it and take a walk? Not me. I'm going to play until I hit the solid five. What has happened in the past doesn't matter. At this point I have a play sitting right in front of me that is worth $123.

Through dozens of plays like this you will average about a $61 win per play. Most plays will be winners, some will be losers. But if you get up and leave when you run badly your average win per play will be a lot lower than this. You can even wipe out your average win entirely by leaving every time you run badly.

My rule of thumb is "if it was a play when I sat down on it, it's a play until I finish it."



This is why you need sufficient bankroll. If you take a massive shot on a progressive and hit it, great, but you're more likely to lose in the short term so you need to be able to weather the storms. You require 10k or more on a FPDW with 0.76% advantage on QUARTERS, and FPDW is a low variance game compared to DB and DDB. I never jump off a play even if I am up more than the progressive amount because my bankroll can withstand the swings, but over time I will come out ahead.
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
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