JimmyB1474
JimmyB1474
Joined: Feb 3, 2021
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February 4th, 2021 at 5:50:32 AM permalink
I like the atmosphere of the brick and mortar casinos, and the feel of the checks in my hand. Also, my wife likes to to play slots. Sad part is, I'm usually broke before her.
JimmyB1474
JimmyB1474
Joined: Feb 3, 2021
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February 4th, 2021 at 5:52:55 AM permalink
Thank you. Yes, I have kept track, reviewed play when I've gotten home. The only deviation is on doubling. I don't do it as often as suggested, because I'm losing so much, so fast.
JimmyB1474
JimmyB1474
Joined: Feb 3, 2021
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February 4th, 2021 at 5:54:25 AM permalink
Thanks. Yes. I last much longer on paid gowns poker tables. I enjoy that game as well. But I guess my problem is that I like variety.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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February 4th, 2021 at 6:16:53 AM permalink
Quote: JimmyB1474

Thank you. Yes, I have kept track, reviewed play when I've gotten home. The only deviation is on doubling. I don't do it as often as suggested, because I'm losing so much, so fast.



If there is ever a time you are not doubling because you are 'afraid you are losing so fast' then you absolutely should not be playing at all! The advantages you have are being paid extra for BJ, splitting, and doubling! Playing without always doubling when basic strategy tells you to is a way to INCREASE the house edge.

So when starting a conversation, you should actually say, I DON'T play basic strategy.....

Which is ok, by the way, as it is your money, and you can decide how to give it away. Just don't be surprised when you do! I agree with the others, that you probably have been unlucky as well, leading to the speed at which you are losing.
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
Joined: Oct 10, 2012
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February 4th, 2021 at 6:31:39 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

If there is ever a time you are not doubling because you are 'afraid you are losing so fast' then you absolutely should not be playing at all! The advantages you have are being paid extra for BJ, splitting, and doubling! Playing without always doubling when basic strategy tells you to is a way to INCREASE the house edge.

So when starting a conversation, you should actually say, I DON'T play basic strategy.....

Which is ok, by the way, as it is your money, and you can decide how to give it away. Just don't be surprised when you do! I agree with the others, that you probably have been unlucky as well, leading to the speed at which you are losing.

That's why it might be a good idea for some people to play a mindless game like Baccarat or roulette. Even a toddler can play those game as well as any adult. There is no strategy to learn and you don't have to double down, split, stand or hit. Just played any number a pretty little chips on the pretty little spots.

Of course, you can always add in some bunk betting systems and methods to complicate things for yourself. Some find it entertaining to do so. Being that those games can get boarding real fast, I can see why people do come up with various betting systems.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
TinMan
TinMan
Joined: Nov 17, 2009
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February 4th, 2021 at 6:45:08 AM permalink
Quote: JimmyB1474

Hi there. I've been using basic stratagy for about 3 years now, but continuously lose, and lose fast. I spent months using Wizard of Odds strategies on free online games, to memorize everything. Yet, I go to the casino with $500, play a $10-$15 table (depending on availability) and rarely last more than 30 minutes until I'm broke. 6 decks, 8 decks, hand shuffled, machine shuffled, continuous shuffle. Makes no difference. I can understand bad luck once in a while, but it's getting ridiculous. Is my bankroll too low? Should I be walking away sooner and trying a different table? Please help. I love the game, but I can't seem to last long enough to enjoy it.



50 bets when flat betting seems perfectly sufficient to have reasonably long sessions most of the time. Your expected loss per hour is probably somewhere around $10-$15 depending on game speed and exact rules. I assume this is just variance. I had a similar absurdly negative experience with craps for a while. Works both ways though. I had a span of time when positive variance led to a string of BJ wins over short sessions. Both losing games long term assuming no AP angle but the ride can be lots of ups and downs along the way.
If anyone gives you 10,000 to 1 on anything, you take it. If John Mellencamp ever wins an Oscar, I am going to be a very rich dude.
DogHand
DogHand
Joined: Sep 24, 2011
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February 4th, 2021 at 1:33:43 PM permalink
Quote: JimmyB1474

Hi there. I've been using basic stratagy for about 3 years now, but continuously lose, and lose fast. I spent months using Wizard of Odds strategies on free online games, to memorize everything. Yet, I go to the casino with $500, play a $10-$15 table (depending on availability) and rarely last more than 30 minutes until I'm broke. 6 decks, 8 decks, hand shuffled, machine shuffled, continuous shuffle. Makes no difference. I can understand bad luck once in a while, but it's getting ridiculous. Is my bankroll too low? Should I be walking away sooner and trying a different table? Please help. I love the game, but I can't seem to last long enough to enjoy it.



JimmyB1474,

Wait... something doesn't add up. With a $500 bankroll and $10 flat bets, you'd have to lose 50 bets to go bust. How can you do that in only 30 minutes?

Dog Hand
RogerKint
RogerKint
Joined: Dec 5, 2011
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Thanks for this post from:
unJonJoeman
February 4th, 2021 at 1:37:42 PM permalink
Quote: DogHand

JimmyB1474,

Wait... something doesn't add up. With a $500 bankroll and $10 flat bets, you'd have to lose 50 bets to go bust. How can you do that in only 30 minutes?

Dog Hand



Someone has to get all of MDawg's negative variance.
100% risk of ruin
unJon
unJon
Joined: Jul 1, 2018
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February 4th, 2021 at 1:38:44 PM permalink
Quote: DogHand

JimmyB1474,

Wait... something doesn't add up. With a $500 bankroll and $10 flat bets, you'd have to lose 50 bets to go bust. How can you do that in only 30 minutes?

Dog Hand



Are you suggesting this post is fiction?
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
fantom
fantom
Joined: Dec 19, 2020
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February 4th, 2021 at 2:14:31 PM permalink
I didn't notice not counting. And flat betting.

So this is blackjack for entertainment purposes only. Under this circumstance, leaving the table ahead for any amount is a statistical aberration, and over time you will end up losing at the established house edge - which will vary - sometimes greatly - depending on the specific rules of the game you are playing.

"Achieving" the statistical result dictated by the true house edge will only occur after a lot of hands have been played. It's possible to play a few hands and come out further ahead - or behind - than should be the case. That's true with any game - craps, roulette, etc. Assuming that you are playing correct Basic Strategy, you've done all that you can to reduce the house edge as much as possible without counting. It's not that you are "lucky" or not, and over time your luck will change as your profit (or more honestly - loss) conforms to the house edge.

Whatever variance occurs in your results demonstrate quite conclusively that counting works. Again speaking generally, your results are examples of swings in the true count. You are flat betting, so you are not taking advantage of a high true count. You are not avoiding negative counts. When the time comes to up your bet and take advantage of the situation, you are not doing so. When it's a good idea to back away, you don't do that either.

In point of fact, you would probably do better playing in a CSM game where the true count, every single round, is as close to zero as it can be. The mathaholics here will be all over that piece of advice, and I would defer to their expertise about it. It might also be advisable to play at a 6:5 game with a lower minimum and just bet that smaller amount every hand. A bankroll will last longer betting $5 per hand than at $10 or $25. Remember - the game is structured so that you will lose, but ideally for the casino, at a rate that you tend not to notice.

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