Romes
Romes
Joined: Jul 22, 2014
  • Threads: 27
  • Posts: 5490
September 16th, 2019 at 11:55:18 PM permalink
While others answered this thread pretty well and appropriately, I'd like to close with something I wish everyone took the mind set of more often...

Each and every game in a casino is beatable... under the right conditions. It's an AP's job to discover these conditions and exploit them legally.
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
sodawater
sodawater
Joined: May 14, 2012
  • Threads: 64
  • Posts: 3321
September 17th, 2019 at 12:15:03 AM permalink
One legal online sportsbook/casino in the U.S. is currently offering a promo after every nationally televised primetime NFL game where you have a few hours to play its online (not live dealer) blackjack game --- and if you lose $20 or more, you will get a rebate in the form of $20 site credit (that must be bet once on sports, but can be withdrawn in full afterwards.)

This is obviously a +EV promotion worth probably about $50 per week, assuming three games per week.

I haven't run the numbers on it but it seems like a good strategy would be to aim for a $100 win and stop with a $20 loss -- you basically want to maximize the odds of losing the $20 (or book a big win) before the house edge on your total action grinds down the value of the promo.

Then once you have the $20 in site credit, bet it on as big a favorite as the terms allow to maximize the chance to cash it out.

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