boymimbo
boymimbo
Joined: Nov 12, 2009
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March 24th, 2019 at 3:59:15 AM permalink
The odds of any four card combination is 1/2197. That includes AAAA, JQKA, or any combination you can think of. Nothing special going on.
----- You want the truth! You can't handle the truth!
SiegfriedRoy
SiegfriedRoy
Joined: Sep 23, 2014
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March 24th, 2019 at 6:15:36 AM permalink
Quote: Krazipino

New to the thread. I'm not here to accuse any wrong doing or side with one or the other. I would like to ask a question, but would like to start with this. I have been playing basically every day for the past 3 months. I've had my fair share of losing and winnings. I play basic strategy and I cut thin on front or back of double deck. This past Friday I noticed a pattern...an ace came up for dealer on every first hand for four straight shoes. The dealer noticed it as well. We called the pit boss and he gave me the same usual answer "coincidence". He stayed for the 5th shoe, the first hand for dealer was a 7. I hit and made a hand. Dealer flipped over an ace. That boss called another boss to watch the cards on the same shoe, she saw 4 dealer hands draw out 21 w 4 plus cards. Now for my question, what are the odds of the ace coming up like that? I would say very slim to unlikely. What are your thoughts? I also want to add, the table prior to this one also did the same thing.



One time, I was playing an automatic shuffler machine at a full table and got four 15s in a row! A five and a hard card 10 card. The woman next to me proceeded to split her 10s and lost the whole table lost when the dealer made 20 from a 6 up card. My very next hand was another 15. That's 5 in a row! Was it the machine purposely doing that? NOPE it's called coincidence.
SkittleCar1
SkittleCar1
Joined: Feb 7, 2014
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March 24th, 2019 at 6:44:10 AM permalink
I've seen a video of the machine for carnival games. Does it fill the packets with the number of cards for the game at one time? So, for Three Card Poker, does it take the bottom 3 cards from the deck, put them in a packet. Rotate to a different shelf, dump the next 3 cards in a packet. Etc. Or does it randomly put one card on a shelf at a time? It seemed to fill up pretty quickly.

EDIT: Link to the video...
https://youtu.be/2QHDgVWMdw4
Krazipino
Krazipino
Joined: Mar 23, 2019
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March 24th, 2019 at 7:27:20 AM permalink
I get it but I only play one hand, always head to head (they always open my own table for me), and I cut the same way all the time everytime. And it wasnt selective memory because my memory is great.
Krazipino
Krazipino
Joined: Mar 23, 2019
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March 24th, 2019 at 7:30:50 AM permalink
So I tested it and kept doing the same thing. I kept my bet at the minimum. And it kept happening. Maybe it was just a fluke. I also noticed Monday thru Thursday, the winnings came easier. The weekends were horrible. Perhaps my selective memory again.
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
Joined: Oct 10, 2012
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March 24th, 2019 at 7:52:42 AM permalink
Quote: Krazipino

And it wasnt selective memory because my memory is great.

You might be misunderstanding what that term actually means. It has nothing to do with good or bad memory.

I has more to do with you selectively choosing to remember what you want or don't want, even if it's subconsciously. Or, your focus is on certain events usually involving some kind of pattern since we are programmed to notice patterns. You tend to notice something after it has already happened and associate it with an unlikely occurrence that doesn't seem random. Random should have patterns that come up.

You tend to notice and focus on Aces since they are special to BJ. Did you ever notice when the dealer had some other strange combination of first cards? Or, when the dealer should have had a insignificant card come out by now but didn't?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
Krazipino
Krazipino
Joined: Mar 23, 2019
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March 24th, 2019 at 8:38:07 AM permalink
I noticed all my hands and the dealer hands lol. I play fast pace so a dealer that is there for 40 minutes to an hour will definitely go thru six shoes. I figured it was just random and bj is a roller coaster. That's why it's called gambling.
LimeyMatty
LimeyMatty
Joined: Mar 29, 2019
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Thanks for this post from:
beachbumbabs
March 29th, 2019 at 2:30:27 AM permalink
New poster saying hi from the UK.

The main reason I think this functionality is unlikely to be in play even if it is technically feasible is from the casino's perspective the opportunity for it to be used in the other way. Let's consider you're a senior manager and you and three other people in the casino decide to collude and switch on the "beast mode". How much do you trust the other guys to take the risk, for limited personal gain, of starting to use a corrupt practice - presumably if the functionality can be used to weight in favour of the house, potentially it can work the other way, potentially bringing lots of A and faces to the front of a deck.

How do you know one of the other guys won't collude with an advantage player to occasionally load the deck, tip him the wink when it's happening and win big? If he does, what can you do to call him out - he knows that you're in on the corrupt practice as well. Nah, I just can't see anyone taking the risk in practicality.

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