OnceDear
OnceDear
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May 15th, 2015 at 11:21:53 AM permalink
I would value a bit of advice.

It relates to what I should do with some bonus credit with an (honest) online casino.

Live dealer BJ is my game and through a certain advantage play I've acquired £1000 of bonus credit. This was done with negligible risk to my real capital, which I've long since withdrawn.
( It is a repaetable but rare AP )

So... starting with that £1K, I've been frivolously playing, messing about with Marty and reverse Marty, betting between 5 and 200 on a hand. It really doesn't bother me, because while I'm playing this money, I'm not risking 'real money'

Through such messing about, I'm now at just shy of 2K after a week of messing, but here's the rub...

Before I can draw a bean of real money out, I have to play through 300x1000. I'm unlikely to survive that, with the best will in the world. If I do, whatever balance there is, real or bonus, would become real money.

The rules at live table are pretty rubbish with 50% pen and house edge of .72%. There is a good RNG game with HE of .55, or thereabouts. I trust both games. Both have same playthrough requirements.

I have messed about with counting practice, but it's mind crushingly boring and positive true counts only appear for about half a shoe per evening and life is too short.

Last time I was in this position, I played really silly and came away hugely ahead. That time, I made each bet 10% of BR at any time and after 300 hands had increased my money 60 fold before cashing it all out.

So, suggestions on how I should play it with objectives of pleasure, a bit of excitement and a bit of longevity.

I could chuck it all in autoplay slots, but on past, play money, rounds, I would get slaughtered in minutes.

I am building up a tiny comps bonus while wagering this bonus through and through.

Live dealer Roulette is another option, where I could embrace the variance to fly or crash and burn.

So, suggestions?
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
rawtuff
rawtuff
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May 15th, 2015 at 11:33:43 AM permalink
Is the bonus money transferable to poker lobby? Or maybe even sportsbook. You could drain it out from there.
Don't beat yourself up over past mistakes, you are going to f*** up again in the future, quite possibly in the most spectacular fashion, why worry about yesterday's f*** up's when you have tomorrow's f*** up's to look forward to? You are a f*** up, and f***** up is part of your growth process, embrace the process.
OnceDear
OnceDear
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May 15th, 2015 at 11:45:00 AM permalink
Quote: rawtuff

Is the bonus money transferable to poker lobby? Or maybe even sportsbook. You could drain it out from there.



I like the lateral thinking. There is no way to transfer to sports book. There are some rng poker type games, jacks or better etc, I could use, but same playthrough. I wouldn't mind using it to learn new games like poker.
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
OnceDear
OnceDear
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May 16th, 2015 at 5:05:43 AM permalink
Well,

Status update...

From my £1k of bonuses, I p1553d about with RNG Blackjack, and took it to 2200 or so, playing in chunky sized bets, leading me below 1000 for a while.

Then stumbled my way to just over 1000 and lo.... I'd met the wagering requirements :o)

Withdrawal requests now pending :o)

I won't hold my breath, but past form with this establishment is pretty good.

My strategy was reckless! But my objective was to walk away from the table with pretty much my starting bankroll while staking through bankrollx300

Would any real 'Math guys' or 'Math girls' care to really analyse my chances and my best strategy?

One for MustangSally, whose math prowess I admire.
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
Romes
Romes
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May 21st, 2015 at 8:31:53 AM permalink
Quote: OnceDear

Well,

Status update...

From my £1k of bonuses, I p1553d about with RNG Blackjack, and took it to 2200 or so, playing in chunky sized bets, leading me below 1000 for a while.

Then stumbled my way to just over 1000 and lo.... I'd met the wagering requirements :o)

Withdrawal requests now pending :o)

I won't hold my breath, but past form with this establishment is pretty good.

My strategy was reckless! But my objective was to walk away from the table with pretty much my starting bankroll while staking through bankrollx300

Would any real 'Math guys' or 'Math girls' care to really analyse my chances and my best strategy?

One for MustangSally, whose math prowess I admire.


Wait, before you said it was 300x1000 wagering requirements... that's of course 300,000... If you were making 500 bets, that would still be 600 bets and any variance of 5 bets lost in a row or so would wipe you out. Did they somehow lower your requirements or do you think they're letting you cash out in error? Either way get the money out if they'll let you, but I doubt you met the 300k betting requirements 30 minutes after posting previously.
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
OnceDear
OnceDear
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May 21st, 2015 at 3:55:22 PM permalink
Quote: Romes

Wait, before you said it was 300x1000 wagering requirements... that's of course 300,000... If you were making 500 bets, that would still be 600 bets and any variance of 5 bets lost in a row or so would wipe you out. Did they somehow lower your requirements or do you think they're letting you cash out in error? Either way get the money out if they'll let you, but I doubt you met the 300k betting requirements 30 minutes after posting previously.



Hi Romes

It wasn't 30 minutes, it was a trickle of plays through the week, some before the OP with last Saturday morning GMT for the final creschendo. A few really stupid big bets. Well over 1000 bets in total.
I have now painstakingly transcribed my bets into a workbook and I'm still analysing what went right.

I'll say no more till I fully understand it.

Meanwhile, the cash has now hit my bank account.

$:o)
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
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