avianrandy
avianrandy
Joined: Mar 7, 2010
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August 2nd, 2020 at 1:40:02 AM permalink
I seen an article on my phone about 2 major jackpots being hit just after Midnight in Las vegas. One was at Caesars for almost 2 mil on Pai gow poker. The other was at flamingo on Texas hold'em bonus for $480K and change. The one at flamingo was a royal flush. Not sure what you would need since it was pai gow since you are dealt 7 cards. Maybe a 7 card straight flush? Would you be able to use the joker? Cost of progressive bet? The article was on the las vegas review journal where I read it. Anyone have any other info than what was listed? Don't really post that much so not sure how to include a link to the article.
Keeneone
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ams288
ams288
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avianrandy
August 2nd, 2020 at 12:01:12 PM permalink
Quote: avianrandy

I seen an article on my phone about 2 major jackpots being hit just after Midnight in Las vegas. One was at Caesars for almost 2 mil on Pai gow poker. The other was at flamingo on Texas hold'em bonus for $480K and change. The one at flamingo was a royal flush. Not sure what you would need since it was pai gow since you are dealt 7 cards. Maybe a 7 card straight flush? Would you be able to use the joker? Cost of progressive bet? The article was on the las vegas review journal where I read it. Anyone have any other info than what was listed? Don't really post that much so not sure how to include a link to the article.



That Pai Gow jackpot could have been mine in June at the Flamingo! I think it was around $1.6 million when I got this:



To answer your questions: yes, a 7 card straight flush pays the jackpot, doesn’t matter if it has the joker or not for the progressive. $5 bet.

(I never bet the $5 progressive so I was not disappointed with my hit. I would have been out of money long before I got that SF had I been throwing away $5 each hand).
Ding Dong the Witch is Dead
gordonm888
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August 2nd, 2020 at 2:40:52 PM permalink
The frequency of hitting a natural (no joker) 7 card straight flush in pai gow poker (with a 53 card deck) is 0.0000002076, or approximately 1 in 4.82 million.

If you allow a joker to be part of a 7 card straight flush, the probability goes up by 7x: 0.000001453 or 1 in 688,139 (approx).

If there 6 players at the pai gow poker table and one player gets a 7card natural straight flush, what are the odds that at least one other player gets a 7card straight flush (with or without a joker?) The probability of that is 0.0000157 or about 1 in 63,720.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
Suited89
Suited89
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August 18th, 2020 at 8:46:57 PM permalink
Hmmm...

In PGP there are 8 possible 7-card Str-Fl, 7-high to Ace-High and 4 suits. Thats 32 total. Substituting the Joker for each card adds 7*32 chances. Grand total of 256 possible Straight-Flushes; 32 Natural, 224 Wild. Chance is 154,143,080 possible hands... so I get 1 in 4,816,971+ for the Natural, and 1 in 602,121+ for any 7-card Str. Fl.

What am I missing?

Regards
Suited89
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gordonm888
gordonm888
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August 18th, 2020 at 9:21:43 PM permalink
Quote: Suited89

Hmmm...

In PGP there are 8 possible 7-card Str-Fl, 7-high to Ace-High and 4 suits. Thats 32 total. Substituting the Joker for each card adds 7*32 chances. Grand total of 256 possible Straight-Flushes; 32 Natural, 224 Wild. Chance is 154,143,080 possible hands... so I get 1 in 4,816,971+ for the Natural, and 1 in 602,121+ for any 7-card Str. Fl.

What am I missing?

Regards
Suited89



I said approximately 1 in 4.82 million for the natural which agrees with your number.

We have a disagreement on the odds for the 7 card wild straight flush. I haven't looked at it closely, but your method double counts some of the possible card combinations.

Example: For a 7-high SF, substitute the Wild Card for the A and you get 765432W.
For an 8-high SF, substitute the Wild Card for the 8 and you get W765432 which is identical to the 765432W above.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.

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