https://www.8newsnow.com/news/the-strip/2-people-hit-mega-progressive-jackpots-at-caesars-palace-and-flamingo-las-vegas-one-wins-nearly-2m/

Quote:avianrandyI seen an article on my phone about 2 major jackpots being hit just after Midnight in Las vegas. One was at Caesars for almost 2 mil on Pai gow poker. The other was at flamingo on Texas hold'em bonus for $480K and change. The one at flamingo was a royal flush. Not sure what you would need since it was pai gow since you are dealt 7 cards. Maybe a 7 card straight flush? Would you be able to use the joker? Cost of progressive bet? The article was on the las vegas review journal where I read it. Anyone have any other info than what was listed? Don't really post that much so not sure how to include a link to the article.

That Pai Gow jackpot could have been mine in June at the Flamingo! I think it was around $1.6 million when I got this:

To answer your questions: yes, a 7 card straight flush pays the jackpot, doesn’t matter if it has the joker or not for the progressive. $5 bet.

(I never bet the $5 progressive so I was not disappointed with my hit. I would have been out of money long before I got that SF had I been throwing away $5 each hand).

If you allow a joker to be part of a 7 card straight flush, the probability goes up by 7x: 0.000001453 or 1 in 688,139 (approx).

If there 6 players at the pai gow poker table and one player gets a 7card natural straight flush, what are the odds that at least one other player gets a 7card straight flush (with or without a joker?) The probability of that is 0.0000157 or about 1 in 63,720.

In PGP there are 8 possible 7-card Str-Fl, 7-high to Ace-High and 4 suits. Thats 32 total. Substituting the Joker for each card adds 7*32 chances. Grand total of 256 possible Straight-Flushes; 32 Natural, 224 Wild. Chance is 154,143,080 possible hands... so I get 1 in 4,816,971+ for the Natural, and 1 in 602,121+ for any 7-card Str. Fl.

What am I missing?

Regards

Suited89

Quote:Suited89Hmmm...

In PGP there are 8 possible 7-card Str-Fl, 7-high to Ace-High and 4 suits. Thats 32 total. Substituting the Joker for each card adds 7*32 chances. Grand total of 256 possible Straight-Flushes; 32 Natural, 224 Wild. Chance is 154,143,080 possible hands... so I get 1 in 4,816,971+ for the Natural, and 1 in 602,121+ for any 7-card Str. Fl.

What am I missing?

Regards

Suited89

I said approximately 1 in 4.82 million for the natural which agrees with your number.

We have a disagreement on the odds for the 7 card wild straight flush. I haven't looked at it closely, but your method double counts some of the possible card combinations.

Example: For a 7-high SF, substitute the Wild Card for the A and you get 765432W.

For an 8-high SF, substitute the Wild Card for the 8 and you get W765432 which is identical to the 765432W above.