So, the table is opened 18 hours a day with 4 civilian on average at the table playing 30 rounds per hour. The probability of a royal per hand dealt is 4/ (52 nCr 5) ~ 1/650000 (I don't think any civilian would fold a hand consisting of two of the five royal cards). Thus the probability per round is 4/650000. Now, from round to round, the results are independent and follow a Poisson distribution if our observable is the mean probability of hitting being 4/650000. How many rounds are played in a 3 week period: 21 days x 18 hr/day x 30 rounds/hr = 11340. Pugging in the numbers we arrive at the chance of 2 or more royals in that period of time at 0.002325. Yes it is low, but not inconceivable....
It happened at Mototcity Casino, no secret about naming it. Also this wasn't third hand knowledge. I actually saw both hands. I was not playing on the games though.
I don't trust hearsay (especially those "people" at MC... just put a quarter on your trips man!!! You would be winning a lot more). If you actually witnessed these event, then it is far rarer than the numbers I give because you are not there 24/7 let alone 18 hours a day! But not as crazy as you think...
My girlfriend hit four aces last night. Of course she raised third street with ace four off. When we got to the room I said "You know I just made you 400 right?" She didn't care.
She didn't care ??? I'm sure she does care.