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Wizard
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December 13th, 2021 at 5:43:03 PM permalink
I haven't made a betting system video in a while, mainly because I think I already cover the major one. However, I was just asked about the 1-3-2-6 betting system in an interview. So, I looked it up and made my own video about it.


Direct: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X_C8LlEKmvY
Note: Original video replaced. Comments that follow are about the original version.

Before anyone takes this out of context, I absolutely don't believe that betting systems overcome, or even reduce the house edge. Measured as the ratio of the expected loss to total money bet, given the same game and bet, they are all equally worthless.

That said, what do you think of the video and the betting system?

I am very open to suggestions of other systems to explain and analyze. I know it's a smart group here, but I love debunking systems that are sold at a profit. However, if anyone here has wasted money on one and still have it, please reach out. If you're worried about a confidentiality agreement, I'm happy to protect your identity.

The question for the poll is what do you think if the 1-3-2-6 system?
Last edited by: Wizard on Dec 15, 2021
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
billryan
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December 13th, 2021 at 5:54:52 PM permalink
Is the audio only part intentional?
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
Deucekies
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December 13th, 2021 at 5:55:25 PM permalink
I prefer 1-3-2-4 myself, so that I don't just break even after failing on the fourth hand. I go back and forth between that and 1-1-2-3-5-8.
Casinos are not your friends, they want your money. But so does Disneyland. And there is no chance in hell that you will go to Disneyland and come back with more money than you went with. - AxelWolf and Mickeycrimm
gordonm888
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December 13th, 2021 at 6:16:44 PM permalink
1. For the first two minutes we are looking at a static screen of a betting table. Nothing moves -just audio. For two minutes!!! In a "How to make a You-Tube Video" Course this video of yours might be used to illustrate what not to do.

2. You never introduce yourself, but then appear at the end of the video. Your shirt with the large UTAH logo was distracting, because the shirt was the most interesting visual item in your video. My mind wandered and I started wondering why you were wearing that shirt.

3. There are no graphics in the video, however simple, that explain what the 1-3-2-6 system is. Just a voice-over. Video is a visual medium.

4. I am not sure what the demonstration proved (you were up $700 on the demo, then you did a simulation where it looked like you were ahead most of the time and finally went negative.)

5. I felt it was too long for the subject matter.

I'm sorry, but this video seems unlikely to hold an audience. I know you often respond that you are not trying to make a Ken Burns-quality video and I understand. I got it. But what you are really communicating to your audience is that you either don't know how to make a video, or you don't care to make the effort to do so. I don't think that either is necessarily true, but, well, I'm just being honest . . .
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
Wizard
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December 13th, 2021 at 7:29:09 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

Is the audio only part intentional?
link to original post



I don't understand the question.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Wizard
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December 13th, 2021 at 7:38:29 PM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

1. For the first two minutes we are looking at a static screen of a betting table. Nothing moves -just audio. For two minutes!!! In a "How to make a You-Tube Video" Course this video of yours might be used to illustrate what not to do.



Okay, point taken. I had to introduce the video and couldn't think of anything graphical to help. I suppose just talking into the camera would have been better.

Quote:

2. You never introduce yourself, but then appear at the end of the video.



Listen to the first five seconds.

Quote:

Your shirt with the large UTAH logo was distracting, because the shirt was the most interesting visual item in your video. My mind wandered and I started wondering why you were wearing that shirt.



Why not? It was just what I'm wearing today, when I made the video.

Quote:

3. There are no graphics in the video, however simple, that explain what the 1-3-2-6 system is. Just a voice-over. Video is a visual medium.



Did you watch the whole thing? I go through an example in part 2.

Quote:

4. I am not sure what the demonstration proved (you were up $700 on the demo, then you did a simulation where it looked like you were ahead most of the time and finally went negative.)



The demonstration explained how the system worked.

Quote:

5. I felt it was too long for the subject matter.



Fair point.

Quote:

I'm sorry, but this video seems unlikely to hold an audience. I know you often respond that you are not trying to make a Ken Burns-quality video and I understand. I got it. But what you are really communicating to your audience is that you either don't know how to make a video, or you don't care to make the effort to do so. I don't think that either is necessarily true, but, well, I'm just being honest . . .
link to original post



Ouch! This is not exactly the most interesting subject matter, as opposed to the topic of any Ken Burns video. Maybe I'll just delete the thing, but I don't think a retake is going to be any better.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
ChumpChange
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December 13th, 2021 at 8:50:20 PM permalink
You can only lose if you get 0 or 1 in a row, which would be 75% of the time.
Wizard
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December 14th, 2021 at 1:03:50 AM permalink
Here is my new page on the 1-3-2-6 betting system.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Wizard
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December 14th, 2021 at 3:48:51 PM permalink
Okay, Gordon, I hope you're happy. I deleted the old video and added a new introduction as well as a part going over the page on my web site. Hopefully this increases my grade from an F to a D.


Direct: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X_C8LlEKmvY
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Dieter
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December 14th, 2021 at 4:01:34 PM permalink
It's already much better.
When I tried the original, I thought I was having a technical error, because my sound was muted and I couldn't tell if the video was buffering or what.
May the cards fall in your favor.
gordonm888
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December 14th, 2021 at 7:01:33 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Okay, Gordon, I hope you're happy. I deleted the old video and added a new introduction as well as a part going over the page on my web site. Hopefully this increases my grade from an F to a D.


Direct: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X_C8LlEKmvY
link to original post



Much, much better. A definite improvement! (even though it is now longer than the first version.)

I noticed you started in a Colorado jersey and concluded with a Utah jersey. I suggest you make this a theme - always start and end your videos with two different jerseys with the names of different states (or countries, or cities or national parks or whatever.) This way your followers will have something to keep track of and can play "collect the locations" by watching your videos.

However, please don't revise this video again and then ask me to watch it a third time. Some agonies just cannot be borne.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
Wizard
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December 14th, 2021 at 7:35:27 PM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

Much, much better. A definite improvement! (even though it is now longer than the first version.)



Thank you! I needed that. My self-esteem was taken down a few notches after your previous post.

Quote:

I noticed you started in a Colorado jersey and concluded with a Utah jersey. I suggest you make this a theme - always start and end your videos with two different jerseys with the names of different states (or countries, or cities or national parks or whatever.) This way your followers will have something to keep track of and can play "collect the locations" by watching your videos.



I like that idea. I have a decent collection of collegiate t-shorts and hoodies, so this won't be a big sacrifice.

Quote:

However, please don't revise this video again and then ask me to watch it a third time. Some agonies just cannot be borne.
link to original post



Agreed!
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
BleedingChipsSlowly
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December 15th, 2021 at 2:11:18 AM permalink
Delete the OP video link - it’s a dead link. New thread readers may not get beyond that failure.
“You don’t bring a bone saw to a negotiation.” - Robert Jordan, former U.S. ambassador to Saudi Arabia
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