The Adventures of MDawg II

The latest Vegas trip has been concluded.

Congratulations on another very successful trip Mdawg !
When it happens frequently and in spite of expected bad runs , which you handle quite skillfully, one may be inclined to wonder if there's "something more" to what Mdawg is doing .
Great Job!.

Thanks!

I went back to playing more DD Blackjack at some points during the trip, and I definitely varied the bet quite a bit.

What was crazy was during one session a pit boss called out "All in!" on a certain hand which actually I was reaching for the chips at the same moment the pit boss said that, but this particularly dealer was dealing to me so fast (one on one, private table) that I didn't have time to place the table max chips down. Sure enough, Blackjack!

It was at an obvious moment when the count was high, among other things.

I actually took it easier on Blackjack than usual, varying my bet only, say...with a 20X or so spread, but I got most of the biguns.

That negotiated dealer stands on soft 17 rule helped me out on some hands.

For whatever reason(s) I feel more comfortable laying out the ridiculously large bets at Bacc, but as I get back into more Blackjack, that may change. My DD table is entirely hand shuffled.

Quote: MDawg

Thanks!

I went back to playing more DD Blackjack at some points during the trip, and I definitely varied the bet quite a bit.

What was crazy was during one session a pit boss called out "All in!" on a certain hand which actually I was reaching for the chips at the same moment the pit boss said that, but this particularly dealer was dealing to me so fast (one on one, private table) that I didn't have time to place the table max chips down. Sure enough, Blackjack!

It was at an obvious moment when the count was high, among other things.

I actually took it easier on Blackjack than usual, varying my bet only, say...with a 20X or so spread, but I got most of the biguns.

That negotiated dealer stands on soft 17 rule helped me out on some hands.

For whatever reason(s) I feel more comfortable laying out the ridiculously large bets at Bacc, but as I get back into more Blackjack, that may change. My DD table is entirely hand shuffled.
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How many hands are dealt before a re-shuffle, and have you ever been injured playing cards like a torn labrum or dislocated shoulder?

tuttigym

One on one, a lot of hands are dealt before a shuffle, but the better question is...how much of the deck do they cut away before dealing? Given that they always cut away some, you will never have the full advantage that you might expect which is why other Advantage tactics come into Play besides just counting.

I might get excited at winning a special limits blackjack or double down but not enough to dislocate my shoulder.

One thing you definitely don't want to do is purposefully not push any advantage that you might have. Take all you can, when you can. When your number's up, you'll regret not having taken everything you could have.

Quote: MDawg

One thing you definitely don't want to do is purposefully not push any advantage that you might have. Take all you can, when you can. When your number's up, you'll regret not having taken everything you could have.
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This may be true for you, but CERTAINLY not for he rest of the card counters in the world.

I once had a dealer that was frequently making his hole card visible. I felt if I hit my hard 19 against the dealers known 20 once that would be the last hand I’d play with that dealer. I could just hit a 10 instead of doubling when the dealer has a 6 ( with a ‘hidden’ 4) as that is not egregious. Or stand on 16 when dealer has a 7 (with hidden 8). But certain plays ANNOUNCE you are seeing the dealer’s card. No reason to make that announcement.

In what situation was the dealer showing his hole card? Was it at a low limit table? I have been at relatively low limit tables where the dealer flat out turns over his hole card, with full house approval, just for fun. Doesn't do it that often, but does do it.

So by the same token, unless you were really making some money I doubt anyone would have cared about what was going on to the extent of figuring out that you were winning a few red chips due to a weak dealer - to the extent of that ONE HAND would have caused any ruckus. Now, you give an extreme example - hitting 19, that's just bad odds anyway, so yes, I'd agree that the tiny chance of getting an ace or two would be eclipsed by the possibility of revealing either that you were a bad player (which would be a good thing in that situation anyway) or that the dealer was weak.

But I'll tell you what, if I had a huge bet on that hand that was larger than most of my other bets I wouldn't care about anything other than trying to win that hand.

By the way, as far as your ratholing chips - I was watching a recent high limit Baccarat table, just tracking it, and a player left the table with no chips and asked the pit boss to mark it on the way out. After a few minutes, the pit boss had counted the table and laughed, saying "They think they're slick with putting those chips in their pockets" and obviously had figured out exactly what the player had walked with.

Quote: MDawg

In what situation was the dealer showing his hole card? Was it at a low limit table? I have been at relatively low limit tables where the dealer flat out turns over his hole card, with full house approval, just for fun. Doesn't do it that often, but does do it.

So by the same token, unless you were really making some money I doubt anyone would have cared about what was going on to the extent of figuring out that you were winning a few red chips due to a weak dealer - to the extent of that ONE HAND would have caused any ruckus. Now, you give an extreme example - hitting 19, that's just bad odds anyway, so yes, I'd agree that the tiny chance of getting an ace or two would be eclipsed by the possibility of revealing either that you were a bad player (which would be a good thing in that situation anyway) or that the dealer was weak.

But I'll tell you what, if I had a huge bet on that hand that was larger than most of my other bets I wouldn't care about anything other than trying to win that hand.

By the way, as far as your ratholing chips - I was watching a recent high limit Baccarat table, just tracking it, and a player left the table with no chips and asked the pit boss to mark it on the way out. After a few minutes, the pit boss had counted the table and laughed, saying "They think they're slick with putting those chips in their pockets" and obviously had figured out exactly what the player had walked with.
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It was a low limit table. And I was ‘poor’ at the time. I was betting $5 -$10 a hand. (30 ish years ago?). There was a ‘big’ player betting $25- $50. I had a sense that there was collusion going on between that player and the dealer, and I was just getting the luck of sitting at that table. I won a small amount (30$?) and just felt uncomfortable and left.

I stand by my assertion that at my low limit Pai Gow tables that I can rathole a few hundred $$$ and not be noticed. You often mention people who don’t play your high limit action don’t understand what happens at your tables. I’ll say the same thing about you at my low limit tables!

Big win for me yesterday. $150ish. My buddy was getting GREAT hands. He won over $600. This playing $25 Pai Gow. If you were playing you would have made 6 figures. Only 2 hours!

There are times that I wish I had bet a LOT more. Many times. And sometimes, I am betting big enough at the right time.

There should be a "Call MDawg alert" hotline - 1-800-BIG DAWG - when things are happening, Better Call MDawg! and he'll be there with enough cash or credit to take full Advantage of the situation! A perennial stand in Big Player.

https://www.amazon.com/Big-Player-Blackjack-Players-Million/dp/0030169216

Quote: MDawg

I have now won something (anywhere from a few grand to mid five figure grand) in EVERY SINGLE DRAWING I have participated in in Vegas. All free entry, although a couple did require some play over a period of time prior to the drawing. Most required to be present to win anything, although one did not.

These are drawing for the ultra elite where there are around fifty participants, and usually ten prizes, so the odds of getting something are actually pretty good.
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I was asked to visit here to talk about a recent claim that went unchallenged. The claim is this individual has never lost a casino drawing, which we all dream could be possible. The claim is these are elite drawings with 50 entires and 10 winners. Or a 20% chance of winning in any drawers if the odds of winning are balanced. If this is the case and the claimant has entered 5 drawings lifetime the odds of winning in all 5 are 1 in 3125. Possible in a rare occurrence but most will say not likely. If he has entered 10 drawings with the same odds of winning the odds go up to 1 in almost 10,000,000.

Next we examine if these drawings are biased toward certain individuals legally or in the case of the Venetian situation years ago, illegally. This can be done by giving certain individuals far more entries to give desired customers better odds of winning. In this case you have a claim of 50 of the casinos Elite highest rollers in a drawing. Even in this situation some players are more importantly financially to the casino and drawings could used as an incentive to return losses to a player or encourage them to return.

In what case can anyone see a casino rewarding a player in this manner who claims to win on every trip? A player who claims to win hundreds of thousands during each trip which add up to annual 7 figure wins? Or would it make more sense to return some losses to a high roller in these drawings? Why would a casino provide incentives to a player who claims to win consistency and says the casinos even tell him he never loses? Any why is a casino allowing a player to spread 20-1 or more on DDBJ at high counts?

As we are not contesting the players claims in which case either he is beating the odds on these drawings or we have a situation where AP’s in Vegas need to be looking at these drawings closer for potential. And everything we based our play on considering sweat was a misgiving nightmare in our minds.

I am a first time member here who lives in Vegas and knows how things work in this town. Many here know me or know of me including Shack. I was directed to these claims over drinks recently and after first laughing saying everyone was in on it, I was told it’s be going on for years. I was told to make sure this post follows the stated rules of this forum under the basis of debating the claim and not the individual. My IP will prove I am local and not hiding behind any hanky panky