Thread Rating:

AlanMendelson
AlanMendelson
Joined: Oct 5, 2011
  • Threads: 161
  • Posts: 5735
September 20th, 2022 at 9:35:48 PM permalink
Thanks for posting the chopmarks. I've seen political stamps on currency but not these tiny chopmarks. I just read several articles about them. Interesting.
MrV
MrV
Joined: Feb 13, 2010
  • Threads: 341
  • Posts: 7658
September 20th, 2022 at 11:51:38 PM permalink
I am intrigued by the spider on the one dollar bill...what a web he wove!

"What, me worry?"
AlanMendelson
AlanMendelson
Joined: Oct 5, 2011
  • Threads: 161
  • Posts: 5735
September 21st, 2022 at 1:27:15 AM permalink
Many many years ago there was a scandal over the word SEX that was engraved in Lincoln's beard on the $5 bill.

I think this goes back to 1970.

Around the same time there were subliminal images in advertising including images of couples having sex and the images were hidden in the eye pupils of models.
MDawg
MDawg
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
  • Threads: 35
  • Posts: 5232
September 21st, 2022 at 9:03:02 AM permalink
Day 5 play.

Baccarat.

Was up a little at a couple points but mostly down, never got back to even, hate to admit it - but was Chasing some. Finally just ended the session, as no advantage was forthcoming.

-21000

Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.

And this is the MDawg challenge.
I tell you itís wonderful to be here, man. I donít give a damn who wins or loses. Itís just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
MDawg
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
  • Threads: 35
  • Posts: 5232
September 21st, 2022 at 9:15:56 AM permalink
ďThe struggle is not between you and the casino; the struggle is between you and yourself.Ē
I tell you itís wonderful to be here, man. I donít give a damn who wins or loses. Itís just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
unJon
unJon
Joined: Jul 1, 2018
  • Threads: 14
  • Posts: 3703
September 21st, 2022 at 9:43:44 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Let's set aside advantage or no advantage play for a moment, and consider only variance.

If the variance of a gaming session is viewed as a sine wave,


and the upper part of the wave times when variance supports the player and the bottom parts of the wave times when variance support the house, then if a player leaves a session at say, this point in the variance,


that is not to say that when the player resumes play at some point in the future that he will resume play at exactly that same point in the variance - so to say that all of one's gaming sessions combined equal just one long session, is simplistic, when variance is considered. Rather, each session has its own independent ups and downs and unless the player resumes play at exactly where he left off for purposes of variance, resumption of play is not exactly a mere continuation of the same play.

Getting back to the sine wave of variance, if a player always tends to quit when he is losing, at the bottom of the variance curves, such as here


he's going to tend to have a lot of sessions strung together where variance was against him at the moment that he left.

On the other hand if a player tends to get up and leave after variance was in his favor,


and the chips were stacking his way, he'd tend to put together a lot of sessions where he was winning.

Add to the equation a player who varies his bet a lot, and variance might swing even more widely up and down, making the difference between leaving while ahead, or behind, even more pronounced over numerous sessions.

It adds up to the difference between constantly leaving a session after a good run, or constantly leaving after all the chips from a run are eaten up.

(Ninety some percent of Vegas visitors are ahead at some point during their trips, but the vast majority keep playing until they are behind.)
link to original post



If variance worked that way, then it would make sense to think in terms of ďsessions.Ē

You are postulating that there is some sort of momentum to a session where recent past results influence chance of winning current hand. I think? Or are you saying something else?
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
MDawg
MDawg
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
  • Threads: 35
  • Posts: 5232
September 21st, 2022 at 10:34:45 AM permalink
Variance does work that way in that sometimes it favors the player and sometimes favors the casino. As to whether it exactly goes up and down sinusoidally, I'm just trying to give variance some sort of representation in terms of that it fluctuates.

I am not talking about "there is some sort of momentum to a session where recent past results influence chance of winning current hand" - I am not saying that at all - most of what I am saying is that is that it is imprecise to say that the end of one session and the beginning of a new one continues at exactly the same point in terms of variance favorability (or unfavorability) as was left off.

And therefore, if you sat at the table continuously and played never getting up, you would not necessarily achieve the same variance results as if you played multiple sessions separated in time. (In other words - your gambling life is not exactly "just one long session" where it makes no difference where you stop or start.)

And if you'll think about our little problem along them lines...


and you'll forgive me for sayin' it...a string of sessions quitting at times after you've experienced a good run, versus a string of sessions quitting after you've experienced a bad run, are not the same thing.
I tell you itís wonderful to be here, man. I donít give a damn who wins or loses. Itís just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
MDawg
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
  • Threads: 35
  • Posts: 5232
September 21st, 2022 at 9:08:16 PM permalink
Day 6 play.

Baccarat.

Back on track. Some big bets mostly winners.

+11200

Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.

And this is the MDawg challenge.
I tell you itís wonderful to be here, man. I donít give a damn who wins or loses. Itís just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
MDawg
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
  • Threads: 35
  • Posts: 5232
September 21st, 2022 at 9:09:18 PM permalink
Play may be tiring though. I take a day to days off here and there.
I tell you itís wonderful to be here, man. I donít give a damn who wins or loses. Itís just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
MDawg
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
  • Threads: 35
  • Posts: 5232
September 22nd, 2022 at 10:54:21 PM permalink
Day 7 play.

Baccarat.

Two sessions. Won pretty well at one came back from well behind to win a little at the other.

Two cute girls wandered into the back area and sat at my table, not realizing it was reserved. The pit boss was about to chase them off when I said, No, I believe I can hang out with you fellas for a little while, so I let them stay and they didn't win anything, but they didn't lose either. After I won, I left and told the pit boss they could keep playing at my table if they wanted.

I got their names but left it at that. It was just fun to watch them in action, was all, because they got so into the game.

+7700

Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.

And this is the MDawg challenge.
I tell you itís wonderful to be here, man. I donít give a damn who wins or loses. Itís just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/

  • Jump to: