Flatbetting yields this advantage no matter what we try to do. We must stand the 1% edge fluctuations as well.
What about applying a mild MM or system to make an attemp to increase this 1% or win easier?
I was thinking about Oscar´s grind system, first introduced by PHD Allan Wilson in his "Gambler´s guide".
This system has got 99.8% in winning 1 units with 1000 BR and 99.95% with 5000 br. These %s are with -2.7%
What if we play it with +1% edge?
regards
ybot
it's still a +1% edgeQuote: ybotHi, we take for granted we win easily with an edge, for instance 1% playing even money bets.
Flatbetting yields this advantage no matter what we try to do. We must stand the 1% edge fluctuations as well.
What about applying a mild MM or system to make an attemp to increase this 1% or win easier?
I was thinking about Oscar´s grind system, first introduced by PHD Allan Wilson in his "Gambler´s guide".
This system has got 99.8% in winning 1 units with 1000 BR and 99.95% with 5000 br. These %s are with -2.7%
What if we play it with ?
regards
ybot
If you already have a defined edge, then there is such a system that tells you exactly how much to bet with your BR/variance/RoR/etc... That's Kelly Criterion.
KC is a classical tool to play.
OG systems longs for +1 to reset. I wonder how it worked with an edge.
We know that +1% edge is a fact. The quest is to get more than 1% or get it with lower fluctuations.
Cowing a +1% edge takes huge task. In case we play table limits we must stand it with a big BR.
In this example we play even chances with +1%, it doulbles the edge of playing 9 numbers with 1% edge on average.
But, is it the same to play 18 numbers with +1% and +2% on 9 numbers? How do fluctuate?
What if we played 24 or more numbers with +1%?
Math problem: if a spin of this +EV roulette game takes 60 seconds, how long would it actually take for you to bankrupt a casino's $10M bank starting with $100 in your pocket. Assume nobody else is playing.
There are variables that could give +1% or more playing from 12 to 30 numbers in roulette, such as bias play or VB.
The more numbers covered the better.
Quote: RomesAh, well it's quite simple then. When cowing a 1% edge across 9 numbers clearly one must consider BR requirements. However if you move to 18 numbers and it's a Thursday evening then you're more likely getting about 1.24%, not 2%. When the 3rd full move of the year arises though, this is the time to strike at the full 24 number mark. You see, when the moon is full (for the 3rd time only) then and only then will the gravitational affect on your betting chips be enough to gander the full 2% advantage. If that doesn't work then you can always get a cottage on an island and contemplate the meaning of the number 17.
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