Poll

4 votes (50%)
1 vote (12.5%)
3 votes (37.5%)

8 members have voted

smoothgrh
smoothgrh
Joined: Oct 26, 2011
  • Threads: 65
  • Posts: 629
August 21st, 2020 at 11:29:07 AM permalink
I understand the odds are the same on each hand, that the machine has no memory, and that I could get two consecutive royals or could go 100,000 hands without one.

My pondering is about what constitutes a hand. I observe hands when I play. I also observe hands when I watch other people play. Do all these observations of hands make the statistics relative to me move closer to the long-term statistical average of royal flush frequency?
rsactuary
rsactuary
Joined: Sep 6, 2014
  • Threads: 19
  • Posts: 1687
August 21st, 2020 at 1:03:37 PM permalink
I guess it depends on how you want to phrase it.

If you want to say that you on average you got a royal every 40000 hands, you can't include the royals you see watching other people play. If you want to say you see a royal every 40,000 hands, then by all means include the hands you see other people play. This also gets complicated because people are playing different games with different strategies and not even the correct strategy. Then there's multi-hand play, how would you account for that if you were counting "seeing" hands?
billryan
billryan
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
  • Threads: 172
  • Posts: 9616
August 21st, 2020 at 1:10:52 PM permalink
Do the odds change if you are observing the hand rather than playing it yourself?
michael99000
michael99000
Joined: Jul 10, 2010
  • Threads: 9
  • Posts: 2112
August 21st, 2020 at 3:55:18 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

Do the odds change if you are observing the hand rather than playing it yourself?



I know when it comes to sports betting, baccarat, stock trading , the win rate is much higher on internet message board posts than anywhere else.

A phenomenon worth studying
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
Joined: Oct 10, 2012
  • Threads: 146
  • Posts: 18249
August 21st, 2020 at 5:51:16 PM permalink
Quote: michael99000

I know when it comes to sports betting, baccarat, stock trading , the win rate is much higher on internet message board posts than anywhere else.

A phenomenon worth studying

there are just some people who get off on making up grandiose crap. I'm not sure if they're delusional and believe that people believe them or they just don't care as long as there's a chance someone believes them.
Last edited by: AxelWolf on Aug 22, 2020
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪

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