It's The Wizard Memorial Horserace!

Quote: Croupier

This sounds like a great idea. Shame I'm not in the running. Although I would probably be the 100-1 rank outsider. Im a sucker for a long shot.

Maybe if it takes off you could do an International Version, or maybe a U.S. vs rest of world, using various sporting events.

This will be my 63rd post, so I'm way behind, too. I prefer quality over quantity. :+) Looking at anther forum I post at, I've only made 79 posts and I've been a member since July of 2006.

Quote: Wizard

Before the race I'll assign the top posters each a horse, the top poster getting the one most likely to win, according to the betting odds, and moving down. The winner of the race will get a free gift.

Hmmm...

Ya know, I wasn't even planning on watching the race. Now I got something to look forward to!


But it looks like, with only around 48 hours left, that I get the favorite. I'm not sure if that's good or bad.

Current stats:
DJTeddyBear - 905
pacomartin - 733
boymimbo - 687
Nareed - 440
FleaStiff - 397


On the flip side, I'm happy that one of the threads that I started is in the Top-5!
http://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/off-topic/902-people-are-math-challenged/

Me doth protest the judging criteria of this contest.
After all, the Derby does not run for an infinite amount of time, otherwise the horses that started a month earlier would never be caught.

Randomly pick a past date and take members with most posts from that date.
Randomly pick 10 past dates, and take the top ten posters in total from those dates.
Randomly pick any past week, and award horses to the top ten thread starters.
Create a thread for people to post their best gambling related joke. Top jokes win a horse.

However, since I cannot think of any criteria where I could be a contender ;-), and since I will be playing craps for the next 3 days at Beau Rivage anyway (watching the stinking oil slick invade the coastline), I guess I will protest in silence.

Current odds:

Devil May Care is the only filly in the race.. and it looks unless Frank slows down his pace, I get the girl.

Lookin at Lucky 2 - 1
Sidneys Candy 4 - 1
Devil May Care 6 - 1
Awesome Act 8 - 1
Ice Box 8 - 1
Conveyance 10 - 1
Dublin 10 - 1
Nobles Promise 10 - 1
Jackson Bend 12 - 1
Super Saver 12 - 1
Paddy OPrado 15 - 1
Mission Impazible 15 - 1
Discreetly Mine 25 - 1
Line of David 25 - 1
Stately Victor 25 - 1
American Lion 25 - 1
Homeboykris 35 - 1
Make Music for Me 35 - 1
Deans Kitten 40 - 1
Backtalk 40 - 1

Here are your Kentucky Derby horse assignments for the top 20 contributors. The winner will get the choice of:

1. Framed Dogs Playing Poker print.
2. Wizard of Odds polo shirt and copy of Gambling 102.
3. Dinner at the restaurant of your choice with me at the Red Rock casino.

I'm negotiable regarding other ideas.

Member	Posts	Horse	Prob. Win
DJTeddyBear	912	1 At Lucky	16.4%
pacomartin	758	20 Sidney's Candy	11.3%
boymimbo	692	16 Awesome Act	7.8%
Nareed	446	2 Ice Box	6.8%
FleaStiff	404	4 Super Saver	6.2%
Croupier	387	3 Noble's Promise	5.5%
AZDuffman	379	11 Devil May Care	5.5%
teddys	338	14 Mission Impazible	4.8%
odiousgambit	327	17 Dublin	4.8%
cclub79	297	6 Stately Victor	4.6%
goatcabin	210	13 Jackson Bend	4.6%
Mosca	195	7 American Lion	3.9%
RaleighCraps	169	12 Conveyance	3.9%
MrPapagiorgio	155	10 Paddy O'Prado	3.2%
DorothyGale	145	5 Line Of David	2.4%
pocketaces	145	15 Discreetly Mine	2.4%
dk	137	8 Dean's Kitten	1.8%
derik999	128	19 Homeboykris	1.6%
Doc	120	9 Make Music For Me	1.3%
tuttigym	120	18 Backtalk	1.3%

I'm very happy with Stately Victor. He won at 40 to 1 in his last start and I had a piece. Most horse players know this is the money making race of the year, because there are so many people betting names and hunches and silly stuff that the pools are never where they should be based on the strength of the horses. My choice right now is a Show bet on Devil May Care, because the Place and Show pools are always inflated in these situations, and the filly is carrying less weight (big advantage), and remember, even though Eight Belles died last year, she came in 2nd and paid nicely on Place and Show.

Two and a half hours to post time and I just finished setting up to DJ a backyard political Derby party!

And they have open access wifi! :)

Quote: Wizard

The winner will get the choice of:

1. Framed Dogs Playing Poker print.
2. Wizard of Odds polo shirt and copy of Gambling 102.
3. Dinner at the restaurant of your choice with me at the Red Rock casino.

Wow. Great choice of prizes.

1. I've always wanted a copy of that stupid print!

2. Hmmm... Ya got any 4X shirts? Then again, if you upgrade and make it an autographed copy of Gaming 102, then this becomes a great prize too.

3. Dinner with the Wiz? Now you're talking!


By the way, regarding your tag line:

Quote:

It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet.

So a freeroll on the Derby, even without the option of picking the horse, is still a good bet, right?



Don't get me wrong. I wouldn't know a filly from a donkey, but I'm happy to have the favorite!

Quote: DJTeddyBear

Don't get me wrong. I wouldn't know a filly from a donkey, but I'm happy to have the favorite!

Looks like Lookin' At Lucky might not go off as the favorite...

But that's my horse right?

I mean, that's what the Wiz posted, so that's the horse I'm rooting for!

Personally, I'm kinda glad it might not be the favorite. Favorites are overrated. Gimme an underdog!

----

Yeah, that's right. I just contradicted myself to suit the situation. Like you've never done that....

I'm in for the print! Go Awesome Act. You're 12-1 right now. You're giving Tuttigym a chance?? He had all of his posts in one thread!