AxelWolf
AxelWolf
Joined: Oct 10, 2012
  • Threads: 151
  • Posts: 19995
October 11th, 2021 at 5:40:55 PM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

I'm reading this thread carefully, because I'm interested in this subject and want to learn.

The people I know who play these kinds of 1:1 fanduels contests seem to be pretty knowledgable and put a fair amount of effort into being knowledgable. And everyone presumably has access to the same internet articles and free 'tips.' So where, in general, does the edge come from? Is it developing some key insight on an undervalued player, or understanding what options an opposition defense will likely shut down, or just hoping for a clueless opponent?
link to original post

I just saw something (perhap John Oliver). They had some stats that suggested a significant lion share of the money won on those sites are won by a very small percentage of the same people.

That's scary and suggests to me you have to be very very good.
I don't really don't know enough about it, I just find it interesting.
This would be a good research project and artical for Mission to tackle.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
mwalz9
mwalz9
Joined: Feb 7, 2012
  • Threads: 39
  • Posts: 526
October 11th, 2021 at 5:56:08 PM permalink
I believe that and thats why I stay in the "EXPERIENCED PLAYERS EXCLUDED" head to heads.
redietz
redietz
Joined: Jun 5, 2019
  • Threads: 49
  • Posts: 767
October 11th, 2021 at 6:03:10 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: gordonm888

I'm reading this thread carefully, because I'm interested in this subject and want to learn.

The people I know who play these kinds of 1:1 fanduels contests seem to be pretty knowledgable and put a fair amount of effort into being knowledgable. And everyone presumably has access to the same internet articles and free 'tips.' So where, in general, does the edge come from? Is it developing some key insight on an undervalued player, or understanding what options an opposition defense will likely shut down, or just hoping for a clueless opponent?
link to original post

I just saw something (perhap John Oliver). They had some stats that suggested a significant lion share of the money won on those sites are won by a very small percentage of the same people.

That's scary and suggests to me you have to be very very good.
I don't really don't know enough about it, I just find it interesting.
This would be a good research project and artical for Mission to tackle.
link to original post




The research has already been done. Axel, sometimes you should take the time to actually read some of the posts. My blog entry summarizes it and mentions the expose authors, then you can go directly to the newspaper articles yourself and dig up the ratios of who won what.

https://theskepticalgambler.blogspot.com/2021/07/when-fantasy-goes-bad.html
"You can't breathe dead hippo waking, sleeping, and eating, and at the same time keep your precarious grip on existence."
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
Joined: Oct 10, 2012
  • Threads: 151
  • Posts: 19995
October 11th, 2021 at 6:24:39 PM permalink
Quote: redietz

Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: gordonm888

I'm reading this thread carefully, because I'm interested in this subject and want to learn.

The people I know who play these kinds of 1:1 fanduels contests seem to be pretty knowledgable and put a fair amount of effort into being knowledgable. And everyone presumably has access to the same internet articles and free 'tips.' So where, in general, does the edge come from? Is it developing some key insight on an undervalued player, or understanding what options an opposition defense will likely shut down, or just hoping for a clueless opponent?
link to original post

I just saw something (perhap John Oliver). They had some stats that suggested a significant lion share of the money won on those sites are won by a very small percentage of the same people.

That's scary and suggests to me you have to be very very good.
I don't really don't know enough about it, I just find it interesting.
This would be a good research project and artical for Mission to tackle.
link to original post




The research has already been done. Axel, sometimes you should take the time to actually read some of the posts. My blog entry summarizes it and mentions the expose authors, then you can go directly to the newspaper articles yourself and dig up the ratios of who won what.

https://theskepticalgambler.blogspot.com/2021/07/when-fantasy-goes-bad.html
link to original post

There are lots of things I should do/should be doing , however I try my best to only do things I enjoy doing. That sounds like a lot of homework for something I'm only mildy interested in. I'm fairly certain I can't make money doing it so I'm not out to spend much time researching it. I will check out what you wrote about it next time I'm at an airport or some place where I have boring time to kill.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
mwalz9
mwalz9
Joined: Feb 7, 2012
  • Threads: 39
  • Posts: 526
October 11th, 2021 at 6:41:28 PM permalink
I just read it, redietz.

I also followed the rabbit hole to the articles and YouTube. Interesting.

Again, why I stay under the "Experienced Players Excluded" tab.
mwalz9
mwalz9
Joined: Feb 7, 2012
  • Threads: 39
  • Posts: 526
October 11th, 2021 at 7:54:03 PM permalink
Of course Taylor has game of his life and Im nkt going to cash.

:0(
mwalz9
mwalz9
Joined: Feb 7, 2012
  • Threads: 39
  • Posts: 526
October 11th, 2021 at 8:18:15 PM permalink
Howd you do, redietz?

Your lineup had to be solid.
redietz
redietz
Joined: Jun 5, 2019
  • Threads: 49
  • Posts: 767
October 11th, 2021 at 8:22:59 PM permalink
Well, I'm cashing as of the end of regulation. LOL.

Actually, the best thing I did was play the MNF/TNF small full roster contest. So I have Jackson and the TE and Taylor. I'm going to be easily cashing in that heading into the Thursday game.

God, I cannot stand the NFL officiating this weekend. It has been horrific.
"You can't breathe dead hippo waking, sleeping, and eating, and at the same time keep your precarious grip on existence."
redietz
redietz
Joined: Jun 5, 2019
  • Threads: 49
  • Posts: 767
October 11th, 2021 at 8:35:22 PM permalink
You know, I'd like to think I made a genius move using Taylor, but the only reason I took him is because the rules require you have one player from each team. and I did not want Wentz.
"You can't breathe dead hippo waking, sleeping, and eating, and at the same time keep your precarious grip on existence."
mwalz9
mwalz9
Joined: Feb 7, 2012
  • Threads: 39
  • Posts: 526
October 12th, 2021 at 11:34:09 AM permalink
I played a $10 EXPERIENCED PLAYERS EXCLUDED 50/50 for the Braves/Brewers game today. Game starts at 5pm est.

The way this works is 20 players. $10 each. Top 10 players get $9 profit for $19 total. FanDuel keeps $10.

My lineup:

A. RILEY MVP X2 POINTS
C. YELICH STAR X1.5 PTS
A. GARCIA
J. SOLER
A. DUVALL

We shall see...

  • Jump to: