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gr8player
gr8player
Joined: Mar 2, 2013
  • Threads: 8
  • Posts: 606
July 9th, 2013 at 5:05:30 PM permalink
Quote: dwheatley

I'll bite. Why is is best we be familiar with these properties?



Hello, dwheatley, and thank you for your interest.

Averages.

We all need to begin our quests somewhere, and, IMHO, familiarity with the statistical averages for the singles, doubles, and triples is a meaningful place to start.

It bears repeating that those singles, doubles, and triples comprise the bulk of the shoe's decisions. One simply can't afford to get that "deer in the headlights" look about them if they happened to be witnessing a shoe unfolding with a lack of any real runs; anyone armed with those statistical averages would know that there is supposed to be more 1's than 2's and more 2's than 3's.

It is, in fact, the ANOMALY shoe that has alot of runs in it. One should know that. Why? Because maybe, just maybe, they won't design their preferred plays around catching runs of 5 or 6 or more. That would be fruitless.

I'd rather design my play to catch the singles or the doubles or the triples. It's not difficult....just follow the propensity of this particular shoe.

Banker is stopping at 2 (BB)? Bet P after a double B.
Player is hitting the "3-hole" (tripling)? Bet P after a double P.

Does that work? Yes. And no.

Which means...sometimes it will and sometimes it won't.

But I won't be caught by surprise in the numbers. I know the avg stats and I know what to look for when playing for them.

Is it an exact science? Nope. But, know this: What might've "bit" me in the last shoe will, more than likely, "pay me off" in the next.

I use those stats to assist me in my bet selections.

I wish it for all of you.
EvenBob
EvenBob
Joined: Jul 18, 2010
  • Threads: 434
  • Posts: 25333
July 9th, 2013 at 5:12:38 PM permalink
Quote: gr8player

anyone armed with those statistical averages would know that there is supposed to be more 1's than 2's and more 2's than 3's.
.



Every single bac player knows this, I guarantee
it. He may not know its called law of series (its
not a law) but he knows there are more 1's than
2's and 2's than 3's etc. Why do you think this is
a revelation.
"It's not enough to succeed, your friends must fail." Gore Vidal
gr8player
gr8player
Joined: Mar 2, 2013
  • Threads: 8
  • Posts: 606
July 9th, 2013 at 5:21:28 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

So you have a crystal ball, then. You know whats
coming. The casino must fear you indeed. Have
you quit your day job yet?



I wish.

No, I'm still working hard at my full-time job. I have a daughter that'll probably be getting engaged soon, so here comes a wedding to pay for, and I've a son that begins the last semester to his Masters degree in the Fall. My responsibilities at this time prevent me from leaving my job.

Besides, I make more money at my job than I ever could at Baccarat.

But, that all said, I can tell you this unequivocally:

If I had "daily, easy access" to the casinos and I were retired, I'd be able to derive a rather keen weekly stipend from this game. I've no doubt of it. As it is now, I get only a Thursday night and a Friday afternoon each week and I'm still doing decently.

Ah well, retirement's maybe a year or two away.......
KB1
KB1
Joined: Jul 9, 2013
  • Threads: 3
  • Posts: 128
July 9th, 2013 at 6:27:53 PM permalink
Several Fridays and Saturdays of losing money at Bac,BJ,3CP,MS Stud,Texas Hold'em Poker,Craps,Crapless,and all the other fun games we love to play.
This all happens at only 1 particular casino.
I'm down about 3k at this point.(On all these trips individually)
Restless in my room I wake up at 2am knowing full well checkout is at 11am and I have to drive home.
Hit the atm for 500 bucks.
Start playing the don't.(I hate doing this cause it is no fun,but I know it is always a cold table and I wouldn't mind winning my money back.)
5 or 10 dollar flat bet lay up to 20x odds. Slowly increase bets as my Roll grows.
PSO,PSO,PSO......Slowly but surely coming back.

Sometimes, it is better to be lucky than be good.
What a Rush.I can recall how I felt and remember the experiences as I type now.

KB1

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