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Disagree?
| January 29th, 2012 at 3:44:33 PM permalink | |
| mrjjj Member since: Sep 4, 2010 Threads: 62 Posts: 1304 | Anyone who disagrees with this, please chime in >> Within 37/38 spins (most likely less than that) we will have number(s) with 3 hits on it. Anyone disagree? Ken If I agreed with you, we'd both be wrong.
Playing at the casino doesn't make you a pro any more than standing in a garage makes you a car. I prefer to be hated for telling the truth, than loved for telling a lie. No person has yet convinced me that their way of playing roulette is better than my way. Winners have simply formed the habit of doing things roulette AP players don't like to do. I'm sure AP (roulette) worked just fine back in 1923. Gambler's Fallacy is a term coined by unsuccessful gamblers to validate their reasons for losing. 5.26%, so what?......I get taxed everyday. Believe those who are seeking the truth. Doubt those who find it. Don't play/study roulette for a TOTAL of 9 hours in your lifetime and then preach that a person can not do 'well' with it.
Also, don't let the '2+2 will never equal 5' crowd bring you down. TRIAL & ERROR guys, I can't say it enough! When you're finished changing, you're finished. |
| January 29th, 2012 at 3:52:52 PM permalink | |
| DJTeddyBear Member since: Nov 2, 2009 Threads: 105 Posts: 5714 | At least two numbers with at least two hits is VERY likely, although not guaranteed. At least one number with at least three hits? Much longer odds, but it may be near or even exceed 50%. I gotta run those numbers..... Superstitions are silly, childish, irrational rituals, born out of fear of the unknown.
But how much does it cost to knock on wood? |
| January 29th, 2012 at 4:01:16 PM permalink | |
| mrjjj Member since: Sep 4, 2010 Threads: 62 Posts: 1304 | "At least one number with at least three hits? Much longer odds" >>> What?? I should add, it does not have to be 3 hits on the head....a number(s) with 4 hits or 5 hits also counts. Ken If I agreed with you, we'd both be wrong.
Playing at the casino doesn't make you a pro any more than standing in a garage makes you a car. I prefer to be hated for telling the truth, than loved for telling a lie. No person has yet convinced me that their way of playing roulette is better than my way. Winners have simply formed the habit of doing things roulette AP players don't like to do. I'm sure AP (roulette) worked just fine back in 1923. Gambler's Fallacy is a term coined by unsuccessful gamblers to validate their reasons for losing. 5.26%, so what?......I get taxed everyday. Believe those who are seeking the truth. Doubt those who find it. Don't play/study roulette for a TOTAL of 9 hours in your lifetime and then preach that a person can not do 'well' with it.
Also, don't let the '2+2 will never equal 5' crowd bring you down. TRIAL & ERROR guys, I can't say it enough! When you're finished changing, you're finished. |
| January 29th, 2012 at 4:03:54 PM permalink | |
| mrjjj Member since: Sep 4, 2010 Threads: 62 Posts: 1304 | (Sorry, I added another post) "At least two numbers with at least two hits is VERY likely, although not guaranteed" >>> Not guaranteed? You would put your name on the line, two numbers NOT having 2 hits on it? Ken If I agreed with you, we'd both be wrong.
Playing at the casino doesn't make you a pro any more than standing in a garage makes you a car. I prefer to be hated for telling the truth, than loved for telling a lie. No person has yet convinced me that their way of playing roulette is better than my way. Winners have simply formed the habit of doing things roulette AP players don't like to do. I'm sure AP (roulette) worked just fine back in 1923. Gambler's Fallacy is a term coined by unsuccessful gamblers to validate their reasons for losing. 5.26%, so what?......I get taxed everyday. Believe those who are seeking the truth. Doubt those who find it. Don't play/study roulette for a TOTAL of 9 hours in your lifetime and then preach that a person can not do 'well' with it.
Also, don't let the '2+2 will never equal 5' crowd bring you down. TRIAL & ERROR guys, I can't say it enough! When you're finished changing, you're finished. |
| January 29th, 2012 at 4:28:32 PM permalink | |
| SOOPOO Member since: Aug 8, 2010 Threads: 49 Posts: 1322 |
Re ask- state whether it is a 37 or 38 spot wheel, then someone will be able to give you an exact answer, but alas, not me.... I'll guess 65% of the time you'll get one number at least hitting 3 times in 37 spins on a 38 spot wheel. |
| January 29th, 2012 at 4:50:06 PM permalink | |
| DJTeddyBear Member since: Nov 2, 2009 Threads: 105 Posts: 5714 | Um, how are the two phrases in yellow any different? Do you know what the phrase "at least" means? Superstitions are silly, childish, irrational rituals, born out of fear of the unknown.
But how much does it cost to knock on wood? |
| January 29th, 2012 at 4:51:18 PM permalink | |
| DJTeddyBear Member since: Nov 2, 2009 Threads: 105 Posts: 5714 | Why, do you think that such a random outcome IS guaranteed? Superstitions are silly, childish, irrational rituals, born out of fear of the unknown.
But how much does it cost to knock on wood? |
| January 29th, 2012 at 4:52:32 PM permalink | |
| DJTeddyBear Member since: Nov 2, 2009 Threads: 105 Posts: 5714 | I think it's safe to assume that mrjjj is saying 37 spins on a single zero wheel, or 38 spins on a double zero rule. Superstitions are silly, childish, irrational rituals, born out of fear of the unknown.
But how much does it cost to knock on wood? |
| January 29th, 2012 at 5:09:38 PM permalink | |
| ChesterDog Member since: Jul 26, 2010 Threads: 0 Posts: 199 | I did a rough simulation for a double 0 wheel. I found that for 38 spins, sometimes no number had 3 or more hits, but this happened only 1.46% of the time. So at least one number had 3 or more hits 98.54% of the time. Edit: Doing a combinatorial analysis, I get 1.437% for a double 0 wheel and 1.618% for a single 0 wheel. So at least one number has 3 or more hits in 38 spins of a double 0 wheel 98.563% of the time. And at least one number has 3 or more hits in 37 spins of a single 0 wheel 98.382% of the time. |
| January 29th, 2012 at 5:37:11 PM permalink | |
| mrjjj Member since: Sep 4, 2010 Threads: 62 Posts: 1304 |
Are you pulling the ole'...I'll mess with the author so I dont have to get involved BS? (lol) A number with 3 OR MORE hits. Dont make it tougher than it needs to be. I did not want someone to confuse......if a number has 4 hits, well thats not 3. 3 OR MORE hits. Ken If I agreed with you, we'd both be wrong.
Playing at the casino doesn't make you a pro any more than standing in a garage makes you a car. I prefer to be hated for telling the truth, than loved for telling a lie. No person has yet convinced me that their way of playing roulette is better than my way. Winners have simply formed the habit of doing things roulette AP players don't like to do. I'm sure AP (roulette) worked just fine back in 1923. Gambler's Fallacy is a term coined by unsuccessful gamblers to validate their reasons for losing. 5.26%, so what?......I get taxed everyday. Believe those who are seeking the truth. Doubt those who find it. Don't play/study roulette for a TOTAL of 9 hours in your lifetime and then preach that a person can not do 'well' with it.
Also, don't let the '2+2 will never equal 5' crowd bring you down. TRIAL & ERROR guys, I can't say it enough! When you're finished changing, you're finished. |
| Bovada is the only Internet casino endorsed by the Wizard. Here are my reasons why and my promise of support. |