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Shackleford
| February 5th, 2011 at 9:45:53 PM permalink | |
| FinsRule Member since: Dec 23, 2009 Threads: 51 Posts: 771 | In horse racing, some people like making "hunch plays". Maybe the horse was born on their birthday, maybe it's the name of their wife or daughter. Well, the Kentucky Derby is coming up in 3 months, and I think this site has found their hunch play. Shackleford, is currently 100-1 on Bodog to win the Kentucky Derby. He's racing on February 26, a race that if he wins, his odds will drop considerably. I say we nominate Shackleford as the official Kentucky Derby contender of the Wizard of Vegas website. We each put $10 on Shackleford, and when he wins the Derby, we all get $1010. The odds are currently down because of this weekend's racing. They should be back up Tuesday. Here is a link to the NTRA story about Shackleford: http://www.ntra.com/content/display/news/NDczNTk= |
| February 6th, 2011 at 3:20:35 AM permalink | |
| odiousgambit Member since: Nov 9, 2009 Threads: 173 Posts: 2404 | He's a proven winner it seems. Well, maybe I'll wander over to Delaware before the derby. "Baccarat is a game whereby the croupier gathers in money with a flexible sculling oar, then rakes it home. If I could have borrowed his oar I would have stayed." Mark Twain |
| February 6th, 2011 at 8:33:26 AM permalink | |
| pacomartin Member since: Jan 14, 2010 Threads: 544 Posts: 6179 | Thanks for the idea. Looks fun. Wine loved I deeply, dice dearly -Edgar, betrayed son of Gloucester in King Lear |
| February 6th, 2011 at 8:38:37 AM permalink | |
| dm Member since: Apr 29, 2010 Threads: 14 Posts: 699 | I would do that if I had a safe way. I'll try to check next time in Vegas. |
| February 23rd, 2011 at 12:54:59 PM permalink | |
| FinsRule Member since: Dec 23, 2009 Threads: 51 Posts: 771 |
Shackleford update: He is racing Saturday in the 10th race on Saturday at Gulfstream. He is #8. If he wins this race, he will likely have enough earnings to run in the Kentucky Derby. I'll put a small amount of money on him Saturday. I'll let everyone know what happens Saturday night. The odds on Shackleford winning the Derby have dropped from 100-1 to 60-1 on Bodog. I'm not sure why they dropped, but this makes him a terrible bet. Bodog used to have pretty good horse future prices, but I cannot recommend them at this time. |
| February 23rd, 2011 at 1:09:33 PM permalink | |
| FleaStiff Member since: Oct 19, 2009 Threads: 75 Posts: 4799 | Well, if other books are offering better odds... go for it. Loyalty to Bodog is fine and dandy, but so is chocolate. Just as "candy is dandy, but liquor is quicker" when it comes to female, good odds from a well respected and deserving bookie is fine, but great odds from an obnoxious bookie are better. |
| February 23rd, 2011 at 3:44:40 PM permalink | |
| Aussie Member since: Dec 29, 2009 Threads: 9 Posts: 166 | What percentage is Bodogs market framed to? Ante-post markets are notoriously bad for betting into. If the market is over about 150% (it almost certainly will be) I wouldn't bother. Even a market set that high is very poor betting but still about as good as you can expect ante-post. |
| February 23rd, 2011 at 4:16:53 PM permalink | |
| JIMMYFOCKER Member since: Jan 24, 2011 Threads: 12 Posts: 339 | Don't believe the Wizard posts any longer. |
| February 23rd, 2011 at 4:22:24 PM permalink | |
| Wizard Administrator Member since: Oct 14, 2009 Threads: 310 Posts: 6735 |
I post. My policy is to only say something when I have something to say. I read this thread after it first appeared, but couldn't think of anything worthwhile to add. However, as long as I'm here, I doubt the horse was named after me. There are thousands of Shacklefords in the country, although most of them spell it incorrectly with an EL, not LE (I'm sure they would say the same of me). Futures in general are a sucker bet. The odds on longshots can also vary significantly from place to place. The one with the lowest odds doesn't mean it is the worst book. It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet. |
| March 1st, 2011 at 6:54:44 AM permalink | |
| FinsRule Member since: Dec 23, 2009 Threads: 51 Posts: 771 | Shackleford update: DON'T BET ON SHACKLEFORD! He ran Saturday at Gulfstream in a Derby prep race and finished a distant 5th out of 8 runners. I don't think he is a serious Derby contender, and his future will probably be at higher level allowance or low level stakes races. If he does anything of note, I'll let everyone know. |
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