steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4740
April 4th, 2017 at 10:11:56 AM permalink
04/01/17 Results: -300
 Lakers -100
 Hawks -100
 Suns -100


YTD:
Favorites -4259
Underdogs -1787
Total -6046
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4740
April 4th, 2017 at 10:19:06 AM permalink
April 1st. was my last day of making picks in the NBA for this season. I am going to turn my attention to that which I have historically done the best, and that is the MLB.

The NBA season ends for me with the following stats:
Favorites------>144 picks made with 91 winners. A win rate of 63.19%. However, a pretty terrible money loss of 4,259. Nothing worth seeing here. Going to completely scrap the way that favorites are picked for next year.

Underdogs------->357 picks made with 102 winners. A win rate of 28.57%. Money lost of 1,787. Looks terrible, but I am somewhat encouraged with the underdog results. It would not have taken much to have been on the plus side of the ledger. Considering the number of picks made, I believe these are some consistent results that probably just need a bit of tweaking. I'll be back next year with this algorithm and hopefully will have found a trend somewhere that I can exploit and turn this into a winner.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
Joined: May 8, 2015
  • Threads: 77
  • Posts: 685
May 13th, 2017 at 2:43:24 AM permalink
the wizards and celtics play monday night in game 7. the home team has won all 10 games this year, 4 during the regular season and 6 during the playoffs. i saw an early projection of the spread as being celtics -4.5 and my converter would put them at -200 on the moneyline. i'll take it. the wizards have a monkey on their back; a long history of failure in the playoffs.
genius has its limitations. but stupidity is boundless.
bazooooka
bazooooka
Joined: Nov 21, 2016
  • Threads: 1
  • Posts: 112
May 13th, 2017 at 2:44:30 PM permalink
I like the Celts. -6 or better. Moneyline too even though you'll lose some bet value; I just don't think their season ends Monday.

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