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ChumpChange
Posted by ChumpChange
Jun 19, 2021

Why my Even $ Bets on Roulette Lose

I could win 9 ahead instead of 3-4 ahead on a 25 unit buy-in (0 vs 00).
If the machine spins once every 75 seconds, approx., that's 48 spins an hour.
I could get 4 hours on a 00 wheel, and 6 hours on 0 wheel per 25 unit buy-in.
I could get 2 hours on a 00 wheel, and 2.5 hours on 0 wheel per 15 unit buy-in.
I'm not gonna double my money by flat-betting. A progression may be different.













W/L, # spins, # sq Div 18 Win, 00 Loss, 00 Div 36 Win, 0 Loss, 0
1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1
2 4 0.2 1.8 2.2 0.1 1.9 2.1
3 9 0.5 2.5 3.5 0.3 2.7 3.3
4 16 0.9 3.1 4.9 0.4 3.6 4.4
5 25 1.4 3.6 6.4 0.7 4.3 5.7
6 36 2.0 4.0 8.0 1.0 5.0 7.0
7 49 2.7 4.3 9.7 1.4 5.6 8.4
8 64 3.6 4.4 12.4 1.8 6.2 9.8
9 81 4.5 4.5 13.5 2.3 6.7 11.3
10 100 5.6 4.4 14.4 2.8 7.2 12.8
11 121 6.7 4.3 17.7 3.4 7.6 14.4
12 144 8.0 4.0 20.0 4.0 8.0 16.0
13 169 9.4 3.6 22.4 4.7 8.3 17.7
14 196 9.4 3.1 24.9 5.4 8.6 19.4
15 225 12.5 2.5 27.5 6.3 8.7 21.3
16 256 14.2 1.8 30.2 7.1 8.9 23.1
17 289 16.1 0.9 33.1 8.0 9.0 26.0
18 324 18.0 0.0 36.0 9.0 9.0 27.0
19 361 20.6 -1.6 39.6 10.0 9.0 29.0
20 400 22.2 -2.2 42.2 11.1 8.9 31.1

Comments

OnceDear
OnceDear Jun 19, 2021

Sorry. I don't understand your posted words or your table, beyond column 2.

ChumpChange
ChumpChange Jun 20, 2021

Craps PL/DP HA: I'm taking the reciprocal of 0.0141 and getting approximately 71. If I take the reciprocal of 0.01389 for the Don'ts, I get about 72. So that's like playing a single zero roulette wheel where it has that "La Partage Rule" (and getting half your bet back if the ball lands on a zero). The lower House Advantage means you'll likely get higher highs on the upside. So if you place 400 different PL bets, the square root of that is 20 wins/losses, then throw in the HA of -5.6 bets and you'll be playing a game of 1 SD between (-25.6, +14.4). So I should set my buy-in at 25 units, and set a win goal of 15 units at the craps table over the time it takes to make 400 PL bets. Of course things could get to 2 SD or even 3 SD. That's another calculation and maybe another buy-in or two. I could try to set a win goal of 50+ units, but I'm gonna settle for 35 units for that fluke win streak.

ChumpChange
Posted by ChumpChange
Jun 08, 2021

Super Power Press System PB/Buy 4 & 10

Super Power Press System PB/Buy 4 & 10 (5% vig on buy bets) ---6/8/2021
Bubble Craps - $390 Buy limit

$5 on Buy 4 & 10 each
If either one hits, drop $1 and press one of the numbers to $15.
If a 2nd hit, rack $12 and press number to $30
If a 3rd hit, rack $40 and press to $50
If a 4th hit, rack $50, and press to $100
If a 5th hit, rack $100, and press to $200
If a 6th hit, rack $200, and press to $390
If a 7th hit and beyond, rack $760 ($1,200 slot limit warning)


Super Power Press System PB/Buy 4 & 10 (5% vig on buy bets) ---6/8/2021

$10 on PB/Buy 4 & 10 each
If either one hits, rack the change, and press one of the numbers to $25.
If a 2nd hit, full press number to $75
If a 3rd hit, rack $100 and press to $125
If a 4th hit, rack $125, and press to $250
If a 5th hit, rack $250, and press to $500
If a 6th hit, rack $500, and press to $1,000
If a 7th hit and beyond, rack $1,950


Buy $25 on Buy 4 & 10 each
If either one hits, rack the change, and press one of the numbers to $50.
If a 2nd hit, full press number to $150
If a 3rd hit, rack $200, and press to $250
If a 4th hit, rack $250, and press to $500
If a 5th hit, rack $500, and press to $1,000
If a 6th hit, rack $1,000, and press to $2,000
If a 7th hit and beyond, rack $3,900

Buy $50 on Buy 4 & 10 each
If either one hits, rack the change, and press one of the numbers to $100.
If a 2nd hit, full press number to $300
If a 3rd hit, rack $400 and press to $500
If a 4th hit, rack $500, and press to $1,000
If a 5th hit, rack $1,000, and press to $2,000
If a 6th hit, rack $3,000, and press to $3,000
If a 7th hit and beyond, rack $5,850 ($3K Table Max)

Comments

tuttigym
tuttigym Jul 12, 2021

Mr. Chumpc: I want you to evaluate this possible craps "plan." Please do NOT revert to the mathematical gymnastics that you are famous for. Perhaps Mr. OG could also jump in. I tried this on WinCraps for a short time and found no downside, however, I know it cannot be as good as it seems.

The table is a $15 minimum.



Doey/Don't come out always at $15

What ever point is established: $20 FO + $30 Don't Odds

Then $15 DC for three different numbers and add the same $15 or $18 (6 or 8) Place bet for the same number. Every hit take down the bet with the win until all the numbers played are resolved during the hand. If all number have won, then either wait for a 7 out or point winner or you could hop the 7 for $3 for the next 5 rolls.

If nothing happens wait it out until resolution to end the hand. New hand, start again.



If you have a simulation entity, perhaps you could try it. There has got to be a losing scenario I am sure, but it looks like one could play this way for awhile.



tuttigym

ChumpChange
Posted by ChumpChange
Jun 08, 2021

Super Power Press System PB 5 & 9

Super Power Press System PB 5 & 9 ---6/8/2021
Bubble Craps - $390 PB limit

$5 on PB 5 & 9 each
If either one hits, press one of the numbers to $12.
If a 2nd hit, drop $1.20 and press number to $30
If a 3rd hit, drop $3.00 and press to $75
If a 4th hit, rack $105, and same bet $75
If a 5th hit, rack $5.00, and press to $175
If a 6th hit, rack $170, and press to $250
If a 7th hit, rack $250, and press to $350
If an 8th hit and beyond, collect $490

Super Power Press System PB 5 & 9 ---6/8/2021

$10 on PB 5 & 9 each
If either one hits, drop $1, and press one of the numbers to $25.
If a 2nd hit, full press number to $60
If a 3rd hit, drop $6 and press to $150
If a 4th hit, rack $210, and same bet $150
If a 5th hit, rack $10, and press to $350
If a 6th hit, rack $340, and press to $500
If a 7th hit, rack $500, and press to $700
If an 8th hit and beyond, collect $980

$20 on PB 5 & 9 each
If either one hits, drop $2, and press one of the numbers to $50.
If a 2nd hit, full press number to $120
If a 3rd hit, drop $12 and press to $300
If a 4th hit, rack $420, and same bet $300
If a 5th hit, rack $20, and press to $700
If a 6th hit, rack $680, and press to $1,000
If a 7th hit, rack $1,000, and press to $1,400
If an 8th hit and beyond, collect $1,960

$30 on PB 5 & 9 each
If either one hits, drop $3, and press one of the numbers to $75.
If a 2nd hit, full press number to $180
If a 3rd hit, drop $18 and press to $450
If a 4th hit, rack $630, and same bet $450
If a 5th hit, rack $30, and press to $1,050
If a 6th hit, rack $1,020, and press to $1,500
If a 7th hit, rack $1,600, and press to $2,000
If an 8th hit and beyond, collect $2,800
$2K Table Limit

ChumpChange
Posted by ChumpChange
Jun 08, 2021

Super Power Press System PB 6 & 8

Super Power Press System PB 6 & 8 ---6/8/2021
Bubble Craps - $390 PB limit

$6 on PB 6 & 8 each
If either one hits, drop $2, and press one of the numbers to $15.
If a 2nd hit, drop $0.50 and press number to $33
If a 3rd hit, drop $3.50 and press to $75
If a 4th hit, rack $87.50, and same bet $75
If a 5th hit, drop $2.50, and press to $165
If a 6th hit, rack $57.50, and press to $300
If a 7th hit, rack $260, and press to $390
If an 8th hit and beyond, collect $455


Super Power Press System PB 6 & 8 ---6/8/2021

$12 on PB 6 & 8 each
If either one hits, drop $4, and press one of the numbers to $30.
If a 2nd hit, drop $1 and press number to $66
If a 3rd hit, drop $7 and press to $150
If a 4th hit, rack $175, and same bet $150
If a 5th hit, drop $5, and press to $330
If a 6th hit, rack $115, and press to $600
If a 7th hit, rack $550, and press to $750
If an 8th hit and beyond, collect $875

$24 on PB 6 & 8 each
If either one hits, drop $8, and press one of the numbers to $60.
If a 2nd hit, drop $2 and press number to $132
If a 3rd hit, drop $14 and press to $300
If a 4th hit, rack $350, and same bet $300
If a 5th hit, drop $10, and press to $660
If a 6th hit, rack $230, and press to $1200
If a 7th hit, rack $1100, and press to $1500
If an 8th hit and beyond, collect $1750

$36 on PB 6 & 8 each
If either one hits, drop $12, and press one of the numbers to $90.
If a 2nd hit, drop $3 and press number to $198
If a 3rd hit, drop $21 and press to $450
If a 4th hit, rack $525, and same bet $450
If a 5th hit, drop $15, and press to $990
If a 6th hit, rack $345, and press to $1800
If a 7th hit, rack $1500, and press to $2400
If an 8th hit and beyond, collect $2800
May just bet $1800 and collect $2100 from 7th hit on on a $2K Table Max.

Comments

ChumpChange
ChumpChange Jun 09, 2021

I don't like any of the last 3 systems I posted above because I keep having to drop money onto the table to make a larger bet. I'm gonna focus on a system where I can rack change, not drop change. It will have lower maximums, but still require a 4th hit to win back 10X my original bet on a number. I can bet one number instead of two if I want.

ChumpChange
Posted by ChumpChange
May 26, 2021

Bror Fredrik doesn't like putting his Player's Card into the matrix of touchscreen slot machines.

HOW SLOT MACHINES WORK | WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW! - Bror Fredrik
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yzizjbKFyEg

YOU SHOULDN'T USE A PLAYERS CARD AT THE CASINO! - Bror Fredrik
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vQtjjsQmrqw
***************************************************************************
Rewards points may not be worth it anyway...
Las Vegas Invents More Fees, Back to Pre-Covid Rules, Big Entertainment News & The Gamble Box - Miles to Memories Vegas
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ws-z1r6DlCE

Comments

Zcore13
Zcore13 May 26, 2021

Stopped listening when he got to his false touch screen information. What a moron.