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Reno giveaway
| November 1st, 2011 at 1:09:01 PM permalink | |
| Domester Member since: Oct 31, 2011 Threads: 1 Posts: 2 | I just received a promotion from one of the Reno casinos about a dice-based giveaway. You throw five dice and your prize is based on the poker hand generated. A large straight (1-5 or 2-6) pays $5,000. Is this the correct formula for the probability of hitting such a payout -- 2*5!*(4/6)*(3/6)*(2/6)*(1/6)/(6^5) = 0.000572 ?? If not, please advise what is correct. |
| November 1st, 2011 at 2:02:46 PM permalink | |
| 7outlineaway Member since: Nov 13, 2009 Threads: 9 Posts: 276 | There are 5!=[120] ways to roll 12345, and [120] ways to roll 23456. There are 6^5 = 7776 ways to roll five dice. [240] / 7776 = [.03086] |
| November 1st, 2011 at 2:20:12 PM permalink | |
| boymimbo Member since: Nov 12, 2009 Threads: 12 Posts: 2533 | There are indeed 6^5 ways = 7776 ways to throw the dice. You are looking for combinations of 2, 3, 4, 5, 6. Assume that the 1st die is any number (be it a 1 - 6). The 2nd die must be different from the 1st die. That has a 5/6 shot. The third die must be different from the 1st two that has a 4/6 shot. Then you have 3/6 and 2/6. So, that leaves 5/6*4/6*3/6*2/6, giving you a .092593. But of these, only a fraction are straights. You have 12346 12356 12456 13456 and 12345 and 23456. So, multiply by 1/3 to get .030864. However, if this is the Harrah's promotion, the prize structure is as folllows: Prizes: Five of A Kind = $5,000 Four of A Kind = $1,000 Large Straight = $750 Full House = $500 Small Straight = $250 3 of a kind = $150 Two Pairs = $100 One Pair = $50 Less than one pair wins another roll until prize is earned -----
You want the truth! You can't handle the truth! |
| November 1st, 2011 at 2:23:48 PM permalink | |
| boymimbo Member since: Nov 12, 2009 Threads: 12 Posts: 2533 |
5! is 120. -----
You want the truth! You can't handle the truth! |
| November 1st, 2011 at 2:26:46 PM permalink | |
| 7outlineaway Member since: Nov 13, 2009 Threads: 9 Posts: 276 |
Back to sixth grade for me. 240 / 7776 = .03086, as you calculated above. |
| November 1st, 2011 at 3:06:11 PM permalink | |
| dm Member since: Apr 29, 2010 Threads: 14 Posts: 699 |
By golly, that's an advantage play if I ever saw one! Can they run out of dice? |
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