What is the probability of a dealer winning 5,6 or 7 hands in a row in Pai Gow Poker (omit pushes)

June 14th, 2012 at 11:08:38 AM permalink
paigowsteve
Member since: Jun 14, 2012
Threads: 1
Posts: 3
Just wondering what the percentage chance of the Pai Gow dealer winning 5,6 or 7 hands in a row, disregarding ties,pushes, since no money changes hands.
June 14th, 2012 at 11:44:27 AM permalink
buzzpaff
Member since: Mar 8, 2011
Threads: 112
Posts: 5328
7 hands is 127.345627 approximately.
June 14th, 2012 at 11:57:57 AM permalink
rdw4potus
Member since: Mar 11, 2010
Threads: 79
Posts: 5930
Quote: buzzpaff
7 hands is 127.345627 approximately.


I'm glad you rounded that off:-)

the dealer wins a little over 50% of the time, depending on the exact set of hand-setting rules that the player and dealer are using. so .5ish^n is the formula to use to find the probability of the dealer winning n hands in a row. taking 1/result will give the to-1 version of the answer (like Buzz's 1:127 above)
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
June 14th, 2012 at 1:09:30 PM permalink
98Clubs
Member since: Jun 3, 2010
Threads: 42
Posts: 1557
I actually got 1 in 109.75 using 28.61% as Player and 29.91% as Dealer figuring 7 straight Dealer wins no push. This from WoO site.
Nonetheless, rather common. For 7 straight hands dealt the odds are about 1 in 4670 that the Dealer will win all 7.
"Whoa, 13% grade next two miles." That's OK son, I got the love of Jesus, 20 to 1 compression, and a Jacobs.
June 14th, 2012 at 3:56:41 PM permalink
paigowsteve
Member since: Jun 14, 2012
Threads: 1
Posts: 3
THANKS, seems a little stronger than I thought, but Thanks for the quick answer.
June 14th, 2012 at 4:20:12 PM permalink
RaleighCraps
Member since: Feb 20, 2010
Threads: 67
Posts: 2119
Well, if RaleighCraps is at the table the odds of the dealer winning 100 in a row is about 1:1.

Man I hate the way that game treats me...................
Always borrow money from a pessimist; They don't expect to get paid back ! Be yourself and speak your thoughts. Those who matter won't mind, and those that mind, don't matter!
June 14th, 2012 at 5:47:43 PM permalink
mustangsally
Member since: Mar 29, 2011
Threads: 11
Posts: 1114
removed
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June 14th, 2012 at 8:29:47 PM permalink
paigowsteve
Member since: Jun 14, 2012
Threads: 1
Posts: 3
THANKS for the link to the Streak Calculator, Mustangsally

 

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