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Three card Poker Strategy

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October 26th, 2011 at 12:48:33 PM permalink
DrReyman
Member since: Oct 26, 2011
Threads: 1
Posts: 11
Quote: Mosca
Each hand has exactly the same odds.

I don't have enough fingers and toes to count the number of times I've sat down and lost more than 5 hands in a row to start. I've lost 10 in a row more times than I can remember. Go to Bodog and fire up their 3 card simulator, or 3 Card Poker Online. It's just the way the game is. And from my perspective, without the bonus bet it's boring. It doesn't move fast enough to justify the higher edge over blackjack. It's the chance to win 40x that makes the blood pump.


Thank you
October 26th, 2011 at 1:40:15 PM permalink
DrReyman
Member since: Oct 26, 2011
Threads: 1
Posts: 11
Quote: Mosca
Each hand has exactly the same odds.

I don't have enough fingers and toes to count the number of times I've sat down and lost more than 5 hands in a row to start. I've lost 10 in a row more times than I can remember. Go to Bodog and fire up their 3 card simulator, or 3 Card Poker Online. It's just the way the game is. And from my perspective, without the bonus bet it's boring. It doesn't move fast enough to justify the higher edge over blackjack. It's the chance to win 40x that makes the blood pump.

edit: I just quickly played according to your strategy. Starting with $1000, and $25/bet, it took 39 hands to lose $500. The highest my bankroll got was $1050 (I won the first hand). I won 13 hands and lost 26. Once during the 39 hands I lost 6 in a row.

Hands Played: 39
Most Money: $1,050
Least Money: $500
Pair Plus Win %: 12.8% (I didn't play PP, but the game calculates it anyhow)
Fold %: 0.0%
Lose %: 66.7%
Win %: 33.3%


You said you started with $25 ante. What was the minimum and maximum bet for the table?
October 26th, 2011 at 1:51:40 PM permalink
DrReyman
Member since: Oct 26, 2011
Threads: 1
Posts: 11
Quote: DrReyman
Quote: Mosca
Each hand has exactly the same odds.

I don't have enough fingers and toes to count the number of times I've sat down and lost more than 5 hands in a row to start. I've lost 10 in a row more times than I can remember. Go to Bodog and fire up their 3 card simulator, or 3 Card Poker Online. It's just the way the game is. And from my perspective, without the bonus bet it's boring. It doesn't move fast enough to justify the higher edge over blackjack. It's the chance to win 40x that makes the blood pump.

edit: I just quickly played according to your strategy. Starting with $1000, and $25/bet, it took 39 hands to lose $500. The highest my bankroll got was $1050 (I won the first hand). I won 13 hands and lost 26. Once during the 39 hands I lost 6 in a row.

Hands Played: 39
Most Money: $1,050
Least Money: $500
Pair Plus Win %: 12.8% (I didn't play PP, but the game calculates it anyhow)
Fold %: 0.0%
Lose %: 66.7%
Win %: 33.3%


You said you started with $25 ante. What was the minimum and maximum bet for the table?



Have to start with $5 bet is what I said for the strategy. I just used your simulator link and here were my results for 39 hands.
Your Stats
Hands Played: 39
Most Money: $1,210
Least Money: $935
Pair Plus Win %: 35.9%
Fold %: 0.0%
Lose %: 43.6%
Win %: 56.4%

ending with the $1,210

I'm going to keep going and see what happens
October 26th, 2011 at 2:01:50 PM permalink
rdw4potus
Member since: Mar 11, 2010
Threads: 57
Posts: 1976
Hands Played: 39
Most Money: $1,250
Least Money: $725
Pair Plus Win %: 17.9%
Fold %: 0.0%
Lose %: 51.3%
Win %: 48.7%

Ended with $925
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
October 26th, 2011 at 2:04:09 PM permalink
DrReyman
Member since: Oct 26, 2011
Threads: 1
Posts: 11
Quote: rdw4potus
Hands Played: 39
Most Money: $1,250
Least Money: $725
Pair Plus Win %: 17.9%
Fold %: 0.0%
Lose %: 51.3%
Win %: 48.7%

Ended with $925


Your Stats [ reset ]
Hands Played: 101
Most Money: $1,630
Least Money: $790
Pair Plus Win %: 26.7%
Fold %: 0.0%
Lose %: 50.5%
Win %: 49.5%
ended with $1,630

maybe I'm just lucky this year
October 26th, 2011 at 2:18:06 PM permalink
DrReyman
Member since: Oct 26, 2011
Threads: 1
Posts: 11
Your Stats [ reset ]
Hands Played: 203
Most Money: $1,975
Least Money: $790
Pair Plus Win %: 26.1%
Fold %: 0.0%
Lose %: 51.2%
Win %: 48.8%
ended with $1,975

Can anyone tell me of a place that has video 3 card poker like this one? lol
October 26th, 2011 at 2:26:57 PM permalink
rdw4potus
Member since: Mar 11, 2010
Threads: 57
Posts: 1976
Quote: DrReyman
Your Stats [ reset ]
Hands Played: 101
Most Money: $1,630
Least Money: $790
Pair Plus Win %: 26.7%
Fold %: 0.0%
Lose %: 50.5%
Win %: 49.5%
ended with $1,630

maybe I'm just lucky this year


In terms of hand strength, I think Mosca and I were somewhat unlikely. The player "should" win the pair plus about 25% of the time. You've been close to that, and we were well below it. Here's a link to the Wizard's page about 3 card poker: http://wizardofodds.com/threecardpoker Playing this way and raising all the time should result in a house advantage of 7.65%, which is about double the optimal house edge in 3 card poker.
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
October 26th, 2011 at 2:30:35 PM permalink
DrReyman
Member since: Oct 26, 2011
Threads: 1
Posts: 11
Quote: rdw4potus
Quote: DrReyman
Your Stats [ reset ]
Hands Played: 101
Most Money: $1,630
Least Money: $790
Pair Plus Win %: 26.7%
Fold %: 0.0%
Lose %: 50.5%
Win %: 49.5%
ended with $1,630

maybe I'm just lucky this year


In terms of hand strength, I think Mosca and I were somewhat unlikely. The player "should" win the pair plus about 25% of the time. You've been close to that, and we were well below it. Here's a link to the Wizard's page about 3 card poker: http://wizardofodds.com/threecardpoker Playing this way and raising all the time should result in a house advantage of 7.65%, which is about double the optimal house edge in 3 card poker.




Hands Played: 252
Most Money: $2,540
Least Money: $790
Pair Plus Win %: 25.4%
Fold %: 0.0%
Lose %: 50.0%
Win %: 50.0%
ended with the $2540
October 26th, 2011 at 7:40:43 PM permalink
rdw4potus
Member since: Mar 11, 2010
Threads: 57
Posts: 1976
Something occured to me this evening while I was attempting to stay awake in class. I think Mosca and I played 39 hands because that was all we had the stomach to play. But I think you played 39 hands because you ended on a win. Same with 101 and 203 and 252. You're ending on the session high. Of course, you can do that in real life as well. But it sure is harder with real money:-)

What happens if you do more of a real life scenario? Play for an hour or play for 30 minutes, resolve the last progression, and then quit?
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
October 26th, 2011 at 8:35:34 PM permalink
Mosca
Member since: Dec 14, 2009
Threads: 74
Posts: 1628
I played $25 and $500 because that's a typical session for me. It took 39 hands to lose the $500 that I would have bought in with.

And I notice that I was mistaken on one important thing, and that I didn't play the Doc's betting system. I was only demonstrating that playing every hand without folding quickly leads to ruin; I wanted to see how often 5 losses in a row occurred. It happened once in 39 hands, 6 in a row. And as you noted, I got rotten hands.

But that's my point. I distinctly recall twice sitting down and losing 10 hands in a row to start and end a 3 Card session. I've also hit more straight flushes than I can remember, including once getting one on my first hand, twice hitting them with $5 up for the dealer, and twice hitting them after announcing "last hand". I once got 3 of a kind on back to back hands. It's just that kind of game. I don't really think that it lends itself to that kind of betting strategy, all of its appeal is in its volatility. But that's just my opinion, of course.
NO KILL I
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Here are my reasons why and my promise of support.