Dealt a Royal with deuce on hot roll poker
March 31st, 2017 at 6:19:48 AM
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I was watching a youtube video of video poker play and the following situation came up on hot roll poker deuces wild...
Hot Roll Poker - $.25 machine 3 hands deuces wild. Player is betting 30 quarters per deal (max) and before hand is dealt a random roll comes up which lands on 6 so each winning hand will be multiplied by 6.
Player is dealt A, Q, J, 10 of clubs with a deuce for a royal with deuce = win of 600 quarters per hand (100 x 6 hot roll) x 3 hands for pat win of 1800 quarters or $450.00
If player drops the deuce and goes for royal he could win 4000 x 6 per hand = 24000 quarters or $6000 per hand.
He chose to keep the pat hand... What is the right play/odds breakdown?
Hot Roll Poker - $.25 machine 3 hands deuces wild. Player is betting 30 quarters per deal (max) and before hand is dealt a random roll comes up which lands on 6 so each winning hand will be multiplied by 6.
Player is dealt A, Q, J, 10 of clubs with a deuce for a royal with deuce = win of 600 quarters per hand (100 x 6 hot roll) x 3 hands for pat win of 1800 quarters or $450.00
If player drops the deuce and goes for royal he could win 4000 x 6 per hand = 24000 quarters or $6000 per hand.
He chose to keep the pat hand... What is the right play/odds breakdown?
March 31st, 2017 at 7:20:51 AM
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It may depend on the pay table.
In the deck are:
1 King of Clubs - Natural Royal
3 other Deuces - Wild Royal
7 other Clubs (3-9) - Flush
3 other Kings - Straight
33 losing cards
Based on your description, the machine appears to be paying 800 per credit for a natural royal and 20 for a wild royal
The ER per credit, if you assume 3 for a flush and 2 for a straight, is (800 + 3 x 20 + 7 x 3 + 3 x 2) / 47 = 18.87.
It is close, but keeping the deuce is the better play. It pretty much comes down to a 1/44 chance (since three of the 47 cards are, in effect, a push) of getting a 39-1 payout.
In the deck are:
1 King of Clubs - Natural Royal
3 other Deuces - Wild Royal
7 other Clubs (3-9) - Flush
3 other Kings - Straight
33 losing cards
Based on your description, the machine appears to be paying 800 per credit for a natural royal and 20 for a wild royal
The ER per credit, if you assume 3 for a flush and 2 for a straight, is (800 + 3 x 20 + 7 x 3 + 3 x 2) / 47 = 18.87.
It is close, but keeping the deuce is the better play. It pretty much comes down to a 1/44 chance (since three of the 47 cards are, in effect, a push) of getting a 39-1 payout.
March 31st, 2017 at 7:40:22 AM
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Keeping the wild royal is about a 6% better play.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
March 31st, 2017 at 10:12:43 AM
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If the Royal was a progressive, there may be times to chase the Natural, but almost always you should take the Wild.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
March 31st, 2017 at 11:40:22 AM
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Thanks for the replies! I would have struggled making this decision and probably would have let the allure of $6000 or more win out... Now I'll know how to play it WHEN it happens to me - lol Take care! :)
March 31st, 2017 at 3:16:14 PM
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I once broke up a Wild Royal that had three 2s in it to chase the 4th one. I lucked out and got it. That night I did the math and realized just how dumb a move that was.
That was when I started paying attention to the math of the game.
That was when I started paying attention to the math of the game.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
March 31st, 2017 at 3:33:01 PM
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Quote: billryanI once broke up a Wild Royal that had three 2s in it to chase the 4th one. I lucked out and got it. That night I did the math and realized just how dumb a move that was.
That was when I started paying attention to the math of the game.
Too many tempting moves in DW. The above and the aforementioned WR w/ one deuce.
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
