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AxelWolf
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December 14th, 2019 at 5:47:10 PM permalink
Quote: jjjoooggg

My parent's need me to check their tires. Fix flats. .

No doubt they're probably going through a lot of tires with all the curb scraping/pounding while trying to park at that age.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
jjjoooggg
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December 14th, 2019 at 5:49:13 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

No doubt they're probably going through a lot of tires with all the curb scraping/pounding while trying to park at that age.



She drives long distances out of town alot. I check tires before she leaves out of town.

If I thought that my mom was a danger to herself or others. She wouldn't be driving. I had to put a pedal lock to make sure my dad didn't drive off the first week. They can afford to have a driver.
Born in Texas and lived in Texas my whole life.
AxelWolf
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December 14th, 2019 at 5:55:30 PM permalink
Quote: jjjoooggg

And nails and leaking shraeder valves.

If I thought that my mom was a danger to herself or others. She wouldn't be driving. I had to put a pedal lock to make sure my dad didn't drive off the first week. They can afford to have a driver.

They have tons of Mexican tire repair shops around Vegas. You can get an adequate used set balanced and mounted for like $125.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
jjjoooggg
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December 14th, 2019 at 6:00:38 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

They have tons of Mexican tire repair shops around Vegas. You can get an adequate used set balanced and mounted for like $125.



She drives out of town long distance alot. She wants her inflation checked at the office before she leaves. I got new tires at sam's. They still need to be refilled. Why should she go to a tire shop. I got scammed by one. They couldn't find my leak. They charged me $5 for their time. I went somewhere else and got it fixed.
Born in Texas and lived in Texas my whole life.
Rigondeaux
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December 14th, 2019 at 6:03:54 PM permalink
Quote: jjjoooggg

I'm not saying that I don't have the choice to leave my parents. I just couldn't handle that emotionally. My parent's need me to check their tires. Fix flats. Fix stuff around their house. You can call it weakness, a conscious, what ever. They would probably be bankrupt by now if I left. We lost 80% of our personal and business bank accts feeding the business. When I got certified to fix my own, we are now seeing an undetermined amount of profit.

I left my parents in 2010. Found a job in Austin. I visited them in the fall of 2013 and broke down emotionally and stayed since then.

I did research assisted living. They are 100k /per year. We can't afford that anymore. Nursing, not fond off. My dad almost cried when I told him about assisted. My mom is a nurse. We don't need hospice yet.



IDK, you're all over the map on this. You say you might be in line for a good inheritance, then you say you can't pay for assisted living.

In any case, you don't just have to sneak off into the night. You can put your foot down. Tell them to choose between having you help them sell off remaining assets and having you walk. Either way, you are done with this stuff.

They seem to have no regard for your well being, so doing that much for them is going above and beyond.
jjjoooggg
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December 14th, 2019 at 6:06:40 PM permalink
Quote: Rigondeaux

IDK, you're all over the map on this. You say you might be in line for a good inheritance, then you say you can't pay for assisted living.

In any case, you don't just have to sneak off into the night. You can put your foot down. Tell them to choose between having you help them sell off remaining assets and having you walk. Either way, you are done with this stuff.

They seem to have no regard for your well being, so doing that much for them is going above and beyond.



When I said that I personally mow 10 acres across 6 counties. And we still have 2 mowing co. mowing other lots and a rental office. We have alot of assets tied up in vacant land. Mom doesn't want to sell at fair price. She keeps rejecting offers. We lost a good one when she had a lawyer rewrite the contract on a good offer.

The property taxes would have accelerated the bankruptcy.

We were losing or break even renting out climate controlled office space. Renter lowered his own rent to 35 cent per sq ft. We paid for utilities and repairs. I hired a property manager without my parents knowledge. Increased rent to 73 cents. I have been doing the AC and plumbing and electrical repairs.

My dad created the perfect storm, a mess. After my parents die, I will sell everything 1/2 price.
Born in Texas and lived in Texas my whole life.
vegas
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December 14th, 2019 at 6:20:36 PM permalink
Quote: jjjoooggg

She drives out of town long distance alot. She wants her inflation checked at the office before she leaves. I got new tires at sam's. They still need to be refilled. Why should she go to a tire shop. I got scammed by one. They couldn't find my leak. They charged me $5 for their time. I went somewhere else and got it fixed.





Your parents have been in more accidents than a demolition derby
50-50-90 Rule: Anytime you have a 50-50 chance of getting something right, there is a 90% probability you'll get it wrong
jjjoooggg
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December 14th, 2019 at 6:35:02 PM permalink
Quote: vegas

Your parents have been in more accidents than a demolition derby




It isn't right that cops are falsifing tickets and traffic reports against mom. I can see the rear end damage. 15 years ago, cop gave mom a ticket for driving to slow. Which I know is false. Another case, how does a cop put the truck in the wrong orientation on the traffic report. You can see the damage with car paint transfer on the truck to see which corner was damaged and the orientation and who is truthful.

I've been the driver in seven car to car collisions that were not my fault.
My parents drive alot at night. They drive thru low income neighborhoods at night to our restaurants.
You realize how many drunk drivers are here. It is a Mexican tradition to drink every holiday, every football game, and even on the job. Cops turn a blind eye to criminals with a suspended driver's license. I found out my ex mantenance man's license was suspended when we hired him. I offered to pay his tickets off. He declined my offer. He got a ticket for speeding. The cop didn't care about no license.

I was rear ended by a drunk drvier. He fled. I chased him. Cops took a long time to come and arrest him. 35 years ago, Mom was rear ended at a stop light by a high school student. All 4 cars in front of us dominoed. I was vomiting for 2 days and meds. The judge didn't do anything to him. Synopsis said that the judge and defendent came to an understanding. Case info was later sealed.

4 times I was backed into while parked in a parking space. 30 years ago, my dad was rear ended by a man with a criminal record. They had no insurance. A year ago, Our delivery truck was hit by a car that ran the red light, our driver Paco was driving. I was cut off. Slamming my brakes and swerving to the curb didn't avoid a collision. Another lady hit me as she exited the parking lot.

I heard car accidents almost every night when i Lived near the university

I was in my office I heard a loud dumpster like sound. I recognized the noise and knew it was a car accident. I saw other cars driving past. So I waited til morning. A vehicle crossed the grass into someone's fence and collided with a parked van. Things happen.
Last edited by: jjjoooggg on Dec 14, 2019
Born in Texas and lived in Texas my whole life.
billryan
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December 14th, 2019 at 10:29:24 PM permalink
Is jjjoooggg Korean for Jobe?
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
EvenBob
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December 14th, 2019 at 10:45:23 PM permalink
"I'll give you an example."

You do realize that good drivers
are not involved in accident after
accident after accident like your
mom is. It just doesn't happen.
Good drivers learn how to avoid
accidents that wouldn't even be
their fault. Old people lose that
skill, they just point the car and
drive.
My dads 2nd wife was that way
when she was old. She obeyed
the traffic rules but ignored the
world around her. Defensive
driving is a skill that's hard to
maintain with advanced age.

My wife's parents got to the point
where he operated the pedals
and she steered,because he has
Parkinsons and also fell asleep
a lot. I'm not making this up.
The family had to force the DMV
to suspend his license before
somebody died because he wouldn't
give it up willingly. He fought
for years to get it back.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
jjjoooggg
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December 14th, 2019 at 11:16:17 PM permalink
https://www.denverpost.com/2013/06/14/end-of-the-road-how-old-is-too-old-to-drive/

Denver Post, “It’s not just the kids out there with their marijuana. It’s some of us way over age 40 who have bad habits, including driving while we’re texting. One thing AAA believes is that it’s not your age that determines when you should stop driving, but your physical ability. There are 50-year-olds who shouldn’t be driving, and 80-year-olds who are still competent. It can be as simple as your health and physical ability.”

I never said she got into many accidents in a short period of time.

My mom is a health nut.
Last edited by: jjjoooggg on Dec 15, 2019
Born in Texas and lived in Texas my whole life.
DRich
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December 15th, 2019 at 7:46:20 AM permalink
My father is 85 and should not be driving. When I fly down to see my parents they always offer to pick me up from the airport which is about 20 minutes from their house. Those have been some of the scariest rides of my life. It is so bad that I have started renting a car just so I don't have to ride with him even though they have an extra car at the house that I could use.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
billryan
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December 15th, 2019 at 7:56:18 AM permalink
My Aunt insisted on driving,long after she shouldn't have. Her car had multiple unexplained dents, and she even scraped the side of her own house going down the driveway. Finally, my cousin gave her a flat tire one day and drove her to her Drs.appointment. While she was gone from the house, her car was " stolen". Sometimes you need do something bad to accomplish something good.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
jjjoooggg
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December 15th, 2019 at 12:50:12 PM permalink
Thats why i forced my dad to stop driving. But he was in only 2 accidents for the past 20 years. The last one he was tboned not at an intersection. It was a truck coming from a residential road. The guy fled without his bumper.

The nurse had to keep giving morphine bc his head hurt. And stapled scalp back

Next day i sat in passenger side to observe him drive. He could not drive. I found a pedal lock. I told him that it is illegal to drive past a certain age and he believed.me or realized that i wasnt going to let him. He has dimentia.

My mom doesnt smoke no alcohol no sodas. She was avid at tennis
Born in Texas and lived in Texas my whole life.
jjjoooggg
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December 15th, 2019 at 1:03:26 PM permalink
This is how my mom looks at age 77.

https://imgur.com/OKHh4Ng

Photo dated May 31, 2018

Btw. When my mom got out of her car when she was rear ended. Before she could say anything. The lady told my mom to go back to her own country. My mom felt scared bc there were two men with her. She didnt say anything back.and got back inside
Last edited by: jjjoooggg on Dec 15, 2019
Born in Texas and lived in Texas my whole life.
Jimmy2Times
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December 16th, 2019 at 6:02:57 AM permalink
Remembering Joey Villa (1937 – 12/16/2005). It was always a blast to see his show at the Riv. Loved the way he would hang out by the entrance to the club and work the crowd as they milled about. A few I remember:

JV: Anybody here from Buffalo?
Oh yes, we are from Buffalo.
JV: You’re from Buffalo? What’s wrong didn’t you have parents?

JV: Anyone from across the pond? Right-o, right-o.
Yes we are from England, right-o.
JV: No, no, right-toe you’re standing on my right-toe.

Always liked the mention JV was given in the opening scene of the John Gotti movie (the good John Gotti movie with Armand Assanti playing Gotti and not the lousy John Travolta playing Gotti one).

JV’s catchphrase “I’m going to live until I die”. A real funny guy, a real funny guy.
I 'm gonna go get the papers, get the papers.
GWAE
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December 16th, 2019 at 1:36:32 PM permalink
Has anyone ever seen the impractical jokers live? They are coming here this summer. I like their show but not sure if they would be funny live.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
GWAE
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December 16th, 2019 at 3:06:28 PM permalink
My 5 year old covered his entire arm with about 20 tattoos. I walked in the house and he was proud that he has a sleeve. He also got a necklace from dave and busters yeatersay that says eat drink play that he is obsessed with. Between the tats and chain he is ready for the street
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
PokerGrinder
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December 16th, 2019 at 3:21:35 PM permalink
Quote: GWAE

My 5 year old covered his entire arm with about 20 tattoos. I walked in the house and he was proud that he has a sleeve. He also got a necklace from dave and busters yeatersay that says eat drink play that he is obsessed with. Between the tats and chain he is ready for the street


Don’t you mean the Skreets
You can shear a sheep a hundred times, but you can skin it only once. — Amarillo Slim Preston
GWAE
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December 16th, 2019 at 3:36:34 PM permalink
Quote: PokerGrinder

Don’t you mean the Skreets



I am not sure, do I?

I am just wondering if we will get a call from our yuppy school tomorrow
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
SOOPOO
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December 16th, 2019 at 6:30:12 PM permalink
I just got out of a bathroom at an expensive restaurant in New York City. They had a guy there handing you a towel after you washed your hands. He had a little tip jar clearly visible with a few dollars and five dollar bills sticking out. Also, right next to the tip jar, was a placard stating he took credit cards! There was some sort of "square" logo! I am just trying to fathom reaching into my wallet to get a credit card to give this guy a tip! I did leave a single dollar and he was very polite and thankful.
AxelWolf
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December 16th, 2019 at 6:44:32 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

I just got out of a bathroom at an expensive restaurant in New York City. They had a guy there handing you a towel after you washed your hands. He had a little tip jar clearly visible with a few dollars and five dollar bills sticking out. Also, right next to the tip jar, was a placard stating he took credit cards! There was some sort of "square" logo! I am just trying to fathom reaching into my wallet to get a credit card to give this guy a tip! I did leave a single dollar and he was very polite and thankful.

He probably makes most of his money selling Pharmaceuticals.

I doubt it's legal, but I think the guys that work the clubs seem to make a ton selling single cigarettes, cloves and cigars. $1 per cig, $2 a clove and a huge markup on cheap cigars like Swisher Sweets.

Of course, everyone is vaping now so I have no clue if that's still a thing.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
billryan
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December 16th, 2019 at 6:54:39 PM permalink
Guy in my bathroom had a dozen expensive cologne bottles, and drunks happily paid a buck or two for a squirt.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
MaxPen
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December 16th, 2019 at 7:28:29 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

I just got out of a bathroom at an expensive restaurant in New York City. They had a guy there handing you a towel after you washed your hands. He had a little tip jar clearly visible with a few dollars and five dollar bills sticking out. Also, right next to the tip jar, was a placard stating he took credit cards! There was some sort of "square" logo! I am just trying to fathom reaching into my wallet to get a credit card to give this guy a tip! I did leave a single dollar and he was very polite and thankful.



Like you really want to handle dirty money after washing your hands. I wouldn't leave a thing and let the establishment manager know that it is BS and not appreciated.
EvenBob
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December 16th, 2019 at 11:38:33 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

I did leave a single dollar and he was very polite and thankful.



I read somewhere that the average tip a parking valet
driver gets tipped $1. Exactly the same as it's been
since the 1960s. I'm betting it's a been a dollar for
restroom valets since the 60s also. Frank Sinatra always
tipped the bathroom valet, the parking valet, or
anybody he gave a tip to, with a $100 bill. Because
that's all he carried was $100 bills
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
DRich
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December 17th, 2019 at 7:31:16 AM permalink
Quote: MaxPen

Like you really want to handle dirty money after washing your hands. I wouldn't leave a thing and let the establishment manager know that it is BS and not appreciated.



What is BS about it? A service is offered that you can take advantage of or not, and if you do you can determine the rate that you are willing to pay. I generally don't tip if he hands me a towel but one time I did take advantage of some mouth wash and tipped a $1.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
MaxPen
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December 17th, 2019 at 8:14:03 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

What is BS about it? A service is offered that you can take advantage of or not, and if you do you can determine the rate that you are willing to pay. I generally don't tip if he hands me a towel but one time I did take advantage of some mouth wash and tipped a $1.



As long as there is paper towels available or a hand dryer I would agree. But it sounded like it was just a towel service only thing. If that's the case it is BS. Especially in a restaurant I'm not digging for money when done washing hands and I don't want to be put in a situation where I feel obligated to.
SOOPOO
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December 17th, 2019 at 8:30:18 AM permalink
Quote: MaxPen

As long as there is paper towels available or a hand dryer I would agree. But it sounded like it was just a towel service only thing. If that's the case it is BS. Especially in a restaurant I'm not digging for money when done washing hands and I don't want to be put in a situation where I feel obligated to.



Basically agree. But the gentleman had the stash of paper towels and was handing them out. I generally hate the concept of me needing to figure out what is 'proper' to tip in these ambiguous situations. It was a pretty big restaurant. I'm guessing he made well in excess of $50 an hour from tips. I was really curious to ask how many people tipped by credit card, but didn't.....
TigerWu
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December 17th, 2019 at 10:16:52 AM permalink
Somebody explain this logic to me:

Whenever someone talks about whether or not they should pay off a loan, someone always says, "If you pay it off it's a guaranteed return on your money."

For example, let's say I have a $1000 loan at 5%, and I ask my friend if I should pay it off or pay the minimum instead and just invest the rest. My friend says, "Well, if you pay it off, it's a guaranteed 5% return."

No, it isn't. I'm not "getting" a 5% return on that money. If I have a $1000 loan at 5%, and I pay it off before the first payment is even due, I haven't made $50. I just haven't lost $50. I've broken even. It's not a "return on investment."

So why do people say that?
mcallister3200
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AxelWolf
December 17th, 2019 at 11:49:01 AM permalink
I’ve never heard anyone say that
unJon
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December 17th, 2019 at 12:00:29 PM permalink
Quote: TigerWu

Somebody explain this logic to me:

Whenever someone talks about whether or not they should pay off a loan, someone always says, "If you pay it off it's a guaranteed return on your money."

For example, let's say I have a $1000 loan at 5%, and I ask my friend if I should pay it off or pay the minimum instead and just invest the rest. My friend says, "Well, if you pay it off, it's a guaranteed 5% return."

No, it isn't. I'm not "getting" a 5% return on that money. If I have a $1000 loan at 5%, and I pay it off before the first payment is even due, I haven't made $50. I just haven't lost $50. I've broken even. It's not a "return on investment."

So why do people say that?



The logic is that paying it off is equivalent to investing the $1,000 in a guaranteed 5% investment (on a post-tax basis) and using the income to pay the loan minimums.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
TigerWu
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December 17th, 2019 at 1:37:53 PM permalink
Quote: unJon

The logic is that paying it off is equivalent to investing the $1,000 in a guaranteed 5% investment (on a post-tax basis) and using the income to pay the loan minimums.



How?

If I invest $1000 in something at 5% interest, I end up +$50.

If I pay off a 5%, $1000 loan ahead of time, I end up +$0.

Furthermore, if I pay off a 100%, $1000 loan ahead of time, I also end up +$0

So, according to the aforementioned logic, a 5% rate of return and a 100% rate of return are mathematically equivalent, which is obviously nonsense.
unJon
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December 17th, 2019 at 2:28:43 PM permalink
Quote: TigerWu

How?

If I invest $1000 in something at 5% interest, I end up +$50.

If I pay off a 5%, $1000 loan ahead of time, I end up +$0.

Furthermore, if I pay off a 100%, $1000 loan ahead of time, I also end up +$0

So, according to the aforementioned logic, a 5% rate of return and a 100% rate of return are mathematically equivalent, which is obviously nonsense.



What?

Imagine you have $1,000 in the bank and are wondering what you should do with it. You have two solid options.

1) Pay back a loan you took out for $1,000 at a 5% interest that matures in 5 years.

2) Invest in a tax free muni bond that pays 5% interest and matures in five years.

Those choices are equivalent. The income the bond spins off will exactly make the 5% payments you will owe in the loan. And in five years, the bond gives you back the $1,000 just in time to pay off your loan at maturity.

Make sense?
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
TigerWu
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December 17th, 2019 at 2:36:18 PM permalink
Okay, I have $1000 in the bank, and a $1000 loan at 5% interest.

If I pay back the $1000 loan before any interest payments are due, I now have $0 in the bank.

Where is the 5% return on my investment from paying off the loan?

EDIT:

Here's an example of what I'm talking about from a Motley Fool article.

Quote:

Your return on investment is low: While you earn a guaranteed return on investment by prepaying your mortgage, your return on investment is low because mortgage interest rates are low. If your mortgage rate is 4.5%, your rate of return from prepaying your mortgage is just 4.5%. By contrast, the S&P 500 has produced annualized total returns (including dividends) close to 10%, which is significantly higher.



Using this example, let's say I invest $100,000 in the S&P at a 10% annual return. After one year, I have $110,000.

Now, let's say I have a $100,000 mortgage at 4.5%. I somehow come up with $100,000, and pay off the mortgage. This Motley Fool article is implying that I will get a 4.5% return on that payoff. So where is the $4,500 from paying off the mortgage early??
lilredrooster
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December 17th, 2019 at 2:52:43 PM permalink
Please don't feed the trolls
MaxPen
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December 17th, 2019 at 3:00:42 PM permalink
Quote: TigerWu

Okay, I have $1000 in the bank, and a $1000 loan at 5% interest.

If I pay back the $1000 loan before any interest payments are due, I now have $0 in the bank.

Where is the 5% return on my investment from paying off the loan?

EDIT:

Here's an example of what I'm talking about from a Motley Fool article.



Using this example, let's say I invest $100,000 in the S&P at a 10% annual return. After one year, I have $110,000.

Now, let's say I have a $100,000 mortgage at 4.5%. I somehow come up with $100,000, and pay off the mortgage. This Motley Fool article is implying that I will get a 4.5% return on that payoff. So where is the $4,500 from paying off the mortgage early??



Semantics
You will never see it any other way regardless. Probably time to move on.
TigerWu
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December 17th, 2019 at 3:05:55 PM permalink
Quote: MaxPen

Semantics
You will never see it any other way regardless. Probably time to move on.



I'm sure it is just semantics, but I also think a lot of people (like that Motley Fool article) just do a pi$$ poor job of explaining it so it makes sense.
unJon
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December 17th, 2019 at 3:11:17 PM permalink
Quote: TigerWu

Okay, I have $1000 in the bank, and a $1000 loan at 5% interest.

If I pay back the $1000 loan before any interest payments are due, I now have $0 in the bank.

Where is the 5% return on my investment from paying off the loan?

EDIT:

Here's an example of what I'm talking about from a Motley Fool article.



Using this example, let's say I invest $100,000 in the S&P at a 10% annual return. After one year, I have $110,000.

Now, let's say I have a $100,000 mortgage at 4.5%. I somehow come up with $100,000, and pay off the mortgage. This Motley Fool article is implying that I will get a 4.5% return on that payoff. So where is the $4,500 from paying off the mortgage early??



Agree semantics. I can only repeat myself. Let me try it this way. If you take out a 5% loan, then you have made a -5% investment. Paying off a -5% investment saves you 5%. Here’s the semantic leap you seem to resist: saving 5% by getting rid of a -5% investment is the same as making a 5% investment.

Or one more way: taking out a 5% loan to invest in a 5% investment opportunity exactly nets out to zero. So you should be indifferent between paying off a 5% loan today (saving 5%) or not paying it off and instead making a 5% investment.
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bobbartop
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December 17th, 2019 at 3:19:27 PM permalink
Quote: MaxPen

Semantics




I don't understand either one of them.
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TigerWu
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December 17th, 2019 at 3:20:48 PM permalink
Quote: unJon

Agree semantics. I can only repeat myself. Let me try it this way. If you take out a 5% loan, then you have made a -5% investment. Paying off a -5% investment saves you 5%. Here’s the semantic leap you seem to resist: saving 5% by getting rid of a -5% investment is the same as making a 5% investment.



Okay, that makes more sense.

I still think calling it a "return on investment" as so many people do is disingenuous, and muddies the waters. It would just be much more straightforward to say, "you're not losing money to interest."
unJon
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December 17th, 2019 at 3:54:06 PM permalink
Quote: TigerWu

Okay, that makes more sense.

I still think calling it a "return on investment" as so many people do is disingenuous, and muddies the waters. It would just be much more straightforward to say, "you're not losing money to interest."



Except many financial decisions are of the following sort: should I borrow money in order to invest in the following []. To oversimplify, if the rate of borrowing interest is lower than the investment return, than leveraging up increases profits. If the rates are equal (again oversimplified) then you are indifferent to borrowing. So in that sense paying off a 5% loan is equivalent to making a 5% investment. Which ever choice you make (pay back loan or don’t pay back and invest money) you end up in the same place.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
Face
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December 17th, 2019 at 4:57:19 PM permalink
Quote: TigerWu

Okay, that makes more sense.

I still think calling it a "return on investment" as so many people do is disingenuous, and muddies the waters. It would just be much more straightforward to say, "you're not losing money to interest."



Here's my not-terribly-well-thought-out argument...

Isn't this a bit like the logic fail that causes Gambler's Fallacy and the Two Dice Debacle? You're looking at it from scratch, and the idea of taking a 5% loan and then paying it off and looking at this as "an investment" is rightly called bunk.

However, the example given is not from scratch. You already have the 5% loan. That 5% is gone (or will be) has been paid (or will be) you have no legal right to that money, it is not yours. It ceases to be. It's out PININ' for the FJORDS.

From this point, then, wouldn't paying off the loan thus recouping the money be a "return"?
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Rigondeaux
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December 17th, 2019 at 5:43:18 PM permalink
Isn't it just a variation of a penny saved is a penny earned?
unJon
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December 17th, 2019 at 6:10:21 PM permalink
Quote: Rigondeaux

Isn't it just a variation of a penny saved is a penny earned?



Not really. Let me try one more way then I’ll give up.

You owe the Wizard $10. He charges a 10% a week vig. So you can pay him $10 today or $11 a week from now.

Axel comes to you today with an investment scheme. It’s a guaranteed AP play that will take him a week to pull off. He needs you to give him $10 to participate. The AP play will net $2 in profits that he will split with you. So in a week, he will pay you back your $10 plus $1 profit.

Your options:

1) Pay back loan to Wiz. Leaving you no money to invest with Axel. You are left at $0.

2) Don’t pay back the Wiz. Invest the money with Axel. A week later he gives you $11. You then give Wiz the $11 you now owe. You are left with $0.

In summary: paying back a 10% a week loan is identical to making a 10% a week investment. In both cases you have the same ending cash of $0.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
GWAE
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December 17th, 2019 at 6:25:01 PM permalink
I think you all are turning this into a math problem instead of laymans terms. If you have a loan that you will pay $5 in interest. You already took the loan because you have no money. You are planning on spending $5. Tomorrow you hit a royal and can pay off the loan. You have just made $5 because you were planning/obligated to pay $5 in interest. Now you are able to pay it off and save that $5. You essentially just made yourself $5
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AxelWolf
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December 17th, 2019 at 10:47:28 PM permalink
I have a $600 Tiffany's gift card I will trade for $450 in Bitcoin if anyone's interested.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
FleaStiff
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December 17th, 2019 at 11:58:47 PM permalink
Quote: mcallister3200

I’ve never heard anyone say that

Ditto. interest is an expense not income.
Rigondeaux
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December 18th, 2019 at 6:05:17 PM permalink
I was reading an article about some people caught running a boiler room scam here in Malaysia and it mentioned that they might be penalized with fines, jail, or a flogging. A maximum of 6 strokes.

I can't say I favor flogging, but I have a hard time dismissing it.

Fines can be devastating to poor people and barely noticeable to the rich. A poor person might have to chose between paying their rent or a $400 ticket for rolling though a stop sign. A rich person might be caught driving utterly s-faced for the second time and effectively face no penalty at all.

Flogging has the same impact on everyone.

Incarceration costs the state a lot of money. Flogging is quite cheap.

Incarceration can have a devastating effect on your life. You lose your job. You miss your rent. Your kids have to go into foster care. All of this affects other people (your employer, your landlord, your kids) and society as a whole. People who are incarcerated often become more criminalized.

Flogging sucks really bad. It should be a strong deterrent. But you get it and it's over with. You might have to take a couple sick days---i don't know how bad the effects really are--but you should be able to move on with your life.

Hopefully this isn't too political.
AxelWolf
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December 18th, 2019 at 7:36:38 PM permalink
Quote: Rigondeaux



Flogging has the same impact on everyone.



That may not be true, I'm sure there are some guys who enjoy it who would even be willing to pay for it.

Quote: Rigondeaux

Flogging is quite cheap.

tell that to the guys who are willing to pay for it.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
FleaStiff
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December 18th, 2019 at 9:27:27 PM permalink
Flogging in Malaya is a medically serious painful wound whose effects really last!

it is not just the caning that is in effect on the Isle of Wight.

Scandinavia often has lane-change fines that make headlines because the driver was a rock star ot other high income person. Jails in some countries require appointments or are nocturnal only.

Josephson County in Oregon is 90 percent untaxable Federal land, the people are poor and fire and police are all volunteer. The sheriff is open on Wednesday afternoons only and has no jail. Judges must find appropriate community based reparation focused bail and sentences.

ten dollars or ten days has always worked a hardship on the poor but now we have a lot of plead guilty and do six months or your pretrial detention will be a year and your sentence will be five years.

Texas has a lot of people serving time on guilty pleas rather than wait two years for a state chemist to report 'lawful substance'.
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