UCivan
UCivan
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December 11th, 2015 at 10:59:31 AM permalink
I need two hit rates if someone could help here. The Pai Gow game with 52 cards plus a joker. Given the initial 7 cards, what is the hit rate for

(1) 7 card flush
(2) 6 card flush

Joker can be used in these two hands. Thanks in advance.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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December 11th, 2015 at 11:40:01 AM permalink
52/53 x 13/52 x 12/51 x 11/50 x 10/49 x 9/48 x 8/47

+ 1/53 x 52/52 x 12/51 x 11/50 x 10/49 x 9/48 x 8/47

for 7 card flush
teliot
teliot
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December 11th, 2015 at 11:44:44 AM permalink
7 card flush: 1-in-11228
6 card flush: 1-in-329

Probability formulas:

=4*COMBIN(13,7)/COMBIN(53,7) + 4*COMBIN(13,6)*1/COMBIN(53,7)

= 4*COMBIN(13,6)*39/COMBIN(53,7) + 4*COMBIN(13,5)*1*39/COMBIN(53,7)
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UCivan
UCivan
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December 11th, 2015 at 11:57:06 AM permalink
Thanks to SOOPOO and teliot. I know Prof. Eliot a gaming math expert, with the beautiful quote "May the math be with you".

SOOPOO, do U do math analysis?
shrimpboatcapt
shrimpboatcapt
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December 11th, 2015 at 12:02:41 PM permalink
Quote: teliot

7 card flush: 1-in-11228
6 card flush: 1-in-329

Probability formulas:

=4*COMBIN(13,7)/COMBIN(53,7) + 4*COMBIN(13,6)*1/COMBIN(53,7)

= 4*COMBIN(13,6)*39/COMBIN(53,7) + 4*COMBIN(13,5)*1*39/COMBIN(53,7)



toilet spelled backwards, i get it
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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December 11th, 2015 at 12:08:27 PM permalink
Quote: UCivan

Thanks to SOOPOO and teliot. I know Prof. Eliot a gaming math expert, with the beautiful quote "May the math be with you".

SOOPOO, do U do math analysis?



Not really. I can handle simple questions. There are dozens who post here who are more math proficient than I am.
teliot
teliot
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December 11th, 2015 at 12:40:12 PM permalink
Quote: shrimpboatcapt

toilet spelled backwards, i get it

Yes, T. Eliot, as in the infamous palindrome:

T. Eliot, top bard, notes putrid tang emanating, is sad. I'd assign it a name: "gnat dirt upset on drab pot toilet."

In my case, my middle name is Thomas. According to my mother, she was reading The Wasteland by T.S. Eliot when she went into labor, hence my name.
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