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Super Bowl Squares -- Another Fun WoV Contest
| February 2nd, 2012 at 9:08:18 AM permalink | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Wizard Administrator Member since: Oct 14, 2009 Threads: 310 Posts: 6735 | Here is yet another fun an exciting WoV contest. With this one there is not thinking required, and the top 100 members are automatically entered. Here is how it works. After the game the winner can be found in the tables below by looking up terminal digits of the score of each team. For example, if the final score were NYG 24, Pats 30, then you would look up Giants 4 and Pats 0, and the winner would be Jufo81. I had to break it into two tables because one would have been too wide for the screen. The top 100 members read like a book, with Nareed first, Paco second, ... , thecesspit 6th, ... , odiousgambit 11th, ... ,Aussie 100th. However, the row and column headers were randomized (with 10 playing cards). The winner will get a free dinner with the Wizard, with mystery gifts, or some other equivalent mutually agreeable idea. If that doesn't interest the winner, a donation to a charity of the winner's choice is also an option. Enjoy!
It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| February 2nd, 2012 at 9:24:11 AM permalink | |
| Doc Member since: Feb 27, 2010 Threads: 20 Posts: 2797 | Thanks for the free entry! Maybe I need to search this site to see whether you ever posted applicable summaries of your NFL data. I'm wondering how often a team's score ends in 5, which I have for the Pats. I can see a 35 total with 5 TDs and 5 PATs, but I don't know how often a final 5 is obtained some other way. My Giant's number is 7, and my brain immediately zeroed in on a 7 total, though 3*(6+1)+2*3=27 looks like another plausible way to get there. Yep, a final score of Pats by 35-27 would work for me. Do you have a summary table of frequencies of score final digits? Would you expect the pattern for the SuperBowl to be different from other games? |
| February 2nd, 2012 at 9:28:14 AM permalink | |
| FinsRule Member since: Dec 23, 2009 Threads: 51 Posts: 771 | 8, 6???? Ugh!! Why do I post so much (or not enough) It did happen once though, in 1985.... Oh, and thanks for the free entry :) |
| February 2nd, 2012 at 9:36:46 AM permalink | |
| Wizard Administrator Member since: Oct 14, 2009 Threads: 310 Posts: 6735 |
Yes! It is rather dated, but it appears about 1/3 of the way down in my "Ask the Wizard" questions about sports betting. As an example, you have Giants 7 Pats 5. If we treat the Giants as the home team your probability of winning would be 0.0083. If we treat the Pats as the home team it would be 0.0064. So, split the difference and you're at 0.0074. It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet. |
| February 2nd, 2012 at 9:43:19 AM permalink | |
| guido111 Member since: Sep 16, 2010 Threads: 5 Posts: 477 | Thanks! Now, I do know for a fact that member "7winner" passed away last March. I saw his box at the Riverside National Cemetery. (My daughter's boy friend's friend of a friend's Dad) Will that now make Aussie #99 for those that are living? |
| February 2nd, 2012 at 9:43:54 AM permalink | |
| Ibeatyouraces Member since: Jan 12, 2010 Threads: 17 Posts: 899 | Looks like I got 9 and 1. Not much better but for free +EV, I'll take it. "Shut up Meg."
Peter Griffin, Family Guy |
| February 2nd, 2012 at 9:58:16 AM permalink | |
| boymimbo Member since: Nov 12, 2009 Threads: 12 Posts: 2533 | Well, thanks for making me watch and have an interest in the game. I really didn't want to see either team in the bowl. But if I had to choose, I'd go with the Patriots as Brady's family is helping out Sid the Kid with his long term health issues. I like the Patriots 31, Giants 22: Pats with 4 TDs and a FG, Giants with 3 FG, 2TDs, but a failed 2 point conversion late in the game. And oh yeah, a failed on-side kick. If I win, I'll have to come to Vegas to collect. -----
You want the truth! You can't handle the truth! |
| February 2nd, 2012 at 10:02:21 AM permalink | |
| DJTeddyBear Member since: Nov 2, 2009 Threads: 105 Posts: 5691 | I'll take a free bet any day of the week. What about the quarters and half? Honerable mention at least? Superstitions are silly, childish, irrational rituals, born out of fear of the unknown.
But how much does it cost to knock on wood? |
| February 2nd, 2012 at 10:07:13 AM permalink | |
| Headlock Member since: Feb 9, 2010 Threads: 14 Posts: 249 | Thanks Wizard. With 3 and 4 I think my odds are much better than 1 in 100! I will be in Las Vegas for the game, so do you want to buy dinner on the strip or elsewhere? |
| February 2nd, 2012 at 10:17:00 AM permalink | |
| Doc Member since: Feb 27, 2010 Threads: 20 Posts: 2797 | Yep, as my earlier musings suspected, the final 7 is as good as it gets, but a final 5 is almost the worst possible. In sum, my +EV is slightly below 2/3 the average. Still, the entry price is right! |
![]() | Bovada is the only Internet casino endorsed by the Wizard. Here are my reasons why and my promise of support. |
