Doldrums of Summer Nearly Over as Livng Begin Again Today

After drudging through several months of sports boredom, today is the day of renewed excitement!!! College football friends!!! Just made my first two straight bets of the season, and hoping for another good year. Good luck to all of you who bet CFB, and may you hit over 55%. and btw, lets all hope for Utah by more than a field goal ;-)

Well...1 for 2 yesterday....Utah lost by half a point, USC - HAW over hit. Down 20 bucks...dang it. Perhaps Saturday will be better!

After going 6-4 in week 1 (thank you Boise), I just bought 7 games for today:

Haw +3 Army
Haw is simply the better team

So Car -3 Ga

ND-Mich under 52.5
major rain

OSU -8 MiFl
buckeyes overpower

Ore-Tenn over 52
127-0 combined last week

FSU +7 okla
Inexperienced QB for OK

Iowa -13.5 ISU
Looking back...foolish bet

I usually lay off the NFL, but I think I found value with these 2, so I bought them:

NE-CIN over 45.5
IND-HOU over 48

Lets see how it goes...

Feeling pretty good today at 5-1....of.course...seems I was waaaay off on Oklahoma....must research better next week. C'mon ore-tenn, lets start scoring!

Just barely made that ND/Mich; it stopped raining about an hour before game time! Good thing Crist got hurt in the first half, you'd have gone down there. Man, that Michigan quarterback is good, innt he?

No joke there....and I dont know if he is that good or the domes defense is that bad

Edit: Sorry for the short reply Mosca...yes, Robinson does look very good, what did he have, 500+ yards of offense...incredible! Glad to see Oregon took care of business as well. Was getting worried there for awhile. Now if only the pros come through. Of coure they won't, which is why I generally lay off on Sunday.

I've only recently been reading about sports betting.

>Haw +3 Army
>Haw is simply the better team
Haw? Hawaii???
Better team? Well isn't that reflected in the odds?

>ND-Mich under 52.5
>major rain
H'mmm. Interesting. Rain is your motive for this bet. Okay. Doesn't everyone else also have a weather report saying "Major Rain"? Don't a few have a professional meteorologist's weather forecast?

>OSU -8 MiFl
>buckeyes overpower
These two broads kept saying Go Buckeyes, but they went to school there and that is "their" team, so I've nothing but their enthusiasm to judge by. Seems your bet turned out right though.

>FSU +7 okla
>Inexperienced QB for OK
Again, isn't this known to everyone and to the extent that it is thought relevant that information is already reflected in the odds being offered? How do you know its a good bet to make?

>Iowa -13.5 ISU
>Looking back...foolish bet
Why is it a foolish bet?

>I usually lay off the NFL, ...
Confused me there. I was trying to analyze this but then realized that by "lay off" you meant "avoid" rather than bet excess action on an opposing team.

> but I think I found value with these 2, so I bought them:
>NE-CIN over 45.5
>IND-HOU over 48
Hope they won for you.

Fleastiff, I appreciate your comments. Please let me make some as well. I have found that early in the season it is easier to find winners versus the books. Trends are not yet well defined, and younger players hve not yet settled in. Knowing this, and the books do as well, through research (about 25 hours a week), I try to find inconsistencies between the posted lines and my own findings. That i why I don't bet the NFL very often. IMHO, I think there too many FBS games for the books to be able to put the proper amount of time handicapping each one. For example, Wisconsin was giving.40 yesterday to San Jose State. They were off by 20. Some are very close. ND-Mich o/u was 52.5. 52 point were scored. The rain did move that down a little.

I guess what I am saying is that with a little research, reasonable value can be found. The comments I make with my picks are merely one of the factors I use.

Also, keep in mind that lines are set by people, and they make mistakes quite often. Unlike most other casino games, SB is not a game of chance, and is one the few that can have consistant positive results.

No matter how long you research to dice, you cant predict the results.

Alright! 8-1 this week. 14-5 for the season. Time to go to work on week 3.

I hate to make hasty picks, but since I will not be Nevada until Sunday evening, I gotta do what I gotta do.

7 college and 2 NFL picks this week:

Tex -3 TTU
can't understand why the line has moved so far

Iowa -1.5 Ariz
road fav shows Iowa/Big 10 power game

Ala -23.5 Duke
line should be 50

ECU +17.5 VT
acc is a joke

PSU -21 Kent
Paterno angry after last week

KSU -4 ISU
Snyder wins the games he should

USC -13 Min
SoCal pure talent crushes worst team in Big 10

NYG - IND over 48
Indy D horrible, O is still great. Manning bros in shoot-out

MIN - MIA over 40
both teams in mid-20's this week

Thinking I should move this to a Blog instead? Any comments?

Alan