MLB Pick - Need help

I'm in a MLB Team Fantasy Draft. Whoever drafts the team with the most wins, wins. I am pick 19. I need to decide who will get the most wins out of those three teams. Playoff Series wins are 3, 4, 4 extra wins for each series won.

I have already drafted the Rays and Tigers. Baseball fans, who would you pick? I'm stuck and need help!

This sounds like a bad gamble if you are low in the draft.

Anyway, Baseball prospectus is the way to go. They have AZ @ a .509 projected win percentage, the highest of the 3. I'd go with them.

Baltimore has the only 2 votes here, but they have the lowest projected win percentage of the three at .461.

Yeah, I did do some more research and checked out BP last night. I think I have decided against Baltimore. But Cleveland is also available, so I'm considering them now.

I just don't know how Arizona is going to score runs. But BP knows more than I do, so I should just probably go with what they say.