BrockPhx
BrockPhx
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October 31st, 2011 at 10:50:19 AM permalink
Hi all,

I'm interested in learning to count cards and have read a little about the KO system. Seems like it is one of the easier counting systems to use. Is it effective enough to give me a noticeable edge and win some money? Not looking to run BJ fill time, so just wondering if it is worth my time. I haven't read the book but and am going off other write ups. 2-7 +1, 10-A -1 start count at -16 for a six deck shoe start betting bigger when count gets to +4. No idea if that is how the system is meant to work.

One question I have is what is a decent bet spread? If I go $10 min is upping it to $50 enough? Should my big bet b the same at +4 vs say + 10? Feels like the higher the count the higher the bet. Thx.
MathExtremist
MathExtremist
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October 31st, 2011 at 11:03:10 AM permalink
With that bet spread, what are your current expectations of how much you can win?
"In my own case, when it seemed to me after a long illness that death was close at hand, I found no little solace in playing constantly at dice." -- Girolamo Cardano, 1563
1BB
1BB
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October 31st, 2011 at 11:40:50 AM permalink
Quote: BrockPhx

Hi all,

I'm interested in learning to count cards and have read a little about the KO system. Seems like it is one of the easier counting systems to use. Is it effective enough to give me a noticeable edge and win some money? Not looking to run BJ fill time, so just wondering if it is worth my time. I haven't read the book but and am going off other write ups. 2-7 +1, 10-A -1 start count at -16 for a six deck shoe start betting bigger when count gets to +4. No idea if that is how the system is meant to work.

One question I have is what is a decent bet spread? If I go $10 min is upping it to $50 enough? Should my big bet b the same at +4 vs say + 10? Feels like the higher the count the higher the bet. Thx.



Give Hi-Lo a try. If you're not comfortable with true count conversion then go to KO.

Determining a betting spread can be complicated. You must consider the rules of the game you'll be playing as well as heat level, which varies greatly from casino to casino. Spreading $10-$50 may be enough for some single or double deck games, but not nearly enough for six or eight decks.
Many people, especially ignorant people, want to punish you for speaking the truth. - Mahatma Ghandi
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
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November 1st, 2011 at 7:42:46 AM permalink
deleted
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
BrockPhx
BrockPhx
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November 3rd, 2011 at 4:09:20 PM permalink
Thanks for the responses everyone. My expecatations are not super high. If I up my spread from $10 - $100 I would be happy with a session of around +$100. I realize even with a good deck that gives me a slight positive expectation there will still be a lot of swings negative/positive. The same swings that allow me to win while the casino has the advantage will work against me at times. Couple additional points:

1) After reading about the Hi-Lo on WizardOfOdds I will give this a shot rather than KO. I don't believe determining the True Count will be a huge problem once I am comfortable with counting. Thank you for the recommendation.

2) With Hi-Lo I didn't read guidance on what True Count (TC) to start raising my bet at. Can anyone help me out here? Example when TC gets to +2 do I raise from $10 to $25 and when it gets to +5 up it to $100 and such? I really have no idea where to start raising (maybe it is as simple as +1 go higher than min bet)

3) I read the Illustrious 18 and Fab 4 section at WizardofOdds and understand most of the index. However, forgive my ignorance but I'm still confused by a few indexes that I want to get straight:

Illustrious 18
Index Play Index # Play
1 Ins 3 Yes
2 16-10 0 S
3 15-10 4 S
4 10,10-5 5 P
5 10,10-6 4 P
6 10-10 4 D
7 12-3 2 S
8 12-2 3 S
9 11-A 1 H ???
10 9-2 1 H ???
11 10-A 4 D ???
12 9-7 3 D ???
13 16-9 5 S
14 13-2 -1 S @ -1 & greater
15 12-4 0 S @ 0 & greater
16 12-5 -2 S @ -2 & greater
17 12-6 -1 S @ -2 & greater
18 13-3 -2 S @ -2 & greater

Index 13, normally BS says to hit on my 16 v dealer 9. Illustrious 18 says I should now stand on 16-9 when index is +5 and greater?

Index 14-18: normally BS says to stand on these hands when dealer has X. Illustrious says to STAND at the count listed and greater? Example for Index 16. If the count is -2 I am standing like normal, however, if the index is -1 or less I should actually hit my 12 versus a dealer 5?

Index 13 implies to do something different than BS when the count is greater, but Index 14-18 seem to imply I deviate from BS when count is lower.

Index 9: I have 11 v dealer A. I should only HIT when index is +1 or greater? This is counterintuitive to me as the deck is semi-heavy in 10s/As and dealer has already checked they don't have a 10. BS says to Double this and Illustrious 18 is telling me to only HIT it?
BrockPhx
BrockPhx
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November 3rd, 2011 at 4:22:05 PM permalink
weaselman
weaselman
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November 3rd, 2011 at 7:11:19 PM permalink
Quote: BrockPhx



2) With Hi-Lo I didn't read guidance on what True Count (TC) to start raising my bet at. Can anyone help me out here? Example when TC gets to +2 do I raise from $10 to $25 and when it gets to +5 up it to $100 and such? I really have no idea where to start raising (maybe it is as simple as +1 go higher than min bet)



Add 0.5% of your bankroll for every TC above +1.

Quote:

Index 13, normally BS says to hit on my 16 v dealer 9. Illustrious 18 says I should now stand on 16-9 when index is +5 and greater?

Index 14-18: normally BS says to stand on these hands when dealer has X. Illustrious says to STAND at the count listed and greater? Example for Index 16. If the count is -2 I am standing like normal, however, if the index is -1 or less I should actually hit my 12 versus a dealer 5?

Index 13 implies to do something different than BS when the count is greater, but Index 14-18 seem to imply I deviate from BS when count is lower.


Yes.

Quote:

Index 9: I have 11 v dealer A. I should only HIT when index is +1 or greater? This is counterintuitive to me as the deck is semi-heavy in 10s/As and dealer has already checked they don't have a 10. BS says to Double this and Illustrious 18 is telling me to only HIT it?


No, it's the other way around. BS is to hit 11 v A. With TC above +1, the correct play would be to double.


Edit: wow, nice effect :)
"When two people always agree one of them is unnecessary"
SafeGaming
SafeGaming
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November 3rd, 2011 at 7:24:28 PM permalink
Quote: BrockPhx


1.Index 13, normally BS says to hit on my 16 v dealer 9. Illustrious 18 says I should now stand on 16-9 when index is +5 and greater?

2.Index 14-18: normally BS says to stand on these hands when dealer has X. Illustrious says to STAND at the count listed and greater? Example for Index 16. If the count is -2 I am standing like normal, however, if the index is -1 or less I should actually hit my 12 versus a dealer 5?

3.Index 13 implies to do something different than BS when the count is greater, but Index 14-18 seem to imply I deviate from BS when count is lower.

4.Index 9: I have 11 v dealer A. I should only HIT when index is +1 or greater? This is counterintuitive to me as the deck is semi-heavy in 10s/As and dealer has already checked they don't have a 10. BS says to Double this and Illustrious 18 is telling me to only HIT it?



1.BS says hit, but if count is +5, +6, +7 etc... means theres a lot of big cards u should stand or u will likely to burst( however u will still lose anyway lol)

2. -1 isnt lesser than -2... XD , -3 u should hit because there is more small cards( however u will get critisize heavily if u burst and actually if not the dealer will burst lol)

3. u get confuse on negative sign.... like question number 2.

4. I think u get confuse
Doc
Doc
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November 3rd, 2011 at 7:45:28 PM permalink
Now that's an interesting twist on post formatting. What's going on?

Just FYI, I made this post as a reply to a post way up the thread, so I don't know how it wound up looking like this.
weaselman
weaselman
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November 3rd, 2011 at 7:58:59 PM permalink
Quote: Doc

Now that's an interesting twist on post formatting. What's going on?


Looks like the OP did not close the table tag.
"When two people always agree one of them is unnecessary"
BrockPhx
BrockPhx
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November 3rd, 2011 at 8:59:52 PM permalink
Yeah, sorry not so sure about posting tables. Thought it might b easier to read than in my original post.

Thx for staightenng me out on the illustrious 18 table. I think I got. :)
  • Jump to:

Index[\COL] Play[\COL] Index #[\COL] Play[\COL]
1 Ins 3 Yes
2 16-10 0 S
3 15-10 4 S
4 10,10-5 5 P
5 10,10-6 4 P
6 10-10 4 D
7 12-3 2 S
8 12-2 3 S
9 11-A 1 H ???
10 9-2 1 H ???
11 10-A 4 D ???
12 9-7 3 D ???
13 16-9 5 S
14 13-2 -1 S @ -1 & greater
15 12-4 0 S @ 0 & greater
16 12-5 -2 S @ -2 & greater
17 12-6 -1 S @ -2 & greater
18 13-3 -2 S @ -2 & greater