BigJer
BigJer
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November 17th, 2012 at 12:41:48 PM permalink
The local casino I go to has this bet. This is not Lucky Ladies but Lucky Lucky. Does anyone know about playing this? What the TC must be to gain an advantage? TIA.

The bet is where certain combinations of cards PLUS the dealer's up card will make certain combinations. For example say you have a 6,7 and the dealer shows an 8 then you would win 30 to 1 or something similar.

I did a forum search for this and couldn't find anything.
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rdw4potus
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November 17th, 2012 at 12:46:06 PM permalink
https://wizardofodds.com/games/blackjack/appendix/8/#luckylucky

Not sure about the required count, but here's the Wiz's analysis of the game.
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
BigJer
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November 17th, 2012 at 12:49:02 PM permalink
Thanks.
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Wizard
Administrator
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November 17th, 2012 at 12:50:27 PM permalink
Eliot Jacobson has a good page on at AP Heat.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
BigJer
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November 17th, 2012 at 12:51:42 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Eliot Jacobson has a good page on at AP Heat.



I shall read that. Thanks.
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BigJer
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November 17th, 2012 at 1:00:32 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Eliot Jacobson has a good page on at AP Heat.



Good article.
I took a look at it and the problem is yes you can count it but you have to use his count. You can't beat it using HiLo?
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teliot
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November 17th, 2012 at 1:25:59 PM permalink
The question for the AP is why they are so attached to counting cards at blackjack in the first place. As a blackjack card counter, the AP is vulnerable to decades of experience in game protection, has to play crazy cat-and-mouse games that eat into their playing time, will spend time learning about silly things like the I-18 and floating edge, will confront high variance, and will have a low return even if they are very good. When opportunities for AP arise, the plan should not be to try and fit the opportunity into the skills you have (e.g. use High-Low to beat LL). The correct approach is to evaluate the opportunity with respect to other opportunities and to bring the best tools to the table to beat the best game you can find. If you have to learn something new, then just do it.

I say this not as an AP (I was never very good), but as someone who watches out for the casino side. The casinos focus on blackjack card counting as much as players do. Casinos need to know the vulnerabilities, keep them in perspective, and learn how to protect each according to its true risk. APs should reach for the best opportunity they can. Likewise, casinos should protect against AP opportunities by fully understanding the costs and benefits.
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BigJer
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November 17th, 2012 at 1:31:33 PM permalink
Quote: teliot

The question for the AP is why they are so attached to counting cards at blackjack in the first place. As a blackjack card counter, the AP is vulnerable to decades of experience in game protection, has to play crazy cat-and-mouse games that eat into their playing time, will spend time learning about silly things like the I-18 and floating edge, will confront high variance, and will have a low return even if they are very good. When opportunities for AP arise, the plan should not be to try and fit the opportunity into the skills you have (e.g. use High-Low to beat LL). The correct approach is to evaluate the opportunity with respect to other opportunities and to bring the best tools to the table to beat the best game you can find. If you have to learn something new, then just do it.

I say this not as an AP (I was never very good), but as someone who watches out for the casino side. The casinos focus on blackjack card counting as much as players do. Casinos need to know the vulnerabilities, keep them in perspective, and learn how to protect each according to its true risk. APs should reach for the best opportunity they can. Likewise, casinos should protect against AP opportunities by fully understanding the costs and benefits.



Yeah. But can you beat LL using HiLo?
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teliot
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November 17th, 2012 at 1:54:17 PM permalink
Quote: BigJer

Yeah. But can you beat LL using HiLo?

Of course not.
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BigJer
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November 17th, 2012 at 1:54:56 PM permalink
Quote: teliot

Of course not.



Thanks.
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AxiomOfChoice
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November 17th, 2012 at 4:33:39 PM permalink
I think the point is, if the game is decent, you should not lose much just playing BS, so you can just count the side bet.

You could also play with a partner, with one of you counting the side bet and the other counting the main game.
AcesAndEights
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November 19th, 2012 at 9:32:03 AM permalink
Quote: BigJer

Yeah. But can you beat LL using HiLo?


This shows a fundamental lack of understanding about how card counting works. The Lucky Lucky side bet hits the huge payouts when you hit 678 and 777. Hi-Lo and conventional counting systems either ignore these cards, or count their presence in the deck as bad for the player, preferring lots of 10s and Aces.

How in the holy hell would Hi-Lo ever predict success for Lucky Lucky? Sure you get a small payout on a total of 20, but that is far outweighed by the big payouts. If anything, a negative Hi-Lo count might slightly correlate with success at the LL side bet (although I doubt this correlation would be high at all if it exists).

Take a second and think...otherwise you're not long for the world of AP.
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dwheatley
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November 19th, 2012 at 9:52:54 AM permalink
Quote: BigJer

Yeah. But can you beat LL using HiLo?



You probably shouldn't be counting at all.
Wisdom is the quality that keeps you out of situations where you would otherwise need it
BigJer
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November 19th, 2012 at 1:57:22 PM permalink
Quote: dwheatley

You probably shouldn't be counting at all.



Oh I was just kidding him! I read what he said.
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BigJer
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November 19th, 2012 at 1:58:08 PM permalink
Quote: AcesAndEights

This shows a fundamental lack of understanding about how card counting works. The Lucky Lucky side bet hits the huge payouts when you hit 678 and 777. Hi-Lo and conventional counting systems either ignore these cards, or count their presence in the deck as bad for the player, preferring lots of 10s and Aces.

How in the holy hell would Hi-Lo ever predict success for Lucky Lucky? Sure you get a small payout on a total of 20, but that is far outweighed by the big payouts. If anything, a negative Hi-Lo count might slightly correlate with success at the LL side bet (although I doubt this correlation would be high at all if it exists).

Take a second and think...otherwise you're not long for the world of AP.



C'mon I was just kidding him.
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