debitncredit
debitncredit
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July 28th, 2012 at 11:01:15 AM permalink
I'm having fun playing blackjack with a simple K-O strategy these days. Some times it works, some times it doesn't, but I play for fun, so I don't care too much how well it works. I just get a kick out of it when the count gets high and I bet big.

Here's my question:

Let's say the strategy calls for taking insurance when the count is +3. I'm playing head-to-head with the dealer. The count is +3 and I bet bigger. I get a blackjack and the dealer is showing an ace. Do I take even money? I wouldn't because with the latest information the count is 0 (my two high cards and the dealer's ace). Is this correct?

In other words, when taking insurance while card counting, does it depend on the running count at the beginning of the hand or the running count when the insurance is offered (counting my cards and the dealer's card)?

I'm sure it's the latter, but wanted to know for sure.

Thanks!

ps. I apologize for mispelling insurance on the thread title. I can't change it.
WongBo
WongBo
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July 28th, 2012 at 11:13:32 AM permalink
in KO, insurance running count value is +3.
ergo, if your running count is <+3 do not take it.
in the case you mentioned, you would be correct to stand.
In a bet, there is a fool and a thief. - Proverb.
debitncredit
debitncredit
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July 28th, 2012 at 11:58:44 AM permalink
Just for curiosity, how about this scenario?

The count is +3, the hand is dealt and the dealer shows an Ace and I have a 8 and a 9. Do I stand (because the count is now +2) or take the even money (because although the count is +2, there are still the same number of 10s in the deck as when the hand was dealt)?
duffytootx
duffytootx
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July 28th, 2012 at 12:03:15 PM permalink
I'll take even money on a 17 anytime. I think it should be rephrased.
debitncredit
debitncredit
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July 28th, 2012 at 12:10:12 PM permalink
My bad:

How aboutThe count is +3, the hand is dealt and the dealer shows an Ace and I have a 8 and a 9. Do I not take the insurnace (because the count is now +2) or take the insurance (because although the count is +2, there are still the same number of 10s in the deck as when the hand was dealt)?
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
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July 28th, 2012 at 12:40:53 PM permalink
deleted
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
WongBo
WongBo
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July 28th, 2012 at 2:44:39 PM permalink
you are answering your own question.
the KO index for insurance is +3.
you just said...what if the count is +2...
STAND on count +2, insure on +3 and up
In a bet, there is a fool and a thief. - Proverb.
jjjoooggg
jjjoooggg
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July 28th, 2012 at 5:45:22 PM permalink
This just happened two days ago. I was playing six deck. Running count was around 20, But I had a 16. I took insurance. You can guess what the outcome was. Should I have sacrificed my hand to keep cover or do something that is so obviously card counting.

Whenever I take insurance like this, I think people are thinking card counter.
Born in Texas and lived in Texas my whole life.
WongBo
WongBo
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July 28th, 2012 at 5:56:17 PM permalink
a lot of people take insurance intermittently,
i have never had much of a problem from it.
believe it or not, insurance is over 25% of the added value from counting,
too valuable to give up.
there are other moves you should be more concerned about.
In a bet, there is a fool and a thief. - Proverb.
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
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July 28th, 2012 at 6:50:03 PM permalink
deleted
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
buzzpaff
buzzpaff
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July 28th, 2012 at 6:58:11 PM permalink
Quote: WongBo

a lot of people take insurance intermittently,
i have never had much of a problem from it.
believe it or not, insurance is over 25% of the added value from counting,
too valuable to give up.
there are other moves you should be more concerned about.




Stanford Wong puts it at about 30%. Most people underestimate it as they forget that you will usually have a larger than average bet out already, if the count is positive enough to take insurance.
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