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Has anyone actually SEEN a Martingaler?
| October 10th, 2011 at 10:15:14 AM permalink | |
| 7outlineaway Member since: Nov 13, 2009 Threads: 9 Posts: 276 | The closest I've come to seeing a true Martingaler is the following: I'm at a $10 BJ table in Indiana. Guy walks up in mid-shoe with a bunch of black chips. Bets $200. Loses. Next he bets $300. Gets a splittable hand and splits it. (Forget what it was, but basic strategy dictated a split.) Loses both hands. Next he bets $400. Loses. Next he bets $500. Loses. Down $1700, he walks away. I know it's not a true Martingale, but at least the system of chasing losses with larger bets was there. |
| October 10th, 2011 at 10:16:54 AM permalink | |
| boymimbo Member since: Nov 12, 2009 Threads: 12 Posts: 2533 | I see it a Pai Gow all of the time. Sad to watch them walk away with nothing, as it's quite easy to run into 6, 7, 8 losses in a row. -----
You want the truth! You can't handle the truth! |
| October 10th, 2011 at 10:21:39 AM permalink | |
| MathExtremist Member since: Aug 31, 2010 Threads: 45 Posts: 2511 | Not past 3 or 4 losses, no. But I've done it myself at low-limits on a roulette table just to pass the time -- again, capped at 4 losses. I can swallow a $15 loss but not a $1023 loss... "In my own case, when it seemed to me after a long illness that death was close at hand, I found no little solace in playing constantly at dice."
-- Girolamo Cardano, 1563 |
| October 10th, 2011 at 10:27:54 AM permalink | |
| boymimbo Member since: Nov 12, 2009 Threads: 12 Posts: 2533 | Math, how could you? Next thing you'll be telling me is that you play slots too! -----
You want the truth! You can't handle the truth! |
| October 10th, 2011 at 10:44:10 AM permalink | |
| kp Member since: Feb 28, 2011 Threads: 7 Posts: 422 | I saw it once. It's a sad story. You may want to stop reading now. I went out to Vegas one year with a buddy for an audiophile show. It was his first trip to Vegas. He studied on the internet and learned about the Martingale. I told him he was crazy. He ran simulations and said you hardly ever lose. I told him he was crazy. He continued to run simulations; even on the plane he was using a hand held BJ game to further prove his winning approach. I told him he was crazy. At Ellis Island he found a video BJ game where you could bet .25 to 5.00 per credit and 1-100 credits giving him a spread of .25 to $500. I told him he was crazy. He was doing good for a while. Then it happened. .25 lost. .50 lost. 1.00 lost. 2.00 lost. 4.00 lost. 8.00 lost. 16.00 lost. 32.00 lost. 64.00 lost. 128.00 lost. 256.00 lost. Eleven losses in a row and no room left to double. Over $500 lost chasing a $.25 win. I stopped telling him he was crazy; the realization finally hit home. He too went home and never came back. |
| October 10th, 2011 at 10:46:54 AM permalink | |
| MathExtremist Member since: Aug 31, 2010 Threads: 45 Posts: 2511 |
Oh, but I do. It's my job. :) I just haven't been brave enough to write off my slot losses as "business expenses" yet... "In my own case, when it seemed to me after a long illness that death was close at hand, I found no little solace in playing constantly at dice."
-- Girolamo Cardano, 1563 |
| October 10th, 2011 at 10:49:09 AM permalink | |
| DJTeddyBear Member since: Nov 2, 2009 Threads: 105 Posts: 5682 | Saw it? No. Did it myself? Yep. I describe it on my History page of my Poker For Roulette site:
Superstitions are silly, childish, irrational rituals, born out of fear of the unknown.
But how much does it cost to knock on wood? |
| October 10th, 2011 at 10:56:19 AM permalink | |
| Wizard Administrator Member since: Oct 14, 2009 Threads: 309 Posts: 6700 |
That story pretty much says it all when it comes to system bettors. I bet such a scenario plays out in Vegas every day -- multiple times. Believers will absolutely never listen to reasoning. The only way for them to see the light is through their wallet. This is why I kept saying everyone was wasting their time trying to save 99steps. Regarding how to find Martingale players, go to any multi-player blackjack game online. At Casino on Net I saw them all the time, going from $1 to whatever their bankroll could withstand, or the table max, whichever was less. If I ever ran a casino I think I would make my max bets some factor of 2, just as an inside joke to Martingale players. It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet. |
| October 10th, 2011 at 11:15:19 AM permalink | |
| PapaChubby Member since: Mar 29, 2010 Threads: 9 Posts: 342 | I do it more often than I see it. But I see it pretty regularly, too. |
| October 10th, 2011 at 11:20:53 AM permalink | |
| MrRalph Member since: Jun 8, 2011 Threads: 12 Posts: 104 | I saw it on a craps table with a guy betting box cars. He told me he waits for no 12 to appear for 16 rolls and then he starts betting. He claims that he hardly ever loses and his winning sessions more than make up for losing ones. He lost that night quite badly. At least for me it would have been a thorough ass kicking I do not know what he lost exactly but I know it was over $500 and his first bet was $1.00. He just put his tail between his legs and left. |
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