DapperDanMan
DapperDanMan
Joined: Sep 8, 2015
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May 25th, 2017 at 9:10:04 AM permalink
Quote:

Yes! (except hit these extremely rare hands: 10 vs all, hard 11 vs 7-A, and soft 15 and 16 vs A



This is confusing me. Why would I hit, foregoing any chance of the bonus, on S15 and S16 but not S12, S13 or S14 given that as stood hands they're identical but Soft 12-14 is clearly a better hittable hand?
ChesterDog
ChesterDog
Joined: Jul 26, 2010
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May 25th, 2017 at 9:36:06 AM permalink
Quote: DapperDanMan

This is confusing me. Why would I hit, foregoing any chance of the bonus, on S15 and S16 but not S12, S13 or S14 given that as stood hands they're identical but Soft 12-14 is clearly a better hittable hand?



I was going to write, "hit soft 12-16 vs A," but then I realized that soft 15 is the smallest five-card soft hand (AAAAA.)
gordonm888
gordonm888
Joined: Feb 18, 2015
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May 25th, 2017 at 9:39:24 AM permalink
withdrawn - I misunderstood Chesterdog's post.
Romes
Romes
Joined: Jul 22, 2014
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May 25th, 2017 at 9:44:16 AM permalink
Quote: DapperDanMan

Thanks Chester Dog

Michael, you're wrong but I'm not going to engage you any further.

There is no right or wrong as it's a matter of PERSPECTIVE. I too was a bit confused by the "bet $10, get $40, but yeah it's a 2x promotion!" but you clarified what you meant and that was that. Personally (not right or wrong just personal preference) I'd refer to this promotion as paying a 3-1 BONUS in addition to the hand on any 5 card hand that pushes or wins. Thus, $10 bet push = $30... $10 bet win = $40.
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
DapperDanMan
DapperDanMan
Joined: Sep 8, 2015
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May 25th, 2017 at 9:46:14 AM permalink
Quote: ChesterDog

I was going to write, "hit soft 12-16 vs A," but then I realized that soft 15 is the smallest five-card soft hand (AAAAA.)



Of course! D'oh!
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
Joined: Oct 10, 2012
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May 25th, 2017 at 10:58:25 AM permalink
Is $10 the max bet or was that just an example?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
DapperDanMan
DapperDanMan
Joined: Sep 8, 2015
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May 25th, 2017 at 11:27:26 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Is $10 the max bet or was that just an example?



$50 max bonus per hand. (You can bet more than $25 per hand if you wish, but that would be diminishing EV whilst this promo is on.)
Romes
Romes
Joined: Jul 22, 2014
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May 25th, 2017 at 12:01:36 PM permalink
Quote: DapperDanMan

$50 max bonus per hand. (You can bet more than $25 per hand if you wish, but that would be diminishing EV whilst this promo is on.)

Ouch, $25 max bet... Well, there goes that ship.

Even if you're getting 100 hands per hour, $25 max bet, 2% player edge (as suggested previously)... Let's say you played for 20 hours in the 1 weekend:

EV(20 hours) = (2000*25)*(.02) = $1,000
SD(20 hours) = $1,285... 2SD = $2,571

So with 95% certainty, assuming you get 100 hands per hour for 20 hours, you'll expect $50/hour for a total profit of $1,000 +/- $2,571. I mean, if you're a red chipper then hey this isn't too bad at all ($50/hour), but for trying to make serious money looks like a dud.
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
Joined: Oct 10, 2012
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May 27th, 2017 at 12:57:23 PM permalink
Quote: Romes

Ouch, $25 max bet... Well, there goes that ship.

Even if you're getting 100 hands per hour, $25 max bet, 2% player edge (as suggested previously)... Let's say you played for 20 hours in the 1 weekend:

EV(20 hours) = (2000*25)*(.02) = $1,000
SD(20 hours) = $1,285... 2SD = $2,571

So with 95% certainty, assuming you get 100 hands per hour for 20 hours, you'll expect $50/hour for a total profit of $1,000 +/- $2,571. I mean, if you're a red chipper then hey this isn't too bad at all ($50/hour), but for trying to make serious money looks like a dud.

It's not bad If it's right there in your back yard.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
fearlessdragon
fearlessdragon
Joined: Apr 13, 2017
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May 30th, 2017 at 12:41:08 PM permalink
Can you plz share where's this casino located if you don't mind?

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