Mdawgs Investments

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January 21st, 2022 at 9:18:44 AM permalink

Market always recovers. Hold those long terms do not sell! In meantime, there are some great trades coming up daily.

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/

MDawg

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January 21st, 2022 at 9:19:55 AM permalink

NFLX did recover off its lows.

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/

TDVegas

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January 21st, 2022 at 12:10:54 PM permalink

Quote: MDawg
NFLX did recover off its lows.
link to original post

$5 more and it will be at low of day.

Catastrophic drop. Everything getting whacked.

MDawg

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January 21st, 2022 at 12:43:02 PM permalink

AMZN is at or near a 52 week low - I'd say that's a buy.

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/

MDawg

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January 24th, 2022 at 9:15:56 AM permalink

Today should be on or about the end of this rout.

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/

TDVegas

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January 24th, 2022 at 10:50:26 AM permalink

Not so sure. Earnings in tech is usually sell the news.

Utter market rout. It’s trying to recover some but my hunch is it craters toward close….again.

MDawg

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January 24th, 2022 at 3:13:34 PM permalink

Usually in these panics the ones hurt are typically retail investors, and then the big boys swoop in and make money off the weak hands' crushed bones.

Which is why it's silly to sell during a panic, if anything, buy. You might not get the very bottom but once things rebound you'll be happy.

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/

TDVegas

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January 24th, 2022 at 4:55:41 PM permalink

I tend to agree. These days are meant to get retail to sell. The universal comeback in the market today tells me the big boys were buying hand over fist. Ukraine might derail things. Tech needs better earnings. IBM came in strong.

MDawg

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January 27th, 2022 at 11:18:29 AM permalink

AAPL all the way back to flat. Was actually red last night after earnings.

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/

MDawg

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January 27th, 2022 at 1:44:40 PM permalink

I lost track of the day! AAPL just reported. All is well!

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/

TDVegas

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January 27th, 2022 at 5:43:38 PM permalink

Up $8 after hours. Market needs something positive. Hope it holds. It’s my biggest holding, by far.

Tesla got wiped out today. Almost $375 wiped away per share since the day they announced car sales.

Gundy

Gundy

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January 28th, 2022 at 5:49:03 AM permalink

delete

MDawg

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January 28th, 2022 at 6:02:15 AM permalink

AAPL up a few dollars in the pre-.

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/

TDVegas

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January 28th, 2022 at 1:55:07 PM permalink

More than a few. $11 by close. Tesla roared back at the end as well. Very very volatile.

Not sure where we go from here but Apple seems to be a stock that cannot be stopped. Still wish I had those 400 shares from from 2010. I don’t even want to do the math. Jobs illness and subsequent death threw a monkey wrench into my long term thinking about the future of the company and products. Mistake. Well, I will. 400 x 7 x 4.

billryan

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January 28th, 2022 at 3:24:06 PM permalink

Quote: TDVegas
More than a few. $11 by close. Tesla roared back at the end as well. Very very volatile.

Not sure where we go from here but Apple seems to be a stock that cannot be stopped. Still wish I had those 400 shares from from 2010. I don’t even want to do the math. Jobs illness and subsequent death threw a monkey wrench into my long term thinking about the future of the company and products. Mistake. Well, I will. 400 x 7 x 4.
link to original post

Don't look back.
You didn't sell too early, and you didn't sell too late. You sold at precisely the time you intended to.

The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.

TDVegas

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January 28th, 2022 at 6:52:46 PM permalink

Quote: billryan
Quote: TDVegas
More than a few. $11 by close. Tesla roared back at the end as well. Very very volatile.

Not sure where we go from here but Apple seems to be a stock that cannot be stopped. Still wish I had those 400 shares from from 2010. I don’t even want to do the math. Jobs illness and subsequent death threw a monkey wrench into my long term thinking about the future of the company and products. Mistake. Well, I will. 400 x 7 x 4.
link to original post

Don't look back.
You didn't sell too early, and you didn't sell too late. You sold at precisely the time you intended to.
link to original post

I’m sure everyone has their what ifs. I’m not alone. Those who sold Bitcoin at $1,500. Those who sold TSLA at $60.

I don’t think I would have held onto all 11,200 shares as it would have been enormously stressful to have an investment portfolio basically weighted 95% on one stock….but it was certainly a lottery type stock for me. If I held all of it.

billryan

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January 28th, 2022 at 7:30:58 PM permalink

I sold half of my Tesla stock at 50, and half of what was left at $100. I had set a sell price and was happy with the sales.
No Regerts!!!!!

The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.

vegas

vegas

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January 29th, 2022 at 4:36:21 AM permalink

My worst trade ever. I bought Surge Energy 2000 shares at 0.99 for a cost of 1,980.00. I held them and watched oil go down and down and finally gave up on them. I sold them on Oct 19, 2020 at a huge loss to use for my taxes at just 0.19 for 380.00. A loss of 1,600 dollars. Then of course oil took off and today just 15 months later they are at 6.27. If I sold today it would be worth 12,540,00. Not as bad as something like Bitcoin but that trade stays with me as my worse ever.

50-50-90 Rule: Anytime you have a 50-50 chance of getting something right, there is a 90% probability you'll get it wrong

MDawg

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January 29th, 2022 at 7:39:10 AM permalink

I've held AAPL continuously since about fifteen years ago. After I held it through what I recall as a near fifty percent drop in 2008, nothing that happened after that seemed to matter.

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/

darkoz

darkoz

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January 29th, 2022 at 7:48:36 AM permalink

You guys all know my story!

For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee

TDVegas

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February 3rd, 2022 at 1:31:13 PM permalink

Tough markets.

Facebook utterly slammed. Down 26% on the day. That’s penny stock moves, not tech titan.

Woe to those holding it. It’s lost about 40% in a few short months. Nothing to sneeze at.

The saving grace is AMZN. Probably saved the entire market for Friday. Up $450 after hours on earnings.

Huge moves, up and down.

MDawg

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February 11th, 2022 at 4:06:53 AM permalink

Couple days of red in the markets...might reverse by day's end though,

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/

MDawg

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February 19th, 2022 at 9:32:28 AM permalink

Let's see how the Ukraine situation shakes out with reference to the markets.

But, as I've said before, an atom bomb could go off in a major U.S. city on Thursday, and the markets might recover by Tuesday. Bull market seems unstoppable.

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/

SOOPOO

SOOPOO

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February 19th, 2022 at 6:48:30 PM permalink

Quote: MDawg
Let's see how the Ukraine situation shakes out with reference to the markets.

But, as I've said before, an atom bomb could go off in a major U.S. city on Thursday, and the markets might recover by Tuesday. Bull market seems unstoppable.
link to original post

I don’t feel like we are in a bull market anymore. Down around 5-10% over last 3-4 months. Without getting too political, I am hoping this all changes next November. I did something I rarely do…. I sold around 1/3 to 1/2 of all my holdings with ties to Russia. Maybe can see their stocks being ‘frozen’ or something like the administration did to certain China stocks.

MDawg

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February 20th, 2022 at 5:25:00 AM permalink

Don’t worry the bull market is still in play. It won’t end when people expect it to end, rather possibly when no one expects it to end.

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/

TDVegas

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February 23rd, 2022 at 12:06:36 PM permalink

Market rout.

Tesla $772 from $1,200 in 6 weeks.
FB $380 to $199

Even MSFT. $348 to $280.

Crushing everything in the path.

I see no let up until we get some stability in Eastern Europe. Sell now and ask questions later seems to be the operative word.

MDawg

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February 24th, 2022 at 11:42:09 AM permalink

The Nasdaq at least today seems to be shrugging off the Russia-Ukraine events.

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/

TDVegas

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February 24th, 2022 at 1:18:37 PM permalink

Very strange. I expected a -$1,000 Dow drop. Never expected the Nasdaq to soar.

Impossible to predict. Sell the rumor, buy the reality seems to have come true on Ukraine.

Tomorrow is another day. Shall see.

Hullabaloo

Hullabaloo

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February 24th, 2022 at 3:06:50 PM permalink

As I recall the Ruble dropped to the lowest it has ever been and Russia is now facing a 15% increase for financing.
Along with that of course is a whole lot of other sanctions.

I too thought it was going to be a horrible day in the market and it started out that way but I was very surprised when it closed. We shall see what tomorrow brings. My guess is people/traders/brokers are thinking the war isn't going to impact much more than where it is.

MDawg

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February 25th, 2022 at 8:30:33 AM permalink

Market was oversold. If the Ukraine conflict drags on, yes, it could result in another downward drift, but this is just the way the market works as long as there are BUYERS out there, which there are a lot.

The morning after the Brexit vote went the wrong way in 2016, the market opened in the red to the extreme, but I and many others bought it up and profited that same day via trading. I was busy yesterday so I didn't get a chance to trade but it would have been obvious to anyone skilled in the market that it was a day to buy not sell.

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/

TDVegas

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February 25th, 2022 at 12:32:56 PM permalink

Up almost 800 on the Dow. Strange. Just shows you impossible to even remotely predict movement.

billryan

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February 25th, 2022 at 1:38:44 PM permalink

It's pretty simple to predict the long-term movements. As for the short-term movements, who cares. Trying to time the market is a game for fools.

The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.

AlanMendelson

AlanMendelson

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February 25th, 2022 at 11:50:47 PM permalink

I'm surprised that before a weekend, with a war in progress, the Dow would soar 834 points. Is it a bull trap?

OnceDear

OnceDear

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February 26th, 2022 at 2:51:09 AM permalink

Quote: AlanMendelson
I'm surprised that before a weekend, with a war in progress, the Dow would soar 834 points. Is it a bull trap?
link to original post

The old adage is "Buy on the sound of gunfire: Sell on the sound of trumpets". But this was a remarkable comeback by any stretch of the imagination. The 3% or so drop on the invasion was expected to repeat a few times, but it instantly reversed, completely without the trumpets.
The markets are just so sanguine. It will probably go down a few percent when the first nuke goes off and rebound on the second, in the knowledge that wars historically ended after the second nuke!

Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.

MDawg

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February 26th, 2022 at 3:15:12 AM permalink

Market timing would be something like...deciding to own AAPL full time and trying to fade in and out of ownership of it timed to its ups and downs. That is futile, and has bad tax consequences.

However, TRADING isn't exactly the same thing, and some people do that quite successfully consistently.

Quote: OnceDear
But this was a remarkable comeback by any stretch of the imagination.
link to original post

Yes, that's what I said (predicted) a week ago.

Quote: MDawg
Let's see how the Ukraine situation shakes out with reference to the markets.

But, as I've said before, an atom bomb could go off in a major U.S. city on Thursday, and the markets might recover by Tuesday. Bull market seems unstoppable.
link to original post

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/

AlanMendelson

AlanMendelson

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February 26th, 2022 at 3:32:17 AM permalink

Mdawg in World War 2 the war with Japan ended with only two nukes... because there were only 2 nukes.

billryan

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February 26th, 2022 at 8:04:51 AM permalink

Quote: AlanMendelson
Mdawg in World War 2 the war with Japan ended with only two nukes... because there were only 2 nukes.
link to original post

The Japanese didn't know that.

The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.

billryan

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Thanked by

February 26th, 2022 at 8:05:22 AM permalink

Quote: AlanMendelson
Mdawg in World War 2 the war with Japan ended with only two nukes... because there were only 2 nukes.
link to original post

The Japanese didn't know that.

The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.

AlanMendelson

AlanMendelson

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February 26th, 2022 at 2:24:22 PM permalink

Quote: billryan
Quote: AlanMendelson
Mdawg in World War 2 the war with Japan ended with only two nukes... because there were only 2 nukes.
link to original post

The Japanese didn't know that.
link to original post

And it's a good thing they didnt. The other option was the full invasion.

MDawg

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March 8th, 2022 at 8:14:28 AM permalink

Bot AMZN 2690 - went lower than that, but it's above 2700 again now.

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/

billryan

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March 8th, 2022 at 8:49:16 AM permalink

Quote: AlanMendelson
Quote: billryan
Quote: AlanMendelson
Mdawg in World War 2 the war with Japan ended with only two nukes... because there were only 2 nukes.
link to original post

The Japanese didn't know that.
link to original post

And it's a good thing they didnt. The other option was the full invasion.
link to original post

Was it really? Japan had almost no navy and it's air force was in tatters. Most of it's troops were in China or isolated on islands in the Pacific with no way of getting back to the Japanese homeland. An American/English naval blockade would have it on the verge of starvation in weeks and our planes could have bombed their cities and factories back to the stone age. Many buildings in Japan were at least partially made from paper and burned in a matter of minutes. Before WW2, paper and wood were the main materials people used to build. In the 1960s, it was rare to see such buildings in the city as very few survived.

The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.

MDawg

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March 11th, 2022 at 8:18:44 AM permalink

Quote: MDawg
Bot AMZN 2690 - went lower than that, but it's above 2700 again now.
link to original post

Definitely a good one, still holding those additional trading shares, plus of course my very long term AMZN shares.

Timing is everything!
Amazon announces 20-for-1 stock split, $10 billion buyback

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/

TDVegas

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March 11th, 2022 at 1:36:31 PM permalink

If someone’s portfolio tilts toward tech, they’ve encountered horrific paper losses since January 1 or the past 5-6 months. If you own Facebook, you are staring at a 52% loss from the ATH. Even stable stocks like MSFT are down 20%. Amazon from $3,800 to $2,900. TSLA from $1,200 to $800. Apple from $180 to $153.

In some situations, it will likely take years to recoup those paper losses. I don’t believe the market can be timed. That said, if you’ve been on the sideline these past few weeks, kudos.

MDawg

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March 12th, 2022 at 7:06:45 AM permalink

My long terms have gone down lately just like everyone else's but I was able to do some trades for additional shares during this same period, quite successfully, although I have been too busy to trade much.

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/

MDawg

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March 14th, 2022 at 12:23:01 PM permalink

Stock market definitely stalling of late, but when it gets going again it will g-g-g-o do not worry!

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/

Ace2

Ace2

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March 14th, 2022 at 1:13:49 PM permalink

Quote: MDawg
Stock market definitely stalling of late, but when it gets going again it will g-g-g-o do not worry!
link to original post

Yep, just like the real estate market. It's gonna keep going up 30% per year forever!!! This is definitely not a bubble...this time it's different. Normal valuation measures do not apply to this market.

Sound familiar?

It’s all about making that GTA

TDVegas