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darkoz
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July 8th, 2021 at 6:55:05 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Well, you could answer DRich's question because you have analyzed the stock more than I have.

I do know that the last time it dropped below 2 or almost to 2 it rocketed back up, but this is like an almost triple bottom this year for the stock...no? I mean AMZN hit the 3100s two or three times this year and look at where it is now (around 3700), but then again, that's AMZN, which seems to just go up over time no matter what.



Fair enough.

The science is still sound.

Besides being granted patent status, some of the doctors on the staff just got their peer reviewer papers on Leronlimab and it's mechanism of action published in the NEJM. I understand the NEJM has limited space so your paper must not only be verified by independent peers but also be relevant and discuss something unique.

Meanwhile short interest in Cytodyn is apparently the highest of any stock. Can't find the source now but they compared stocks and Cytodyn had nearly twice as much short at the next highest stock. About 37 million shares are short in Cytodyn.

I know you don't believe short sellers tactics has an affect on share price but there are enough articles out there that say otherwise.
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MDawg
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July 8th, 2021 at 7:10:03 PM permalink
What we discussed was that short selling is eventually followed by buying to cover and the two will more or less cancel each other out. In the long term mere short selling alone will not affect a stock's price.
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Wizard
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July 8th, 2021 at 7:47:00 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz

MDAWG adventures. Permanently hidden!



Trolling/hijacking. Three-day suspension.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
MDawg
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July 9th, 2021 at 7:07:04 AM permalink
My over all account ended in the green yesterday, again mostly due to AMZN, but TSLA also ended green. It is over all green again at the moment.

AMZN was green a minute ago, now red. Volatile!

DOW stocks did take a hit yesterday, but are already recovering today.
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MDawg
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July 10th, 2021 at 9:11:10 AM permalink
The dip/sell off was only Thursday, and Friday the market rebounded completely. Beware - typically when recovery comes that fast there is a second, more violent dip.
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MDawg
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July 15th, 2021 at 8:13:16 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

So you are saying that this would be a good time to average down and buy more? Lol

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cytodyn-granted-significant-patent-uspto-100000667.html


Quote: MDawg

(lol) no. I know you didn't think that I meant that.

CYDY actually just hit a new 52 week low of 1.40 or some such.

Anyway, in general, while it may seem counterintuitive, buying on the way up is sometimes safer than on the way down. A given stock might be headed for a breakout.

That old line, "Liked it at 10, love it at 5" is sometimes best left for gravelly accented East Coast cold call brokers. Boiler rooms.


Crikey!

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SOOPOO
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July 16th, 2021 at 4:55:17 AM permalink
Quote: darkoz



I make so much at AP, this investment is just a drop in the bucket



That very well may be true, but it is irrelevant to the discussion of the individual stock, CYDY. And you bought it to go up, not down. I do not think you made a mistake buying it. I do think you made a mistake not selling halfish when it doubled from your initial investment. Especially since this was basically your first foray into a risky individual stock.
MDawg
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July 16th, 2021 at 10:53:58 AM permalink
Over the past year the S&P 500 has gained 37.20% while CytoDyn Inc (CYDY) stock is down -71.75% over the last 12 months.
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MDawg
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July 16th, 2021 at 10:56:07 AM permalink
I try to avoid stock trading AMZN when it is in this area. Would be easy to get caught in a violent drop – and, it is down about -150 from its all time high. My long term AMZN is way up there from its basis – just hodl.

TSLA is probably a better trading stock right now, among the ones I trade regularly. Which I also have long term TSLA too, I just trade additional shares on top of what I hodl.
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MDawg
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July 16th, 2021 at 11:36:27 AM permalink
Many stocks have been discussed in this thread, including ones I have decided to buy into and ones I have declined to buy into. Why take it personally?
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MDawg
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July 16th, 2021 at 11:49:40 AM permalink
Speaking of AP, my wife was asking me if it’s easier for me to make money in the stock market trading stocks or at the casino tables. Given, that I trade stocks that keep hitting ATHs and my 100% success rate, I’d have to say – stock trading, BUT when the deng is flowing at the tables, that’s hard to beat.
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darkoz
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July 16th, 2021 at 12:10:55 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Speaking of AP, my wife was asking me if it’s easier for me to make money in the stock market trading stocks or at the casino tables. Given, that I trade stocks that keep hitting ATHs and my 100% success rate, I’d have to say – stock trading, BUT when the deng is flowing at the tables, that’s hard to beat.



Well I currently have a 0% loss on the stock market.

Unless you don't understand that I don't suffer a loss until I sell or the company goes bankrupt
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MDawg
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July 16th, 2021 at 12:11:24 PM permalink
Saying that there is a better way to do things. Surely you've heard of that Wall Street saying - which means, don't be greedy. You had a triple more than once, correct? One of the most famous expressions on Wall Street.

https://www.fool.com/investing/stock-market/basics/pigs-get-slaughtered/

Learn from the past, do things differently next time.
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darkoz
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July 16th, 2021 at 12:14:21 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg



Learn from the past, do things differently next time.



I learned that when I was toilet trained
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MDawg
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July 26th, 2021 at 2:30:44 PM permalink
AMZN pushing 3700 again (reports 7/29/2021). TSLA having a resurgence back towards 700.

BTC heading back up some too. Patience lads, 100K eventually.
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darkoz
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July 26th, 2021 at 3:21:57 PM permalink
Deleted
Last edited by: darkoz on Jul 26, 2021
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SOOPOO
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July 26th, 2021 at 3:29:44 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz

https://emerginggrowth.com/cytodyn-prepares-compelling-argument-for-breakthrough-therapy-designation/



Dark…. Can I suggest you move your CYDY discussion to my stock thread(WoV portfolio)? MDawg got suspended for discussing CYDY here.

MDawg…. Welcome back. Please don’t respond to CYDY stuff. You have made it clear why you don’t dabble in such stocks, and over the past few decades have done quite well with the ‘biggies’. FB, AMZN, GOOG…. all rising…. I hope you are right about TSLA. I still have 20 shares at around 685 with a sell order of 705…..
darkoz
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July 26th, 2021 at 3:42:13 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Dark…. Can I suggest you move your CYDY discussion to my stock thread(WoV portfolio)? MDawg got suspended for discussing CYDY here.

MDawg…. Welcome back. Please don’t respond to CYDY stuff. You have made it clear why you don’t dabble in such stocks, and over the past few decades have done quite well with the ‘biggies’. FB, AMZN, GOOG…. all rising…. I hope you are right about TSLA. I still have 20 shares at around 685 with a sell order of 705…..



Yes I suppose that's a good point. Will do!
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
MDawg
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July 27th, 2021 at 9:24:15 AM permalink
Lot of red in the market today. But with sell offs for no real reason, come real opportunity.

AMZN 3602 to 3604.

AMZN 3593 to 3600.

500 share lots. I should've just gone 1000 share lots but I was reserving in case I needed to average in once or twice. Wasn't needed.

You need the extreme buying power to profit in these situations, but the opportunity is there. AMZN is not going to stay down -100 for long.
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MDawg
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July 27th, 2021 at 10:23:24 AM permalink
I started talking about timepieces as investments in another thread.

Two of the best investments out there are: Rolex Cosmographs / Daytonas, especially the stainless steel models. If you can get your hands on even a modern day stainless steel model at full retail, especially with a cerachrom bezel, you may sell it immediately for more. And as far as the older stainless steel Cosmograph models, forgetaboutit! these are going through the roof and increasing in value steadily. I have a few of the older Cosmographs, and mine are not even what is known as "Paul Newmans" (with the special dial):

and the ones I have are worth exponentially more than what I paid for them a couple decades ago.

What's amazing is that Rolex couldn't give away these manual wind Cosmographs once the automatic Daytonas came out, but today the older ones are in extreme demand from collectors.

The second good investment is any platinum Patek model. Patek doesn't have platinum watches available all the time, and puts them out in limited numbers. As well, currently, the stainless steel Nautilus is in demand too and selling over retail.
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MDawg
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July 27th, 2021 at 10:40:10 AM permalink
AMZN 3588 to 3598.

Hit a double bottom there, but, it was still good.
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MDawg
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July 28th, 2021 at 3:30:58 PM permalink
AMZN held its own today - earnings tomorrow! after the bell.
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ChallengedMilly
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July 28th, 2021 at 5:53:37 PM permalink
So MDawg what did you think of the reddit wallstreet bets guys and other reddit stock subs?
MDawg
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July 29th, 2021 at 9:50:41 AM permalink
The Reddit guys, etc.? Their ringleader if he got in before the others - well, that's pump and dump manipulation, but over all, this sort of thing has been going on since the beginning of the stock market, with groups deciding to buy into a certain stock and then selling after the general public boosts the price further. But in the Reddit case it wasn't so much small groups but the general public itself that was boosting the price - I mean those Reddit groups were large!

Getting back to AMZN, be aware - the action today has nothing to do with the action after the bell! Stocks like AMZN typically sell off on earnings day as the risk adverse dump. Anything could happen after the bell.

TSLA getting a nice pop on good news.
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MDawg
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July 29th, 2021 at 1:13:10 PM permalink
AMZN beat on earnings, missed on revenue, poor Q3 guidance, way down in the AH. So far.
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SOOPOO
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July 29th, 2021 at 3:04:35 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

AMZN beat on earnings, missed on revenue, poor Q3 guidance, way down in the AH. So far.



Of course Wayfair and Etsy down ‘in sympathy’ whatever that means! I expect all red tomorrow. Hope I’m wrong!
TDVegas
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July 29th, 2021 at 6:34:43 PM permalink
Tech will get beat up tomorrow. My FB already took a beating today. Not a good week.

Holding thru tech earnings…I’ve come to the conclusion that the risk reward isn’t worth it. High risk, as in Amazon getting trounced (down $270 now) with very little chance for huge upside gains.

Big downside is always a possibility…big upside seems rare. Seems the best play is sell the day before and buy the same shares back next day. After 4 earnings reports…my guess is you’re sitting on healthy cash gains by end of year. Even if you miss upside on 1 or 2 quarters…seems you make it up plus a lot more on the 2-3 downsides.

FB, Apple handily beat the estimates. It seems guidance trumps all.
MDawg
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July 29th, 2021 at 8:58:06 PM permalink
If I'm stuck in an AMZN trade, which I haven't been in a while, then I look very closely at earnings day or the runup to earnings day to get me out of the trade profitably, but as far as my very long term AMZN I'm glad I just held it through good and bad earnings days. Same with my very long term NFLX, glad I have held it now continuously for over a decade even though it has been going sideways lately. In other words, market timing doesn't work.

Google too I remember years ago selling minutes before the bell some options (calls) I had bought and feeling grateful when Google missed and dropped the next day, but over time Google has gone up massively, and I'm glad I eventually bot actual shares and just hodled.

Yes it's true, for some stocks there are years when you would have been better off trading, and other years when you would have been better off just holding, but for a stock like AMZN, over all, you are definitely better off just holding it very long term.
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MDawg
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July 30th, 2021 at 11:00:04 AM permalink
AMZN not really doing much other than -250 today, but TSLA is actually green again.
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MDawg
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August 2nd, 2021 at 10:01:52 AM permalink
AMZN still struggling but at least it is green again at the moment.

TSLA green something like four sessions in a row now! Back over 700. Ya' like, SooPoo?
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SOOPOO
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August 2nd, 2021 at 1:03:14 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

AMZN still struggling but at least it is green again at the moment.

TSLA green something like four sessions in a row now! Back over 700. Ya' like, SooPoo?



I had some ‘trading’ shares of TSLA…. I honestly don’t remember exactly what I bought them at ($688?) and finally sold at $706!

I think I was up $$$$$ at 11am but finished down $$$$ at market close….. oh well…..
MDawg
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August 2nd, 2021 at 3:16:51 PM permalink
Nice! job. You know, when you have waited THAT long given that it made it back to 700, you should have sold higher than 706. The theory in general is that if it has made it all the way back to a certain price that is much higher than from where it had dropped, that it will break through that certain price and go even higher.

This theory isn't always valid though. For example, CYDY, looks like it plummeted and returned to 5-7 at least three times but did not go any higher. Now, if it goes back to 5-7 yet another time will it break through to higher? The theory says - YES, but let's wait and see.
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OnceDear
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August 6th, 2021 at 6:29:27 AM permalink
Since this thread had become embroiled in discussion about CytoDyn, Which MDawg doesn't own but seems to care deeply about, I've split the thread.
If you guys want to butt heads on the merit of CytoDyn as an investment, knock yourselves out at #
It's not a perfect split, but...
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/off-topic/36269-investing-in-cytodyn/

If I see discussion of Cytodyn in the MDawg investing thread, I will deem that hijacking or trolling
Similarly if anyone tries to make the new thread about MDawg's investments.

I'm considering hiding the new thread.
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
Mission146
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August 6th, 2021 at 6:36:27 AM permalink
Don't hide it! That satire took me twenty minutes!
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
OnceDear
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Mission146
August 6th, 2021 at 6:40:57 AM permalink
Quote: Mission146

Don't hide it! That satire took me twenty minutes!

Wrong thread.... I liked the satire. Was it trolling? I don't think so.
I dread to think how many suspensions your next satirical work will precipitate.
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
MDawg
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August 6th, 2021 at 10:09:12 AM permalink
OnceDear, what's done is done but as a licensed financial advisor or even forget about that, as an investor period - I don't see why anyone would expect me to do other than talk about investments I own, investments that I consider owning and investments I would not want to own. All I would do in a professional context as far as advice is disclose whether I own shares myself.

I think it was overkill to move the CYDY discussion to its own new thread, and that you even mentioned considering hiding the new thread implies that the motive is simply to once again hide any thread that draws too much attention or is controversial. What is that about? Plus, I can't control that people start talking about something that pops up in my thread - every time you hide one of my threads it is over back and forth controversy between others, generally not even involving me. I made ONE post about CYDY yesterday all the rest since was commentary by others.
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MDawg
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August 6th, 2021 at 10:14:25 AM permalink
U.S. Employers added 943K jobs (865K expected), and unemployment dropped to 54.% (5.7% expected), but the Nasdaq is still selling off including AMZN's giving back most of its gains from the past couple days.
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OnceDear
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August 6th, 2021 at 10:51:09 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

OnceDear, what's done is done but as a licensed financial advisor or even forget about that, as an investor period - I don't see why anyone would expect me to do other than talk about investments I own, investments that I consider owning and investments I would not want to own. All I would do in a professional context as far as advice is disclose whether I own shares myself.

I think it was overkill to move the CYDY discussion to its own new thread, and that you even mentioned considering hiding the new thread implies that the motive is simply to once again hide any thread that draws too much attention or is controversial. What is that about? Plus, I can't control that people start talking about something that pops up in my thread - every time you hide one of my threads it is over back and forth controversy between others, generally not even involving me. I made ONE post about CYDY yesterday all the rest since was commentary by others.

So, we 'expect you to talk about' everything you do and everything you don't do: Everything you own and everything you don't own. That's a heck of a broad remit to encapsulate in a thread you deem to be yours. Please leave a bit of internet for the rest of us.

IANAL, but...
I don't believe that this site is any kind of licenced financial advisor site. I expect there would need to be some sort of legal indemnity for you to operate here as one. On this forum, you are not acting in any capacity as a licenced advisor. You are an anonymous member with no more than that level of endorsement, authority or credibility.

I doubt the forum owners would want your advice being misrepresented as endorsed professional financial advice.

This thread is chit-chat about MDawg's investments, of which Cytodyn is absolutely not one. Makes it as off topic as can be. That others followed up the change of topic only persuaded me further that it deserved its own thread.

You quite clearly, frequently, mention Cytodyn's down swings to snipe at, or show your superiority to DarkOz. There's a word for that. You also invited the new direction / hijack. Now this thread can continue to be all about your incredible investing prowess.

I've split the thread. It's done! You can still contribute to the other branch in the context of that thread.

If you wish to challenge my decision, there's a whole team of moderators that you can complain to.
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
MDawg
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August 6th, 2021 at 10:57:16 AM permalink
Don't get too excited, this is a banal investments thread. In any case, I guess yet another thread of mine just made the top tier! thanks to you.
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OnceDear
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August 6th, 2021 at 11:00:25 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Don't get too excited, this is a banal investments thread. In any case, I guess yet another thread of mine just made the top tier! thanks to you.

You have no threads of yours. Oh. I see you were nominally thread starter. That can be fixed.
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
MDawg
MDawg
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August 6th, 2021 at 11:05:54 AM permalink
Gets back to motive! and makes my point for me again....

Will all great Neptune's ocean wash this blood clean from my hand? No, this my hand will rather the multitudinous seas incarnadine, making the green one red.


Anyway, I advise against penny stocks in general. Especially biotech ones, they are little more than lotteries. I advise more, industry leaders, like AMZN, TSLA, GOOGL, AAPL, NFLX, CMG, etc. and old school blue chips including BAC, etc. and anyone who chose to jump into any of these stocks since I started mentioning them would have done very very well. I do own shares in all of the above, among many others.

Same reason that I advise BTC over the alt coins. BTC is the industry leader. I do own a number of the other top alt coins that have been around since close to the beginning, but almost all of my crypto hodlings are in BTC.

I do also monitor dozens of other stocks not just the ones I own, sometimes just to get a feel for the market, other times because I am considering buying them either for a trade, or long term. I believe BillRyan correctly mentioned that most investors do this.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
darkoz
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August 6th, 2021 at 11:54:52 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Gets back to motive! and makes my point for me again....

Will all great Neptune's ocean wash this blood clean from my hand? No, this my hand will rather the multitudinous seas incarnadine, making the green one red.


Anyway, I advise against penny stocks in general. Especially biotech ones, they are little more than lotteries. I advise more, industry leaders, like AMZN, TSLA, GOOGL, AAPL, NFLX, CMG, etc. and old school blue chips including BAC, etc. and anyone who chose to jump into any of these stocks since I started mentioning them would have done very very well. I do own shares in all of the above, among many others.

Same reason that I advise BTC over the alt coins. BTC is the industry leader. I do own a number of the other top alt coins that have been around since close to the beginning, but almost all of my crypto hodlings are in BTC.

I do also monitor dozens of other stocks not just the ones I own, sometimes just to get a feel for the market, other times because I am considering buying them either for a trade, or long term. I believe BillRyan correctly mentioned that most investors do this.



Then please post the other ones you follow whenever they go down in price.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
MDawg
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August 6th, 2021 at 12:14:06 PM permalink
I just posted today about how AMZN gave back its gains over the past few days. And I posted about how it dropped -250 last week. And that is a stock into which I am heavily invested.

In context though I am way up on AMZN over the years. Between investing in it and trading it that stock has made many millions for me.

I actually wish you the best that your stock you have chosen goes up too. However for whatever reason OnceDear has decided that I am not allowed to mention, here, again, why I think that stock you chose is not a good investment. He even seems to want to hide the new thread where others have suggested that that stock might not be a good investment.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
OnceDear
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darkoz
August 6th, 2021 at 12:16:43 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Then please post the other ones you follow whenever they go down in price.

I don't think he needs to. As MDawg Said "Gets back to motive!"

I assert that his motive in singling out Cytodyn was totally about engaging YOU and others that might buy such a penny stock.
Some might call that 'trolling' you.
Others might say he was giving a general warning about penny shares and you just gave him a good example.
Yet others might suggest he just wanted to post about his own superiority as a GREAT investor.

You have little to gain engaging him on any of this.
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
billryan
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August 6th, 2021 at 1:18:53 PM permalink
MDawg was letting the forum know the DOs favorite stock was having a big sale. If you still have faith in it, this is a buying opportunity. Tomorrow is only a day away.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
darkoz
darkoz
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August 6th, 2021 at 1:55:21 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

MDawg was letting the forum know the DOs favorite stock was having a big sale. If you still have faith in it, this is a buying opportunity. Tomorrow is only a day away.



Quote: OnceDear



If I see discussion of Cytodyn in the MDawg investing thread, I will deem that hijacking or trolling

For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
OnceDear
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August 6th, 2021 at 2:57:14 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz

No penalty for this.
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
MDawg
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August 8th, 2021 at 3:03:59 AM permalink
BTC pushing 45K again.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
OnceDear
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August 8th, 2021 at 3:57:45 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

BTC pushing 45K again.

Phew! It has a long way to go to restore confidence fully, and some say this is just the shoulder to a head and shoulders pattern. I doubt that.

I dumped a tranche at the recent low point. I'm not going to compound that error by buying back at this high point $:o)

Hodl , I think,,,, Yes I'll sit on my hands.

How many millions did MDawg's BTC holding nominal valuation swing down and up by, I wonder, while he was making his pocket change at the tables. $millions?

But of course, if he didn't trade any, he neither lost nor won on his BTC, unlike this sucker. (Me)

And MDawg, you never said.... Just as amazon was recently falling like a rock, were you buying trading shares on the dip and doubling in like you always advocate? It would seem unusual if you weren't aggressively buying the dip.

Or don't you want to fess up at getting your fingers burned a bit on those trading shares? (Ignoring your still profitable Long term holdings of course.)
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
MDawg
MDawg
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August 8th, 2021 at 9:59:24 AM permalink
Earnings plays - buying trading shares of a stock in anticipation of earnings on earnings day, has never been my thing. AMZN dropped a lot the night of earnings and did recover some the day after, only to drop again by the close. Last week it did recover for some days, only to return on Friday pretty much to where it was the day after earnings.

I have done a few AMZN trades (not posted) but haven't actually have not traded a lot lately.

As far as BTC if you sold at the bottom, a lot more people than you would think do that - they hold on, hold on, hold on, to an investment as it drops, and then sell at the bottom, only to look back later and realize that they sold at the bottom. In general, when a stock, commodity, whatever, falls THAT FAR, THAT FAST, it is bound to recover. Of course when one is in the middle of it, it's harder to see it that way, and the tendency is to cut the losses before it drops even more, but the way it is supposed to be done if one is going to sell on the way down, is to sell quickly, not wait until it has dropped a ton, and then sell.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
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