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Gamblor
Gamblor
Joined: Mar 13, 2014
  • Threads: 1
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March 17th, 2014 at 9:36:50 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

Gamblor's sanity was questioned even before Gamblor began referring to himself in the third person as the authority for Gamblor's contention. Killing the thread would be a mercy, but so far hasn't quite fit the Wizard's definition of trolling. Please do continue, then, if you would like to find that line.



Wow. Sending in the big guns to make threats against the mathematicians fallacy. Even name dropping.
The inability to see that math does not equal reality, and threats to shut down any suggestion it be true,
Are signs of a severe case of mathematicians fallacy.
FinsRule
FinsRule
Joined: Dec 23, 2009
  • Threads: 123
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March 17th, 2014 at 9:43:22 PM permalink
Past events have no affect on bankroll, but future events have a 100% affect.
rdw4potus
rdw4potus
Joined: Mar 11, 2010
  • Threads: 80
  • Posts: 7237
March 17th, 2014 at 9:50:21 PM permalink
So, the mathematicians fallacy is pretty high on the list of silly things that have happened on this site. Others include:

Varmenti
Ahigh
Logan/singer
Mrjjj
Statman
98steps

I think this is more silly than 98steps and the ahigh threads, but maybe currently is less silly than the Statman, logan/singer, Varmenti, and Mrjjj threads. That said, we're pretty closely approaching the logan level, and the Mrjjj threshold isn't far beyond that.
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
Gamblor
Gamblor
Joined: Mar 13, 2014
  • Threads: 1
  • Posts: 93
March 17th, 2014 at 9:52:16 PM permalink
Quote: FinsRule

Past events have no affect on bankroll, but future events have a 100% affect.



False. Past events have made my bankroll grow. Mathmaticians fallacy. If past events have no effect on bankroll I wouldn't have even been gambling.
Even if that were true, in a "memoryless" system, I would continually be at zero, no past no future, because the next hand my past is erased and I'm back at zero.
rdw4potus
rdw4potus
Joined: Mar 11, 2010
  • Threads: 80
  • Posts: 7237
March 17th, 2014 at 9:55:33 PM permalink
Quote: Gamblor


Even if that were true, in a "memoryless" system, I would continually be at zero, no past no future.



Why no future? What do you think memory has to do with the future? Are you capable of remembering the future before it happens? Your definition of "memoryless" must be quite strange and only tangentially related to the definition of memory.
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
Twirdman
Twirdman
Joined: Jun 5, 2013
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  • Posts: 1004
March 17th, 2014 at 9:59:03 PM permalink
Quote: Gamblor

False. Past events have made my bankroll grow. Mathmaticians fallacy. If past events have no effect on bankroll I wouldn't have even been gambling.
Even if that were true, in a "memoryless" system, I would continually be at zero, no past no future.



No at each new bet you start at point zero. So past events very well may have increased your bankroll increasing the amount of bets you would need to have probability P of being broke. That does not mean there is no future. We can make predictions about the future and while they are only probabilistic that does not mean they are not valid.

Again think of the case of coin flips. The odds of flipping 10 heads in a row are 1/1024 but the odds of hitting 10 heads given you've already hit 9 is 1/2 similarly the odds of hitting heads on your 10th flip is 1/2. That means I can make a prediction about a future even saying you will probably not get 10 heads in a row on your next attempt now it is entirely possible you will but the prediction I made is valid.
Beethoven9th
Beethoven9th
Joined: Jul 30, 2012
  • Threads: 75
  • Posts: 5072
March 17th, 2014 at 10:10:21 PM permalink
OP must be playing at Fallsview every day. Right, OP?
Fighting BS one post at a time!
Lemieux66
Lemieux66
Joined: Feb 16, 2014
  • Threads: 24
  • Posts: 1226
March 17th, 2014 at 10:41:52 PM permalink
If Mathematicians Fallacy actually exists, why do casinos make money each and every day? Shouldn't they win half the time and lose half the time?
10 eyes for an eye. 10 teeth for a tooth. 10 bucks for a buck?! Hit the bad guys where it hurts the most: the face and the wallet.
djatc
djatc
Joined: Jan 15, 2013
  • Threads: 83
  • Posts: 4477
March 17th, 2014 at 10:57:09 PM permalink
Math is for nerds, disregard everything that has been mentioned on this site regarding "house edge". Only nerds succumb to "house edge", you're probably better than that. Now go out and make millions!
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
24Bingo
24Bingo
Joined: Jul 4, 2012
  • Threads: 23
  • Posts: 1348
March 17th, 2014 at 11:00:51 PM permalink
Quote: gpac1377

Off-topic, but I'd like to show Vicky Coren my mathematicians fallacy.



The only one who gets to see Vicky Coren's mathematicians fallacy is an angry man with a beard.
The trick to poker is learning not to beat yourself up for your mistakes too much, and certainly not too little, but just the right amount.

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