Keyser
Keyser
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October 7th, 2012 at 9:00:30 AM permalink
I'm sorry, but the recent job report really isn't statistically relevant. It most certainly is the result of some accounting tricks. Claiming that adding 111,000 jobs to the economy is significant, is misleading. It's only going to further irritate the general public.
TheBigPaybak
TheBigPaybak
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October 7th, 2012 at 10:32:45 AM permalink
Quote: Keyser

I'm sorry, but the recent job report really isn't statistically relevant. It most certainly is the result of some accounting tricks. Claiming that adding 111,000 jobs to the economy is significant, is misleading. It's only going to further irritate the general public.



I'd like to think that at this stage of the game, most people see through certain headlines relative to what's going on in the big picture. Unless you start to create jobs at a level of 200 to 300k per month, a recovery as we've traditionally had will never materialize and the risk for a return to recession will always be knocking at the door. Certainly many people feel that the current job growth is acceptable for this reason or that reason- and they're willing to accept this as the "new normal"- and maybe it is considering the hole the country has put itself in. Any maybe it would be acceptable if we weren't doing QE(n) and taking on over a trillion in debt a year. But those items sustainable and I'm just afraid when the music is going to stop...
Lack of prior planning on your part doesn't constitute an emergency on my part.
EvenBob
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October 7th, 2012 at 12:16:03 PM permalink
Quote: Keyser

I'm sorry, but the recent job report really isn't statistically relevant. It most certainly is the result of some accounting tricks. Claiming that adding 111,000 jobs to the economy is significant, is misleading. It's only going to further irritate the general public.



I was reading an article before I went to bed Thursday
about how the same economists who do this every month,
month after month, year after year, were crunching the data
and predicticting the rate to go UP by one point on Friday.
They are uncannily accurate, its their job. But this time they
got it wrong by FOUR POINTS? Sure they did.. LOL!
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
Keyser
Keyser
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October 9th, 2012 at 1:27:01 PM permalink
Pew Research

10/4 - 10/7

1112 LV

3.4

49

45

Romney +4



Gallup Tracking

10/2 - 10/8

2721 LV

2.0

49

47

Romney +2



IBD/TIPP Tracking

10/2 - 10/8

797 LV

3.5

47

45

Romney +2

Romney is also now winning in Ohio, Florida, and Colorado. At this point 320 electoral votes my be to low of a predition for Romney.
EvenBob
EvenBob
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October 9th, 2012 at 1:42:50 PM permalink
Thats fine, but Wolf Blitzer is going to interview Romney
today and he's expected to get to the bottom of all these
lies Romney told at the debate. You know, the ones that,
according to Axlerod, so amazed Obama that he couldn't
even respond to them. Blitzer will have Romney on the
carpet crying like a baby in minutes..
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
rxwine
rxwine
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October 9th, 2012 at 1:54:57 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Thats fine, but Wolf Blitzer is going to interview Romney
today and he's expected to get to the bottom of all these
lies Romney told at the debate. You know, the ones that,
according to Axlerod, so amazed Obama that he couldn't
even respond to them. Blitzer will have Romney on the
carpet crying like a baby in minutes..



I'd give a bunch of money to see someone like Ted Koppel have to substitute for Wolf when Romney shows up. Hell, even Andy Richter would be better.
There's no secret. Just know what you're talking about before you open your mouth.
pacomartin
pacomartin
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October 9th, 2012 at 1:56:34 PM permalink
Quote: Keyser

Is Obama really qualified to be president? Is he qualified to oversee the world's largest economy?

I feel that most of the people that voted for him the first time simply voted based on their emotions, rather than on the facts. I suspect that very few of them took the time to actually check the stats to see whether or not he was qualified for the job.

In hindsight, I believe that many people believe that even Sara Palin was more qualified for the job.



James Buchanan (15th president) had over 34 years of public service before running for president. Similarly Joe Biden had 36 years of service in the Senate. Would you say the "stats" made them qualified for the job?
rdw4potus
rdw4potus
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October 9th, 2012 at 2:00:41 PM permalink
Quote: RonC

there was even one commentator that I heard saying that the President won.



I heard that too, lol!

I watched this debate, which is not something I usually do. It's not something I EVER do (like, since '92, when I was 12), but I did it this time because my mother was with me and that's what she wanted to do. Watching the debate, it's clear that Romney creamed Obama. I still don't think it was a KO - Obama had enough wind left to fight back pretty well in the last 30 minutes - but it was a clear victory for Romney.

Reading the debate (which is what I usually do) is a different story. If you just read the transcript, it's much less clear that Obama was flat and out of sorts. It sort of comes across that he was a little dry, but from the reading you do see that Romney re-told several of the GOP's more popular half-truths while Obama avoided almost all of the left's preferred lies. I could see how if I hadn't seen the debate and if I'd just done' a cold-read of the transcript, I could probably be lead to believe that Obama had been a mild winner. Of course, from reading it also appears that Madison was an impressive orator and imposing figure and that Lincoln had a commanding presence and booming voice...
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
EvenBob
EvenBob
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October 9th, 2012 at 2:00:52 PM permalink
Quote: rxwine

I'd give a bunch of money to see someone like Ted Koppel have to substitute for Wolf when Romney shows up. Hell, even Andy Richter would be better.



Wolf's not that bad, he can be a regular Lib pitbull
when he has to be. Too bad Romney is 3 times
smarter than he is. People who've known Romney
for decades say he over prepares for everything.
Board meetings, stock holder reports, debates.
He has an answer for everything. Unlike Obama,
who has an answer for almost nothing. To Obama,
just showing up should be enough, don't bother
him with the details.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
rdw4potus
rdw4potus
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October 9th, 2012 at 2:05:43 PM permalink
Quote: Keyser

I'm sorry, but the recent job report really isn't statistically relevant. It most certainly is the result of some accounting tricks. Claiming that adding 111,000 jobs to the economy is significant, is misleading. It's only going to further irritate the general public.



Maybe you should send little postcards to those 110,000 people letting them know that their jobs are meaningless. I wonder how many of them agree with you.

As for the "accounting tricks" BS - the surveys are carried out by civil servants using a decades old methodology. Almost all of the people involved also ran the surveys during the Bush administration. Why would this survey be the one that they chose to doctor? Couldn't they have tanked the surveys in 2004 to help Kerry or in 2010 to stymie the Tea Party?
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
EvenBob
EvenBob
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October 9th, 2012 at 2:12:56 PM permalink
I never watch network TV so I have no idea how
Romney is portrayed in the ads. I only watch History,
Discovery, A&E, and the Food channel. And O'Reilly
is the only Fox show I can tolerate. I haven't seen
a single political ad this year.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
rdw4potus
rdw4potus
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October 9th, 2012 at 3:35:12 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

I never watch network TV so I have no idea how
Romney is portrayed in the ads. I only watch History,
Discovery, A&E, and the Food channel. And O'Reilly
is the only Fox show I can tolerate. I haven't seen
a single political ad this year.



Really? I watch USA and TNT all the time, and there are political ads during the commercials there. How do cable operators decide which channels they sell ads on? it seems kind of crappy that ad buys on cable can be channel specific when I have to pay for 105 channels just to get USA, TNT, and ESPN.
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
EvenBob
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October 9th, 2012 at 3:50:56 PM permalink
I just saw an Obama ad with Big Bird in it. Have
they gone insane in the Obama camp? This had
to be the stupidest political ad I ever saw. Its like
something a small town mayor would run.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
rdw4potus
rdw4potus
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October 9th, 2012 at 3:56:55 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

I just saw an Obama ad with Big Bird in it. Have
they gone insane in the Obama camp? This had
to be the stupidest political ad I ever saw. Its like
something a small town mayor would run.



so it makes him seem more personable and less detached from reality, while also underscoring his connection to young suburban mothers? Sounds like a winning ad! :-P
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
EvenBob
EvenBob
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October 9th, 2012 at 4:28:42 PM permalink
Quote: rdw4potus

so it makes him seem more personable and less detached from reality, while also underscoring his connection to young suburban mothers? Sounds like a winning ad! :-P



Yup, thats why Sesame St is telling them to pull it.
All the problems in the country and world and all
Obama's got is Big Bird? Who's his campaign manager,
a 12 year old?
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
AZDuffman
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October 9th, 2012 at 4:36:35 PM permalink
Quote: rdw4potus

Really? I watch USA and TNT all the time, and there are political ads during the commercials there. How do cable operators decide which channels they sell ads on? it seems kind of crappy that ad buys on cable can be channel specific when I have to pay for 105 channels just to get USA, TNT, and ESPN.



Cable ads can be specific to just one house if they want. So the swing district could get a Romney ad and everyone else a ginsu knife ad.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
s2dbaker
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October 9th, 2012 at 4:44:16 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Yup, thats why Sesame St is telling them to pull it.
All the problems in the country and world and all
Obama's got is Big Bird? Who's his campaign manager,
a 12 year old?

The Big Bird ad is working! Look at the pearl clutching and cloth rending it's causing among the Romneyites on this board alone!
Someday, joor goin' to see the name of Googie Gomez in lights and joor goin' to say to joorself, "Was that her?" and then joor goin' to answer to joorself, "That was her!" But you know somethin' mister? I was always her yuss nobody knows it! - Googie Gomez
TheBigPaybak
TheBigPaybak
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October 9th, 2012 at 4:50:39 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Yup, thats why Sesame St is telling them to pull it.



I was happy to see this: in our politicized world, at least the people running Sesame Street had the good sense to not pick a side, realizing parents of all political persuasions have children who watch their shows. As opposed to Henson/The Muppets, they made the wise choice, in my opinion.
Lack of prior planning on your part doesn't constitute an emergency on my part.
EvenBob
EvenBob
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October 9th, 2012 at 4:53:02 PM permalink
Quote: s2dbaker

The Big Bird ad is working! Look at the pearl clutching and cloth rending it's causing among the Romneyites on this board alone!



Its more like head shaking in disbeief. Krauthammer
says its the worst, most ineffective political ad he's
ever seen, and even the Dem wonks are agreeing
with him. The stink of desperation just wafts from
the TV when its on. That debate must have scared
the living crap out of the Left.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
s2dbaker
s2dbaker
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October 9th, 2012 at 4:59:40 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Its more like head shaking in disbeief. Krauthammer
says its the worst, most ineffective political ad he's
ever seen, and even the Dem wonks are agreeing
with him. The stink of desperation just wafts from
the TV when its on. That debate must have scared
the living crap out of the Left.

The one thing I've learned about Krauthammer is that he is always wrong. But maybe, just maybe this time he might be right. Mitt Romney's chances of winning the presidency are up to 6% today!

Probability of Reaching 270
Democrats 94%
Republicans 6%
Neither (Tie) < 1%
Someday, joor goin' to see the name of Googie Gomez in lights and joor goin' to say to joorself, "Was that her?" and then joor goin' to answer to joorself, "That was her!" But you know somethin' mister? I was always her yuss nobody knows it! - Googie Gomez
EvenBob
EvenBob
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October 9th, 2012 at 5:29:41 PM permalink
Quote: s2dbaker

The one thing I've learned about Krauthammer is that he is always wrong.



I heard thats why he has a choice spot on Fox
and a syndicated column in the Washington
Post, because he's always wrong.

If you're the sharpest knife in any drawer, what does
that say about the rest of the drawer?
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
s2dbaker
s2dbaker
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October 9th, 2012 at 5:43:43 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

If you're the sharpest knife in any drawer, what does
that say about the rest of the drawer?

It says Your drawer is full of Jenifer Rubin, Kathryn Lopez and William Kristol. I will say one thing about Krauthammer, he is right more often than William Kristol (which just about bumps him up to Broken clock status, but not quite). Ah, fun times :)
Someday, joor goin' to see the name of Googie Gomez in lights and joor goin' to say to joorself, "Was that her?" and then joor goin' to answer to joorself, "That was her!" But you know somethin' mister? I was always her yuss nobody knows it! - Googie Gomez
EvenBob
EvenBob
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October 9th, 2012 at 6:02:30 PM permalink
Quote: s2dbaker

It says Your drawer is full of Jenifer Rubin, Kathryn Lopez and William Kristol.



Seriously, I have no idea who these people are.
Not a clue.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
rdw4potus
rdw4potus
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October 9th, 2012 at 7:35:05 PM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

Cable ads can be specific to just one house if they want. So the swing district could get a Romney ad and everyone else a ginsu knife ad.



Might be the only time anyone's ever said this, but I'd prefer the ginsu knife ad. Hell, Sarah Mclachlan could show me abused animals for 17 minutes/hour and I'd be happier than I am now.
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
EvenBob
EvenBob
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October 9th, 2012 at 8:20:21 PM permalink
My hero, Steve Wynn. How much did he give to Obama
in 2008?

"I'm afraid of the president. I have no idea what goofy idea, what crazy, anti-business program this administration will come up with. I have no idea. And I have to tell you Jon that every business guy I know in the country is frightened of Barack Obama and the way he thinks."

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2012/10/09/steve_wynn_on_obama_ill_be_damned_if_ill_have_him_lecture_me.html
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
rdw4potus
rdw4potus
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October 9th, 2012 at 8:43:17 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

My hero, Steve Wynn. How much did he give to Obama
in 2008?



$2,500. And if he thought Obama was as pro-business as Mccain in 2008, then he got what he deserved.
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
EvenBob
EvenBob
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October 9th, 2012 at 8:48:16 PM permalink
Quote: rdw4potus

$2,500.



Think Super Pacs..
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
rdw4potus
rdw4potus
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October 9th, 2012 at 8:56:12 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Think Super Pacs..



Why? You asked a question and I answered it:-)
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
EvenBob
EvenBob
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October 9th, 2012 at 9:57:21 PM permalink
Quote: rdw4potus

Why? You asked a question and I answered it:-)



You have me blocked from PM's? LOL, you
must really be terrified..
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
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October 11th, 2012 at 3:10:58 PM permalink


A couple weeks ago I noticed Romney's bus parked at the Rampart casino. Nobody seemed to be inside it.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
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