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steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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March 9th, 2017 at 6:37:32 AM permalink
For those who may have missed it, Nimble Storage Inc (NMBL), a pick out of the stock screen of June, 2016 received a buy out offer.
It will have returned around a 56% gain.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
Joined: May 8, 2015
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March 29th, 2017 at 3:32:23 AM permalink
The world's largest mutual fund company BlackRock is in the process of 86ing its' stock picking homo sapien managers in favor of machines using artificial intelligence to make buying and selling decisions.

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/28/business/dealbook/blackrock-actively-managed-funds-computer-models.html
everybody wants to go to heaven. but nobody wants to die.
Tanko
Tanko
Joined: Apr 22, 2013
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March 29th, 2017 at 4:47:51 AM permalink
Good idea. Most fund managers can't match the S&P anyway.

The computers are for high frequency trading, where even one millisecond makes a difference.

Brokerages can pay to co-locate and install their servers as close as possible to the stock exchange servers in order to shave even more milliseconds off the trades.

Co-location
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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May 13th, 2017 at 10:37:59 AM permalink
After a long period of inaction, I am going to sell out the 4 oldest picks made by the stock screen.
Also, I will be (for the first time in my lifetime) adding 5 short candidates.

Here is what is sold:

Symbols Name Screen Run Date # of Shares Cost Selling Price Gain
SYNA ELEC COMP-SEMIC 6/25/2016 19 $52.22 $56.15 $74.67
IPXL MED-GENERIC DRG 6/25/2016 34 $29.26 $17.65 -$394.74
NMBL COMP-STORAGE DEV 6/25/2016 125 $7.99 $12.50 $563.75
OOMA COMMUNICATIONS COMPONENTS 6/25/2016 124 $8.05 $11.95 $483.60
Total of the 4 Picks $3,983.97 $4,711.25 $727.28
S&P 500 since 06/25/16 $2,000.54 $2,390.90 $390.36



Here is a recap of the closed positions. Still beating the S&P.

Screen Run Date Exit Date Picks Cost Picks $ Gain (Loss) Picks % Gain Annualized Rate S&P Cost S&P $ Gain (Loss) S&P % Gain Picks Vs. S&P
11/4/2015 4/22/2016 $4,985.56 $640.01 12.84% 27.18% $2,110.60 -$19.02 -0.90% 13.74%
12/27/2015 5/20/2016 $4,966.27 $84.28 1.70% 4.21% $2,057.77 -$5.45 -0.26% 1.96%
1/30/2016 6/24/2016 $4,977.37 $1,545.54 31.05% 76.56% $1,940.24 $97.06 5.00% 26.05%
2/27/2016 7/22/2016 $4,955.49 $728.95 14.71% 36.27% $1,948.05 $226.98 11.65% 3.06%
3/25/2016 10/7/2016 $4,951.71 -$288.30 -5.82% -10.69% $2,035.94 $117.80 5.79% -11.61%
4/23/2016 11/7/2016 $4,809.06 -$158.47 -3.30% -5.99% $2,091.58 -$6.40 -0.31% -2.99%
5/21/2016 1/13/2017 $4,974.35 -$408.03 -8.20% -12.46% $2,052.32 $222.32 10.83% -19.04%
6/25/2016 5/15/2017 $3,983.97 $727.28 18.26% 20.28% $2,000.54 $390.36 19.51% -1.26%
Total Closed $38,603.78 $2,871.27 7.44% $16,237.04 $1,023.65 6.30% 1.13%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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May 13th, 2017 at 10:44:06 AM permalink
5 Shorts being added to the stock screen portfolio:


Synmbol Industry Date Picked # of Shares Cost per Share
MIME Internet - Software 5/15/2017 -41 $24.29
LPI Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States 5/15/2017 -81 $12.31
ANGI Internet - Content 5/15/2017 -85 $11.63
BYD Gaming 5/15/2017 -40 $24.80
INAP Internet - Services 5/15/2017 -296 $3.37
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
May 13th, 2017 at 10:48:49 AM permalink
The Stock Screen portfolio will become:


Symbols Name Screen Run Date # of Shares Cost
LCI LANNETT INC 7/23/2016 40 $30.67
NVEE NV5 HOLDING INC 7/23/2016 39 $31.69
ORBK ORBOTECH LTD 7/23/2016 45 $27.36
P PANDORA MEDIA 7/23/2016 101 $12.28
HLTH NOBILIS HEALTH 10/8/2016 287 $3.49
FN FABRINET 10/8/2016 22 $45.14
VRTU VIRTUSA 10/8/2016 44 $22.85
LXFT LUXOFT HOLDING 10/8/2016 19 $53.37
QRVO QORVO INC 11/6/2016 20 51.08
INFN Infinera 11/6/2016 137 7.32
CRTO Criteo S.A. 1/14/2017 22 45.78
MIME Mimecast Limited 5/15/2017 -41 24.29
LPI Laredo Petroleum, Inc. 5/15/2017 -81 12.31
ANGI Angie's List, Inc. 5/15/2017 -85 11.63
BYD Boyd Gaming Corporation 5/15/2017 -40 24.80
INAP Internap Corporation 5/15/2017 -296 3.37
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
May 19th, 2017 at 4:24:39 PM permalink
From a Bloomberg article:

"“If the production cuts were to be extended, the participating countries would lose further market shares, which they are hardly likely to accept for any length of time,” the report said.

It isn’t going to get a lot better for OPEC in 2018, either. JPMorgan is forecasting U.S. shale to grow by 1.05 million barrels a day next year, while Bank of America Merrill Lynch has a figure of 950,000 barrels a day.
Even a “drastic” downward shift in the market conditions won’t lead to a rapid collapse of U.S. oil production, according to Rystad Energy. Many wells that have been drilled—but haven’t been completed—could still be brought online profitably if the price falls to $40 or even $30 a barrel, Rystad said in a report on May 11."

Profitably at $30? Wow.....just wow.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
June 23rd, 2017 at 10:41:24 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

The Stock Screen portfolio will become:


Symbols Name Screen Run Date # of Shares Cost
LCI LANNETT INC 7/23/2016 40 $30.67
NVEE NV5 HOLDING INC 7/23/2016 39 $31.69
ORBK ORBOTECH LTD 7/23/2016 45 $27.36
P PANDORA MEDIA 7/23/2016 101 $12.28
HLTH NOBILIS HEALTH 10/8/2016 287 $3.49
FN FABRINET 10/8/2016 22 $45.14
VRTU VIRTUSA 10/8/2016 44 $22.85
LXFT LUXOFT HOLDING 10/8/2016 19 $53.37
QRVO QORVO INC 11/6/2016 20 51.08
INFN Infinera 11/6/2016 137 7.32
CRTO Criteo S.A. 1/14/2017 22 45.78
MIME Mimecast Limited 5/15/2017 -41 24.29
LPI Laredo Petroleum, Inc. 5/15/2017 -81 12.31
ANGI Angie's List, Inc. 5/15/2017 -85 11.63
BYD Boyd Gaming Corporation 5/15/2017 -40 24.80
INAP Internap Corporation 5/15/2017 -296 3.37



Infinera (INFN) today is approaching a 65.43% gain since being added to the portfolio. Nice!
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
odiousgambit
odiousgambit 
Joined: Nov 9, 2009
  • Threads: 275
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June 23rd, 2017 at 12:34:52 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

5 Shorts being added to the stock screen portfolio



I'm going to watch this.

Seems to me the problem with shorting is that you can be right that the outfit is in trouble, yet you have to be right about what's going to happen in a small window of time and just be wrong in your timing.

Of course you can keep shorting and keep shorting - sounds like that can feel like throwing good money after bad, though.
"Baccarat is a game whereby the croupier gathers in money with a flexible sculling oar, then rakes it home. If I could have borrowed his oar I would have stayed." .......... Mark Twain
billryan
billryan
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
  • Threads: 68
  • Posts: 2489
June 23rd, 2017 at 1:02:37 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

After a long period of inaction, I am going to sell out the 4 oldest picks made by the stock screen.
Also, I will be (for the first time in my lifetime) adding 5 short candidates.

Here is what is sold:


Symbols Name Screen Run Date # of Shares Cost Selling Price Gain
SYNA ELEC COMP-SEMIC 6/25/2016 19 $52.22 $56.15 $74.67
IPXL MED-GENERIC DRG 6/25/2016 34 $29.26 $17.65 -$394.74
NMBL COMP-STORAGE DEV 6/25/2016 125 $7.99 $12.50 $563.75
OOMA COMMUNICATIONS COMPONENTS 6/25/2016 124 $8.05 $11.95 $483.60
Total of the 4 Picks $3,983.97 $4,711.25 $727.28
S&P 500 since 06/25/16 $2,000.54 $2,390.90 $390.36



Here is a recap of the closed positions. Still beating the S&P.

Screen Run Date Exit Date Picks Cost Picks $ Gain (Loss) Picks % Gain Annualized Rate S&P Cost S&P $ Gain (Loss) S&P % Gain Picks Vs. S&P
11/4/2015 4/22/2016 $4,985.56 $640.01 12.84% 27.18% $2,110.60 -$19.02 -0.90% 13.74%
12/27/2015 5/20/2016 $4,966.27 $84.28 1.70% 4.21% $2,057.77 -$5.45 -0.26% 1.96%
1/30/2016 6/24/2016 $4,977.37 $1,545.54 31.05% 76.56% $1,940.24 $97.06 5.00% 26.05%
2/27/2016 7/22/2016 $4,955.49 $728.95 14.71% 36.27% $1,948.05 $226.98 11.65% 3.06%
3/25/2016 10/7/2016 $4,951.71 -$288.30 -5.82% -10.69% $2,035.94 $117.80 5.79% -11.61%
4/23/2016 11/7/2016 $4,809.06 -$158.47 -3.30% -5.99% $2,091.58 -$6.40 -0.31% -2.99%
5/21/2016 1/13/2017 $4,974.35 -$408.03 -8.20% -12.46% $2,052.32 $222.32 10.83% -19.04%
6/25/2016 5/15/2017 $3,983.97 $727.28 18.26% 20.28% $2,000.54 $390.36 19.51% -1.26%
Total Closed $38,603.78 $2,871.27 7.44% $16,237.04 $1,023.65 6.30% 1.13%





I'm late to the game, but if I'm reading this right, you have a 7.44% gain,. Is that after commissions and taxes?
It's what you do and not what you say If you're not part of the future then get out of the way

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