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1 vote (4.16%)
18 votes (75%)
1 vote (4.16%)
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5 votes (20.83%)
4 votes (16.66%)
3 votes (12.5%)
3 votes (12.5%)

24 members have voted

MidwestAP
MidwestAP
Joined: Feb 19, 2012
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August 30th, 2019 at 7:48:36 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

I went to the D last night to enter, but the form asks for the player card numbers of your three proxies. I didn't know any of them so I took the form home with me. I will need to find some reliable proxies before I actually enter.



I can't imagine they require a proxy? From a practical standpoint, I can understand why you might want one in case you are out of state during a weekly selection window.
MaxPen
MaxPen
Joined: Feb 4, 2015
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August 30th, 2019 at 5:35:50 PM permalink
Just saw a commercial for this. Very deceptive. First dramatically articulated line is "The biggest overlay ever" as Derek Stevens is walking thru casino with a big million dollar check. Followed up by a very subdued "could have just walked in."
Last edited by: MaxPen on Aug 30, 2019
ten2win
ten2win
Joined: Jul 27, 2010
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August 30th, 2019 at 7:57:49 PM permalink
It was my belief that the Proxy was to provide the out of state resident an opportunity to legally participate in the pool.
I don't know everything but I know a lot.
Mooseton
Mooseton
Joined: Sep 6, 2010
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August 30th, 2019 at 8:47:14 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

A day later and we're at 1048



<snip>AS OF FRI AUG 30 8:00PM THERE ARE
1,180 ENTRIES
AND A $320,000 OVERLAY. </snip>

Looks like quite a surge in entries and if that rate of entries holds it will be no overlay. Are you still doing this if thatís the case?
$1700, 18, 19, 1920, 40, 60,... :/ Thx 'Do it again'. I'll try
Wizard
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Wizard
Joined: Oct 14, 2009
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August 30th, 2019 at 9:12:56 PM permalink
Quote: Mooseton

Looks like quite a surge in entries and if that rate of entries holds it will be no overlay. Are you still doing this if thatís the case?



That's the question I'm wrestling with. I think my record in six challenges speaks for itself. However, if I won a significant amount it, I would have to pay taxes on it. Considering that factor, it's definitely negative EV. I'll reevaluate after the labor day weekend.
It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet.
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
Joined: Oct 10, 2012
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August 31st, 2019 at 2:15:04 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

That's the question I'm wrestling with. I think my record in six challenges speaks for itself. However, if I won a significant amount it, I would have to pay taxes on it. Considering that factor, it's definitely negative EV. I'll reevaluate after the labor day weekend.

what if there are multiple other people using the same type of stale line system you use? I would have to assume there are better than average people entering this contest.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
Wizard
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Wizard
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August 31st, 2019 at 5:40:29 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

what if there are multiple other people using the same type of stale line system you use? I would have to assume there are better than average people entering this contest.



That's another good point. Remember how Nathan almost won the Super Bowl prop challenge? I could see the same thing happening here.
It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet.
JohnnyQ
JohnnyQ
Joined: Nov 3, 2009
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August 31st, 2019 at 7:26:05 AM permalink
Wiz:

OK, whatever you think. You have to do the hard part of picking the games and submitting them. If you are still in, I'm still in. If you are out, then of course I am out as well.
You know the type always acting cool, Pretender;Take the risk or give up your cards, Pretender, Oh, Oh. - Iris/Avsec
Wizard
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Wizard
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August 31st, 2019 at 8:39:36 AM permalink
Quote: JohnnyQ

Wiz:

OK, whatever you think. You have to do the hard part of picking the games and submitting them. If you are still in, I'm still in. If you are out, then of course I am out as well.



1,180 entries so far.

To be honest, I'm leaning against it at this point.
It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet.
beachbumbabs
Administrator
beachbumbabs
Joined: May 21, 2013
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August 31st, 2019 at 8:48:17 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

1,180 entries so far.

To be honest, I'm leaning against it at this point.




Well, if you consider the intangibles, imo it's still a winning play. If you lead a group of the forum with a very high-interest weekly contest entry, you get a dedicated 4 month period of activity here for a fun game. Since Derek has said any overage will go 100% to the prize pool, it doesn't seem like a bad bet even if it's not +ev. JMHO.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.

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