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AxelWolf
AxelWolf
Joined: Oct 10, 2012
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September 16th, 2019 at 8:39:31 PM permalink
Quote: GWAE

haha isnt that great. next week going back to last years strategy of flipping coins

I didn't really pay attention to the little contest you're having since I wasn't invited.

You're using stale lines and making real bets and that seems to be working out good?

If so, what does that tell you?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
GWAE
GWAE
Joined: Sep 20, 2013
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September 16th, 2019 at 8:40:22 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

I didn't really pay attention to the little contest you're having since I wasn't invited.

You're using stale lines and making real bets and that seems to be working out good?

If so, what does that tell you?



that no one knows anything and its all a crap shoot?

PS if it wins you can come to dinner with PG and I so you can be included.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
Joined: Oct 10, 2012
  • Threads: 144
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September 16th, 2019 at 10:37:23 PM permalink
Quote: GWAE

that no one knows anything and its all a crap shoot?

PS if it wins you can come to dinner with PG and I so you can be included.

No, it tells you that using stale lines can actually be a winning method.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
AZDuffman
AZDuffman
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
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September 17th, 2019 at 2:41:50 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

Tomlin is not a good coach. People that think so either don't watch their games or just don't understand football.



Even before I disowned the Steelers I did not care for him. My beef was that he does not protect his lead while ahead. When having a lead of 10 or more, Bill Cowher was something like 110-5-1. I forget exact, but it was that insane. Cowher got ahead, put his boot on your neck, and ran the ball down your throat. Tomlin it seemed like he always let teams get back in the game. And the same happened for the whole season. Cowher got ahead a couple games and playoffs were a sure thing. Tomlin lost more when ahead for the same reason, teams got back in the games.

Around here you have to be careful how you discuss it. While not popular on the whole, his fans are loyal to the point you can start a war with bar talk about him.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
DRich
DRich
Joined: Jul 6, 2012
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September 17th, 2019 at 8:24:37 AM permalink
Quote: GWAE

I dont think anyone around here thinks that. He is not liked well locally as a coach.

LOL at dolphins trading their young star to the steelers. Are they trying to set a record for points against?



Fitzpatrick is a good pickup for the Steelers. their definsive backs have been a liability for years now.
Living longer does not always infer +EV
AZDuffman
AZDuffman
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
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September 18th, 2019 at 9:04:56 AM permalink
Two games this week with a 20 point spread! Has that ever happened before?

The Dolphins will probably not cover yet again, the Jets though? In NE means they will probably run off with it, but sooner or later someone has to score a TD on their defense.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
Rigondeaux
Rigondeaux
Joined: Aug 18, 2014
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September 18th, 2019 at 11:47:11 AM permalink
The Jets are on their 3rd string QB. I'd look at correlated parlays again.

If you just bet for fun, or "handicap" by betting based on your off the cuff judgment about widely available information like "Tim Bradford of the The Patriots is a good QB with insane receivers" I'm sure that there is enough correlation to at least make your plays less -ev than usual.
AZDuffman
AZDuffman
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
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September 19th, 2019 at 2:51:05 PM permalink
Kind of liking the Fox show "Lock It In." Having hard time finding full episodes and not about to haul myself to the casino in hopes it is on in the book. Does anyone know of a torrent or other way to get the full episodes? Their webpage makes you sign in with your cable provider.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
TomG
TomG
Joined: Sep 26, 2010
  • Threads: 13
  • Posts: 2049
September 19th, 2019 at 4:39:33 PM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

Even before I disowned the Steelers I did not care for him. My beef was that he does not protect his lead while ahead. When having a lead of 10 or more, Bill Cowher was something like 110-5-1. I forget exact, but it was that insane. Cowher got ahead, put his boot on your neck, and ran the ball down your throat. Tomlin it seemed like he always let teams get back in the game. And the same happened for the whole season. Cowher got ahead a couple games and playoffs were a sure thing. Tomlin lost more when ahead for the same reason, teams got back in the games.



Two of those five losses came in the playoffs. Tomlin has only blown three leads of any size in the playoffs (7, 6, and 4). So there is that. Of course it's only eight and 10 appearances for them.
TomG
TomG
Joined: Sep 26, 2010
  • Threads: 13
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September 19th, 2019 at 4:43:43 PM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

Two games this week with a 20 point spread! Has that ever happened before?

The Dolphins will probably not cover yet again, the Jets though? In NE means they will probably run off with it, but sooner or later someone has to score a TD on their defense.



Seeing +14 1h, if it ever moves to 14.5 that has to be a great bet, right? Seen a +750 money line, that might be good; would definitely grab any +800

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