FinsRule
FinsRule
Joined: Dec 23, 2009
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March 13th, 2019 at 5:42:00 PM permalink
Glad they split the rebel. If anyone but Game Winner and Improbable win, Iíd be very surprised.

I donít think this is a betting weekend.
Keeneone
Keeneone
Joined: Aug 16, 2014
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March 14th, 2019 at 6:52:19 PM permalink
The "Rebels" certainly look like a Baffert double waiting to happen. It is cool both runners will be running on the same day/at the same distance/carrying the same weight/at the same track. Improbable looks like a heavy favorite, but Galilean might deserve a look. Game Winner also looks like a solid favorite, but he does not really need the points and Omaha Beach is an interesting entry to consider for this event. GLTA

http://www.brisnet.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Rebel19a.pdf
http://www.brisnet.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Rebel19b.pdf
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
Joined: May 8, 2015
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March 17th, 2019 at 2:16:56 AM permalink
Wow! after both favorites lost in the 2 Rebels it really looks wide open now

maybe Dutch all the shots over 6/1 and try to catch a break - gonna need my calculator

on 2nd thought if I do this I'll probably throw out all 40/1 or more



NYRA has a new initiative

they will be offering a Turf Triple Crown (their words) for 3 year old males and 3 year old females


https://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/232056/nyra-unveils-turf-triple-series-for-3yos-3yo-fillies
Last edited by: lilredrooster on Mar 17, 2019
𝘸𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘴 𝘦𝘢𝘴𝘺 𝘸𝘰𝘯'𝘵 𝘭𝘢𝘴𝘵. 𝘸𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘭𝘢𝘴𝘵𝘴 𝘸𝘰𝘯'𝘵 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘦 𝘦𝘢𝘴𝘺
aceofspades
aceofspades
Joined: Apr 4, 2012
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March 17th, 2019 at 6:35:40 AM permalink
Why did Van Dyke run Improbable 4 wide around both turns?
FinsRule
FinsRule
Joined: Dec 23, 2009
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Thanks for this post from:
aceofspades
March 17th, 2019 at 8:37:57 AM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

Why did Van Dyke run Improbable 4 wide around both turns?



Galilean broke poorly. DVD is inexperienced. He thought Improbable couldnít be beaten. After the race, I said, looks like Mike Smith has the mount. But then he went and won on Omaha Beach!

Bob needs at least one jockey.
FinsRule
FinsRule
Joined: Dec 23, 2009
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March 17th, 2019 at 8:40:39 AM permalink
48 days out and this derby is the most wide open since 2011.

Who is the favorite? Omaha Beach? Game Winner? War of Will?

My War Front - Candy Ride Exacta box is looking pretty great. I might make some money this year after all.

Edit - I guess add Improbable and Code of Honor to possible Derby favorites.

If you like a horse, youíre going to get a good price.
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
Joined: May 8, 2015
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March 17th, 2019 at 1:26:37 PM permalink
maybe for the hardcore only
but this guy has compiled this great (to me) spreadsheet with historical Derby statistics
the link shows more then my picture shows
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14meVH3tXTu6Lb9pgiiP8ouylmSFpsktVWVUNd2eQyzs/edit#gid=0

𝘸𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘴 𝘦𝘢𝘴𝘺 𝘸𝘰𝘯'𝘵 𝘭𝘢𝘴𝘵. 𝘸𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘭𝘢𝘴𝘵𝘴 𝘸𝘰𝘯'𝘵 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘦 𝘦𝘢𝘴𝘺
Keeneone
Keeneone
Joined: Aug 16, 2014
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March 17th, 2019 at 4:04:02 PM permalink
Hard not to like the Rebel races. The Top 2 in both performed well.

Sunland Derby - Click on Mucho Gusto's pps:
http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/Baffert/BAFFERT_BOB/9999/summary.htm
Louisiana Derby - Click on War Of WIll's pps:
http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/MarkCasse/CASSE+MARK/9999/summary.html
Keeneone
Keeneone
Joined: Aug 16, 2014
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March 17th, 2019 at 4:13:49 PM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

Why did Van Dyke run Improbable 4 wide around both turns?

I do not think DVD had much choice. Improbable backed out once before going into the gate (not shown on the edited video below) and did not get a great start. Then the 6 (Galilean) rushed up inside forcing him wide on the first turn. Long Range Toddy actually broke on top and got the perfect trip and ride to the wire by J Court.

speedycrap
speedycrap
Joined: Oct 13, 2013
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March 17th, 2019 at 6:21:51 PM permalink
That was a bad ride. That is all. The bright side is that Improbable will have a better odds next time out.

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