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beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
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Joined: May 21, 2013
December 1st, 2018 at 2:28:04 AM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

I didn't see you on the list of people in the contest.



He "perhaps"-ed for a couple weeks but decided not to the last day. Hasn't stopped him from sidewalk supervising. :)
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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Joined: Aug 8, 2010
December 1st, 2018 at 5:36:50 AM permalink
Quote: mustangsally

I should just stick with my advantage craps play

Sally



Care to elaborate?
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
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December 1st, 2018 at 5:43:42 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Care to elaborate?




thought for the day:




be careful what you wish for

it may come true
Please don't feed the trolls
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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December 1st, 2018 at 6:06:57 AM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

thought for the day:




be careful what you wish for

it may come true



Mustang Sally is a long tenured well respected math expert here on WoV, as the Wiz himself will vouch for her. I read 'advantage craps play' and am intrigued as to what that is. My hunch is MS might not feel comfortable elucidating on this forum, but I had to ask.
FinsRule
FinsRule
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December 1st, 2018 at 6:22:02 AM permalink
I’m not in the contest because I don’t like having the obligation to pay attention every week.
djatc
djatc
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December 1st, 2018 at 6:27:27 AM permalink
ay I'm in the picks pool and I is smrt
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
Joeman
Joeman
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December 1st, 2018 at 6:43:57 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Mustang Sally is a long tenured well respected math expert here on WoV, as the Wiz himself will vouch for her. I read 'advantage craps play' and am intrigued as to what that is. My hunch is MS might not feel comfortable elucidating on this forum, but I had to ask.

She had previously outlined a play that involved a loss rebate. Not sure if that is what she is referring to now.
"Dealer has 'rock'... Pay 'paper!'"
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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Joined: Aug 8, 2010
December 1st, 2018 at 6:54:40 AM permalink
Quote: Joeman

She had previously outlined a play that involved a loss rebate. Not sure if that is what she is referring to now.



Thanks. It seems hard for me to understand why a casino would offer a loss rebate as outlined, but if it does, it is an easy AP move.
7craps
7craps
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December 1st, 2018 at 8:44:49 AM permalink
Quote: Joeman

She had previously outlined a play that involved a loss rebate. Not sure if that is what she is referring to now.

these days I do not think 'that craps play' is still available. Maybe outside of the US. Too many casinos got caught thinking the player had no edge, when they did in fact, as far as I understand. Sally found that play in an Excel sheet I gave to her. I had left the 'risk of ruin' options in the calculations not knowing it, should have been removed.

now a simple loss rebate is all it takes
By Eliot Jacobson, Ph.D.
March 16, 2016 at 3:16 pm

I’m at a Loss about Loss Rebates

"A discount on loss (DOL) is a cash-incentive that is awarded as a cash reimbursement to a premium player who suffered a significant loss during a trip. Simply put, the losing player is refunded a fixed percentage of his losses.
The most vulnerable game, by far, for DOL exploitation is craps. There is essentially no way for a casino to offer a financially sound DOL program at craps. Any craps player who is given a DOL can easily beat the casino outright.

If I had my way, I’d do away with DOLs. While their original purpose was to encourage the quick repayment of a player’s line of credit after a significant loss, they have morphed into a marketing monster. "

article tells it right
winsome johnny (not Win some johnny)
onenickelmiracle
onenickelmiracle
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December 1st, 2018 at 9:38:05 AM permalink
In death, a member of Project Mayhem has a name. I played a teaser, but it's basically my wov picks, cannot tell. Unfortunately I'm not really sure I expect to win.
I am a robot.
onenickelmiracle
onenickelmiracle
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December 2nd, 2018 at 11:42:30 AM permalink
I played:

Atl -.5
Hou/Cle over 47.5
Den -4.5
KC/Oak under 55.5
Sea/SF under 46.5

Hou/Cle over 47 .5
Den -4.5
KC/Oak under 55.5
Sea/SF under 46.5

Car/TB under 55.5
Ari +14.5
Ten -7.5
Min +5.5
Sea/SF under 46.5

Jax +3.5
Car/TB under 55.5
Buf +4.5
Ten/NYJ over 40.5
Sea/SF under 46.5

wov picks
onenickelmiracle:
Browns over 47
Panthers under 54.5
49ers under 46 confidence
Ravens under 48
Chiefs under 55.5

Just hope I'm alive until the 4:00 PM games.
Last edited by: onenickelmiracle on Dec 2, 2018
I am a robot.
FinsRule
FinsRule
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Thanked by
onenickelmiracle
December 2nd, 2018 at 2:10:05 PM permalink
I’m out!
onenickelmiracle
onenickelmiracle
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Joined: Jan 26, 2012
December 2nd, 2018 at 2:13:53 PM permalink
Quote: FinsRule

I’m out!

That's so Kramery.
I am a robot.
FinsRule
FinsRule
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December 2nd, 2018 at 4:18:21 PM permalink
Quote: onenickelmiracle

That's so Kramery.



Every time I’m out, they pull me back in. I’m still the teaser king! Undefeated. This thing is so easy.
onenickelmiracle
onenickelmiracle
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Joined: Jan 26, 2012
December 2nd, 2018 at 7:13:41 PM permalink
Quote: FinsRule

Every time I’m out, they pull me back in. I’m still the teaser king! Undefeated. This thing is so easy.

I've played about 8 cards in my life and I'm sick of them. Perhaps I need to think more, refine my strategy before playing again. Had my confidence pick been good, I'd at least have made a short term profit which would also be a lifetime profit. I will keep trying.
I am a robot.
WatchMeWin
WatchMeWin
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December 8th, 2018 at 11:36:33 AM permalink
5 team, 6.5 teaser
- Army pk
- Chiefs +.5
- Texans +2
- Rams +3.5
- Broncos +3

Love it and went large!
'Winners hit n run... Losers stick around'
FinsRule
FinsRule
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Joined: Dec 23, 2009
December 9th, 2018 at 2:26:36 PM permalink
Quote: WatchMeWin

5 team, 6.5 teaser
- Army pk
- Chiefs +.5
- Texans +2
- Rams +3.5
- Broncos +3

Love it and went large!



Another loss. He can’t match me - the king of teasers. Undefeated for the year. 2-0.
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